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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks68%91103
26Rockets32%8576
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
32.3
25.5
0
0%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
31.9
32.9
18
67%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
8-10
80%
5-9
6-12
56%
49%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
26.6
34.3
29
90%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
48%
4-4
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
26.0
31.1
8
44%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
2-6
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.0
20.1
21.8
2
53%
7
1
0
1
2
0
3
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
30.6
26.0
16
82%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
19.1
20.0
8
40%
3
6
3
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
17.4
16.8
7
52%
8
2
0
0
2
1
4
4
3-4
75%
2-5
1-3
40%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
13.4
4.1
6
75%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
12.0
4.4
9
58%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
1-2
50%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.1
10.5
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
12.4
0
1-3
47%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.9
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.0
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
46.3
38.2
16
44%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
4-7
57%
3-10
2-6
30%
43%
2-5
40%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
35.0
40.2
17
52%
2
6
4
1
1
5
0
2
1-3
33%
5-9
3-7
56%
44%
2-6
33%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
34.4
37.9
10
44%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-8
2-5
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.9
30.8
38.9
9
42%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
3-9
6-14
33%
46%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.6
22.9
27.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
20.3
11.9
8
40%
7
0
1
0
1
2
6
1
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.6
14.2
2.1
2
36%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
13.7
2.1
2
33%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 23.2
13.0
10.5
9
64%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.2
9.3
15.6
3
80%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
11.1
0
2-5
47%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.2
9.6
0
2-3
47%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.5
3.8
0
0-0
45%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.3
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.