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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies56%9186
1876ers44%8989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
45.9
40.9
12
34%
7
6
1
1
2
1
2
5
0-1
0%
6-17
7-15
35%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
44.8
31.1
22
51%
9
3
2
1
1
0
0
9
5-10
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
3-10
30%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.9
41.9
34.8
14
45%
9
8
3
1
0
5
0
9
4-6
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
36.3
22.9
10
56%
10
0
2
1
2
1
4
6
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
26.2
35.8
2
14%
4
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
32.8
33.6
13
63%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
11.1
15.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
10.9
2.6
6
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.5
6.3
9.7
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
5.2
15.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
3.6
4.3
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.0
49.6
34.6
7
30%
10
1
1
1
1
1
1
9
3-6
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
0-3
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 30.6
46.6
38.2
30
49%
2
6
2
2
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
10-24
9-19
42%
45%
2-5
40%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
40.3
30.7
29
61%
8
2
2
1
1
3
1
7
7-11
64%
11-19
6-13
58%
44%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
37.0
31.4
9
63%
11
0
1
1
6
3
2
9
5-5
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
53%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.1
25.9
24.6
2
114%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 24.8
27.0
27.6
8
57%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
15.6
6.9
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
12.8
13.8
2
50%
6
1
2
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.1
10.2
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 25.9
12.2
0
1-2
45%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 22.2
6.1
0
1-1
48%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
4.9
0
1-2
46%
Jamal Mashburn
F · 6'8" 247 · 33.1
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 19.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.