Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 25, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bulls | 45% | 98 | 104 |
 | 22 | Raptors | 55% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Celtics | 56% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Knicks | 53% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 17% | 87 | 102 |
 | 1 | Pistons | 83% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Hornets | 51% | 88 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 26% | 86 | 78 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 31% | 82 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 38% | 94 | 113 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 49% | 93 | 77 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 58% | 98 | 102 |
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Tuesday, January 24, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 42% | 97 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Magic | 33% | 95 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Cavaliers | 66% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 35% | 89 | 82 |
 | 4 | Heat | 65% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 56% | 89 | 107 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 44% | 87 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 22% | 85 | 76 |
| 9 | Spurs | 78% | 95 | 104 |
Monday, January 23, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 65% | 95 | 94 |
| 30 | Hawks | 35% | 90 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 41% | 91 | 78 | |
| 18 | Celtics | 59% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 37% | 90 | 97 |
| 24 | Bucks | 63% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 29% | 97 | 101 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 71% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 51% | 90 | 78 | |
| 21 | Jazz | 49% | 89 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 36% | 95 | 96 |
| 13 | Warriors | 64% | 99 | 93 |
Sunday, January 22, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 37% | 90 | 89 |
| 7 | Spurs | 63% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 51% | 93 | 93 |
| 11 | Wizards | 49% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 34% | 89 | 86 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 66% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 45% | 96 | 92 |
| 23 | Clippers | 55% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 23% | 95 | 99 |
| 4 | Heat | 77% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 16% | 80 | 97 |
| 1 | Pistons | 84% | 93 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 19% | 98 | 152 | |
| 3 | Suns | 81% | 109 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 76% | 95 | 95 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 86 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 30% | 96 | 104 |
 | 6 | Lakers | 70% | 103 | 122 |
Saturday, January 21, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 55% | 98 | 78 |
| 25 | Magic | 45% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 48% | 92 | 109 | |
| 29 | Knicks | 52% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 31% | 92 | 83 |
| 6 | Nets | 69% | 98 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 33% | 88 | 101 |
| 13 | Pacers | 67% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 35% | 94 | 91 |
| 24 | Bucks | 65% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 46% | 90 | 108 |
| 20 | Jazz | 54% | 91 | 90 |
Friday, January 20, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 56% | 91 | 86 |
| 18 | 76ers | 44% | 89 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 36% | 92 | 99 | |
| 13 | Wizards | 64% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 53% | 98 | 118 |
| 30 | Hawks | 47% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 48% | 95 | 96 | |
| 17 | Celtics | 52% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 44% | 93 | 104 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 56% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 46% | 93 | 101 |
| 4 | Heat | 54% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 40% | 87 | 85 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 60% | 90 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 32% | 86 | 109 |
| 19 | Bulls | 68% | 92 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 39% | 91 | 83 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 61% | 95 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 25% | 95 | 93 |
| 3 | Suns | 75% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 58% | 93 | 101 |
| 20 | Clippers | 42% | 91 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 45% | 99 | 79 |
| 15 | Warriors | 55% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 47% | 102 | 121 |
| 24 | SuperSonics | 53% | 103 | 113 | |
Thursday, January 19, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 75% | 96 | 105 |
| 28 | Knicks | 25% | 87 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 46% | 96 | 109 |
| 17 | Kings | 54% | 98 | 118 |
Wednesday, January 18, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 47% | 93 | 101 | |
| 15 | 76ers | 53% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 78% | 97 | 117 |
| 30 | Hawks | 22% | 87 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 49% | 96 | 98 |
| 25 | Magic | 51% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 26% | 86 | 92 |
| 12 | Pacers | 74% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 48% | 93 | 96 |
| 16 | Celtics | 52% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 64% | 89 | 79 |
| 22 | Hornets | 36% | 84 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 30% | 92 | 104 |
| 18 | Bulls | 70% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 68% | 91 | 103 |
| 26 | Rockets | 32% | 85 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 15% | 86 | 92 |
| 1 | Spurs | 85% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 44% | 97 | 89 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 56% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 45% | 95 | 94 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 51% | 98 | 112 |
| 20 | Clippers | 49% | 97 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 17, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 36% | 91 | 98 |
| 14 | Jazz | 64% | 95 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 63% | 103 | 90 |
| 18 | Kings | 37% | 98 | 119 |
Monday, January 16, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 62% | 96 | 96 |
| 26 | Knicks | 38% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 45% | 98 | 76 |
| 17 | Wizards | 55% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 48% | 91 | 107 | |
| 28 | Bobcats | 52% | 92 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 51% | 91 | 83 |
| 30 | Hawks | 49% | 90 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 47% | 97 | 97 |
| 19 | Bulls | 53% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 47% | 88 | 92 |
| 15 | Nets | 53% | 89 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 21% | 88 | 84 |
| 2 | Pistons | 79% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 47% | 89 | 93 |
| 20 | Clippers | 53% | 90 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | SuperSonics | 31% | 100 | 93 | |
| 13 | Warriors | 69% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 45% | 85 | 93 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 55% | 86 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 21% | 90 | 95 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 79% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 51% | 98 | 92 |
| 9 | Lakers | 49% | 97 | 100 |
Sunday, January 15, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 47% | 99 | 103 |
| 26 | Raptors | 53% | 100 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 35% | 93 | 100 |
| 19 | Kings | 65% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 62% | 96 | 87 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 92 | 89 |
Saturday, January 14, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 55% | 98 | 114 |
| 30 | Hawks | 45% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 10% | 83 | 91 |
| 1 | Pistons | 90% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 44% | 90 | 91 |
| 17 | Bulls | 56% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 49% | 99 | 100 |
| 22 | Bucks | 51% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 35% | 84 | 86 | |
| 23 | Rockets | 65% | 89 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 22% | 88 | 77 | |
| 4 | Mavericks | 78% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 26% | 82 | 79 |
| 2 | Spurs | 74% | 90 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 46% | 90 | 100 |
| 14 | Jazz | 54% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 29% | 96 | 106 |
| 3 | Suns | 71% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 31% | 96 | 72 | |
| 21 | Clippers | 69% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 47% | 100 | 110 |
| 16 | Warriors | 53% | 101 | 104 |
Friday, January 13, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 32% | 90 | 94 |
| 11 | Pacers | 68% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 34% | 96 | 94 |
| 25 | Knicks | 66% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 44% | 95 | 103 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 56% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 36% | 95 | 124 |
| 9 | 76ers | 64% | 100 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 35% | 86 | 69 | |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 65% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 49% | 96 | 76 |
| 24 | Hornets | 51% | 97 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 38% | 92 | 89 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 62% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 47% | 89 | 108 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 90 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 57% | 103 | 117 |
| 17 | SuperSonics | 43% | 101 | 104 | |
Thursday, January 12, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 37% | 87 | 83 |
| 1 | Spurs | 63% | 91 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 17% | 96 | 99 |
| 3 | Suns | 83% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 48% | 96 | 98 |
| 11 | Lakers | 52% | 97 | 99 |