FinalWin Prob.pScore
651%98
92
949%97
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.48989.4
LAL logo LAL
116.38685.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL92
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0LALGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0LALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0LALOdom 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Walton 5 AST)92
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
4.5%
96
95.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)92
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0LALGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0LALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
6.1%
95
93.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
9.1%
94
90.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot91
14.5%
94
85.5%
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (33 PTS)91
11.7%
94
88.3%
Q4 - 1:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
8.3%
94
91.7%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 289
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 289
6.4%
94
93.6%
Q4 - 1:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)89
8.6%
94
91.4%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot89
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 1:35LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Odom 9 AST)89
10.1%
94
89.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWade Layup (31 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)89
16.2%
92
83.8%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)87
13.1%
92
86.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 287
7.7%
92
92.3%
Q4 - 2:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
9.1%
92
90.9%
Q4 - 2:23LALParker 10' Running Finger Roll (5 PTS)86
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 2:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)86
10.9%
90
89.1%
Q4 - 2:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)85
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS)85
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Haslem Layup83
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)83
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS O'Neal Layup83
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 2:51LALOdom Foul Turnover (P4.T10)83
6.7%
90
93.3%
Q4 - 3:14MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)83
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 3:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 3:27LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot81
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 3:38LALOdom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 3:40LALMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 3:54LALBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot81
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 4:10LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)81
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 4:10LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)81
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)81
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 4:44LALBryant 20' Fadeaway Jumper (33 PTS) (George 2 AST)79
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 5:01MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T7)79
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 5:09LALLAKERS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#9)79
11.1%
86
88.9%
Q4 - 5:16LALBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
8.0%
86
92.0%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 279
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 279
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q4 - 5:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)79
11.0%
86
89.0%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot79
8.8%
86
91.2%
Q4 - 5:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
10.9%
86
89.1%
Q4 - 5:45LALMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 279
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 5:45LALParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 6:01LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
13.0%
85
87.0%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
14.2%
85
85.8%
Q4 - 6:23LALOdom Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)79
17.3%
85
82.7%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)79
12.8%
85
87.2%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)78
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q4 - 6:48LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)77
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 6:48LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)77
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)77
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)76
12.1%
83
87.9%
Q4 - 7:14LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Odom 8 AST)75
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q4 - 7:25LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
15.2%
81
84.8%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot75
16.5%
81
83.5%
Q4 - 7:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q4 - 7:48LALMISS Walton Layup75
18.1%
81
81.9%
Q4 - 8:01LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
17.3%
81
82.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
18.4%
81
81.6%
Q4 - 8:16LALBryant 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)75
21.2%
81
78.8%
Q4 - 8:33LALLAKERS Rebound75
25.7%
79
74.3%
Q4 - 8:33MIAMISS Walker 7' Hook Shot75
27.2%
79
72.8%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
30.9%
79
69.1%
Q4 - 8:58LALMISS Mihm Dunk75
29.3%
79
70.7%
Q4 - 9:22MIAPayton 8' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)75
27.1%
79
72.9%
Q4 - 9:43LALMihm 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)73
22.8%
79
77.2%
Q4 - 10:04MIAWalker 4' Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS)73
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q4 - 10:22LALMihm Slam Dunk (10 PTS)71
16.7%
79
83.3%
Q4 - 10:41LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
19.8%
77
80.2%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Mourning Dunk71
21.0%
77
79.0%
Q4 - 10:57LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)71
24.0%
77
76.0%
Q4 - 10:57LALLAKERS Rebound71
19.8%
77
80.2%
Q4 - 10:57LALMISS Odom 33' 3PT Jump Shot71
22.6%
77
77.4%
Q4 - 11:24MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)71
20.8%
77
79.2%
Q4 - 11:38LALVujacic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)68
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q4 - 11:38LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q4 - 11:40LALMISS Mihm 6' Jump Shot68
13.8%
77
86.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound68
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 43' 3PT Jump Shot68
12.7%
77
87.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0LALMISS Parker Layup68
15.2%
77
84.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0LALBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0LALMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot68
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)68
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
15.9%
77
84.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot68
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
15.9%
77
84.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0LALMISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 1:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)68
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)67
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q3 - 1:30LALWalton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 1:30LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q3 - 1:34LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
14.6%
75
85.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)66
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 2:00LALMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot66
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 2:36LALGeorge 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)64
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 2:57MIAHaslem Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)64
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 3:04LALMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot62
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q3 - 3:22LALLAKERS Rebound62
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 3:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
14.2%
73
85.8%
Q3 - 3:34LALMISS Odom 11' Jump Shot62
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q3 - 3:55LALLAKERS Rebound62
12.0%
73
