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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks53%98118
30Hawks47%97102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.6
34.4
29.1
25
92%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
6-7
3-7
86%
47%
2-3
67%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
33.7
38.4
28
59%
4
3
3
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
10-17
6-13
59%
48%
2-6
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.1
26.4
28.9
5
51%
13
0
1
1
0
2
4
9
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.7
24.9
29.6
10
37%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
6-10
60%
2-9
4-7
22%
49%
0-0
-
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.6
16.3
3.9
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 26.0
31.1
17.4
14
63%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
5-9
2-3
56%
45%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.1
29.8
25.7
19
74%
5
4
0
1
0
6
1
4
11-11
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
48%
0-3
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
21.6
9.5
12
68%
4
0
0
0
6
2
4
0
2-2
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
53%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.3
18.3
14.7
3
44%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
3.5
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 22.8
34.9
1
4-9
44%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.1
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.7
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
37.1
37.5
15
44%
4
8
3
1
1
5
1
3
3-5
60%
6-12
6-12
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
36.5
34.4
13
37%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
5-6
83%
4-12
6-12
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.9
30.0
30.0
12
51%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.1
28.9
32.3
9
30%
10
1
0
1
3
1
5
5
3-4
75%
3-13
4-8
23%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.1
11.3
12.1
4
52%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
32.3
23.6
23
68%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
5-10
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.6
31.2
29.4
16
75%
6
8
3
1
0
1
3
3
4-6
67%
6-6
3-6
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.6
29.1
23.7
9
51%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.4
3.5
2.4
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
8.8
0
1-2
48%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.0
6.5
0
1-2
43%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.