88.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot62
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 4:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
15.2%
73
84.8%
Q3 - 4:12LALMISS Bryant 9' Jump Shot62
14.4%
73
85.6%
Q3 - 4:28MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)62
12.8%
73
87.2%
Q3 - 4:47LALGeorge 4' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)60
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q3 - 5:03LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot60
14.4%
71
85.6%
Q3 - 5:19LALOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)60
16.0%
71
84.0%
Q3 - 5:36MIAHaslem 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)60
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 5:45MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q3 - 5:47LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
11.4%
71
88.6%
Q3 - 5:58MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 5:58MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw Technical56
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 6:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)56
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Payton 10' Jump Shot56
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 6:18LALBryant 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Odom 7 AST)56
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
11.0%
69
89.0%
Q3 - 6:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 6:41LALMISS Parker Layup54
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 6:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)54
8.2%
69
91.8%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 7:01MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 7:03LALMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot53
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T5)53
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 7:29LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)53
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 7:29LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)53
9.1%
68
90.9%
Q3 - 7:50MIAPayton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 8:04LALCook 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)51
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 8:16LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot51
11.1%
65
88.9%
Q3 - 8:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
12.4%
65
87.6%
Q3 - 8:40LALMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 8:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)51
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 8:54MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)50
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHeat Rebound49
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 9:09LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot49
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 9:30MIAHaslem Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)49
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 9:57LALMihm 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)47
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 10:12MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)47
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)44
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot44
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 10:39LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)44
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 10:39LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)44
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q3 - 10:39LALBryant Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)44
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 10:53MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)44
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 11:20LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)42
8.9%
60
91.1%
Q3 - 11:35LALLAKERS Rebound42
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot42
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALBryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)42
13.6%
57
86.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAWade 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (17 PTS)42
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0LALOdom Foul Turnover (P1.T3)40
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot40
14.4%
54
85.6%
Q2 - 1:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (10 PTS)40
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot38
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 1:23LALGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)38
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 1:31LALLAKERS Rebound38
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Hook Shot38
15.1%
52
84.9%
Q2 - 1:51LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 1:51LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q2 - 2:05MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)38
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 2:17LALGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)36
16.9%
50
83.1%
Q2 - 2:37MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)36
20.8%
47
79.2%
Q2 - 3:01LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)33
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 3:01LALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)33
18.6%
46
81.4%
Q2 - 3:02LALOdom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
19.8%
45
80.2%
Q2 - 3:04LALMISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot33
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 3:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 3:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)31
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot31
16.7%
45
83.3%
Q2 - 3:46LALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)31
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 3:46LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 231
18.5%
44
81.5%
Q2 - 3:56LALOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 3:59LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)31
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q2 - 4:30LALGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 4:30LALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
17.6%
43
82.4%
Q2 - 4:35LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
18.8%
42
81.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
19.4%
42
80.6%
Q2 - 4:53LALBryant 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)29
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 4:58LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 5:16LALOdom Driving Layup (10 PTS)29
25.3%
40
74.7%
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)29
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
25.3%
38
74.7%
Q2 - 5:44LALMISS Mihm 19' Jump Shot27
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 6:05LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Fadeaway Jumper27
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 6:27LALMISS Mihm 8' Jump Hook Shot27
25.4%
38
74.6%
Q2 - 6:37LALLAKERS Rebound27
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 6:39LALMISS George 17' Jump Shot27
25.3%
38
74.7%
Q2 - 6:48LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 6:50LALMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
25.3%
38
74.7%
Q2 - 6:56LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Williams Layup27
24.4%
38
75.6%
Q2 - 7:09LALGeorge 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walton 4 AST)27
27.1%
38
72.9%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)27
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 7:38LALMihm 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)24
25.0%
36
75.0%
Q2 - 8:00LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Walker 4' Layup24
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 8:08LALMISS George 16' Jump Shot24
28.7%
34
71.3%
Q2 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)24
27.0%
34
73.0%
Q2 - 8:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 8:40LALWalton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)22
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 8:59MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
27.1%
32
72.9%
Q2 - 9:17LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walton 3 AST)22
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 9:20LALLAKERS Rebound22
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 9:20LALMISS Walton 8' Running Hook Shot22
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 9:29LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot22
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 10:00LALGeorge 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walton 2 AST)22
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 10:17LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
36.4%
28
63.6%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.2%
28
62.8%
Q2 - 10:30MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
39.1%
28
60.9%
Q2 - 10:32LALMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 222
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q2 - 10:32LALMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 222
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q2 - 10:34LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q2 - 10:39LALMISS Cook Dunk22
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 11:05MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
36.9%
28
63.1%
Q2 - 11:23LALBryant 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)20
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q2 - 11:35LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Hook Shot20
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL20
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound20
36.8%
26
63.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0LALMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS O'Neal Layup20
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot20
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot20
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0LALCook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)20
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q1 - 1:04LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot20
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q1 - 1:14LALBryant 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)20
43.7%
24
56.3%
Q1 - 1:28MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)20
46.6%
22
53.4%
Q1 - 1:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q1 - 1:45LALMISS Odom 10' Jump Shot20
47.8%
22
52.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)20
46.7%
22
53.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
44.2%
22
55.8%
Q1 - 2:07LALMISS Bryant 10' Jump Shot18
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 217
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 2:35LALParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 2:35LALParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
42.5%
21
57.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 3:16LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
42.4%
20
57.6%
Q1 - 3:23LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 3:49MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 3:51LALMISS Parker Reverse Layup15
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 115
44.8%
18
55.2%
Q1 - 4:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 4:08MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)15
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot13
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 4:30LALMihm Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)13
42.7%
18
57.3%
Q1 - 4:50MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
44.4%
16
55.6%
Q1 - 5:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 5:05LALMISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 5:16LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMihm BLOCK (1 BLK)13
45.6%
16
54.4%
Q1 - 5:37LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 5:37LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 5:40LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
49.1%
14
50.9%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade Dunk13
49.8%
14
50.2%
Q1 - 5:55LALBryant 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)13
51.4%
14
48.6%
Q1 - 5:59MIAWilliams Inbound Turnover (P1.T1)13
53.3%
12
46.7%
Q1 - 6:04LALBrown Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)13
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 6:21MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)13
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 6:46LALOdom 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
55.3%
10
44.7%
Q1 - 7:01MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)11
56.8%
8
43.2%
Q1 - 7:18LALOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)9
55.2%
8
44.8%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)9
58.7%
5
41.3%
Q1 - 7:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
57.1%
5
42.9%
Q1 - 7:58LALMISS Brown 11' Jump Shot7
56.4%
5
43.6%
Q1 - 8:18LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Williams Layup7
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
57.4%
5
42.6%
Q1 - 8:25LALMISS Bryant 8' Jump Shot7
56.7%
5
43.3%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)7
55.3%
5
44.7%
Q1 - 9:03LALBryant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 9:08LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMISS Haslem Layup4
50.0%
5
50.0%
Q1 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot4
50.0%
5
50.0%
Q1 - 9:27LALMihm Layup (2 PTS)4
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 9:29LALMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
53.1%
3
46.9%
Q1 - 9:30LALMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot4
54.8%
3
45.2%
Q1 - 9:50MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
53.1%
3
46.9%
Q1 - 9:57MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 9:59LALMISS Mihm 10' Hook Shot2
51.0%
3
49.0%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWilliams 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 10:30LALOdom 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)0
47.8%
3
52.2%
Q1 - 10:46LALMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot0
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 10:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 11:01LALMISS Odom 17' Jump Shot0
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 11:19LALMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot0
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 11:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 11:37LALMISS Bryant 13' Jump Shot0
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Mihm vs. O'Neal: Tip to Odom0
51.5%
0
48.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
LAL
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
29
59%
LAL
8
14
57%
Midrange
MIA
12
36
33%
LAL
21
44
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
LAL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
19
30
63%
LAL
27
31
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3453%17.0 / 32
S. O'Neal1847%9.0 / 19
U. Haslem1359%6.5 / 11
J. Posey1161%5.5 / 9
G. Payton643%3.0 / 7
J. Williams525%2.5 / 10
A. Walker531%2.5 / 8
A. Mourning0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant3766%18.5 / 28
L. Odom1959%9.5 / 16
D. George1771%8.5 / 12
C. Mihm1050%5.0 / 10
S. Parker528%2.5 / 9
L. Walton450%2.0 / 4
B. Cook450%2.0 / 4
K. Brown225%1.0 / 4
A. Bynum2-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+18
-7
100
LAL
78
+13
-8
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
LAL
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
107.9
MIA 103.4
LAL 116.3 +12.9
Pace
92.2
91.4
MIA 89.4 +3.9
LAL 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.7
MIA 16.1 +0.7
LAL 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.5%
MIA 44.0%
LAL 50.0% +6.0%
TO %
15.0%
14.5%
MIA 6.8% +3.5%
LAL 10.3%
ORB %
26.8%
28.8%
MIA 35.4% +10.4%
LAL 25.0%
FTrt
36.3
32.9
MIA 36.1
LAL 42.5 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
58.0%
MIA 64.7%
LAL 70.6% +5.9%
STL %
6.9%
8.3%
MIA 1.1%
LAL 1.2% +0.1%
BLK %
8.5%
6.7%
MIA 8.6% +5.5%
LAL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.4%
MIA 46.0%
LAL 54.9% +8.9%
Rim FG%
64.2%
59.0%
MIA 58.6% +1.5%
LAL 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.2%
MIA 33.3%
LAL 47.7% +14.4%
3P %
34.5%
34.9%
MIA 27.8%
LAL 33.3% +5.5%
FT %
70.0%
74.5%
MIA 63.3%
LAL 87.1% +23.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
33.8%
MIA 34.9% +15.8%
LAL 19.2%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
42.3%
MIA 43.4% +16.9%
LAL 60.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.0%
MIA 21.7% +1.1%
LAL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions8986
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points92100
Rebounds4440
Assists2224
Steals11
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)31 (5)
Field Goals34-8334-73
At-the-Rim FG17-298-14
Midrange FG12-3621-44
2-Point FG29-6529-58
3-Point FG5-185-15
Free Throws19-3027-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
42.4
34
53%
2
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
12-16
75%
11-21
52%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
40.0
11
61%
8
2
1
0
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
34.3
13
59%
12
0
0
0
2
6
7
5
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
31.5
18
47%
10
1
0
0
1
5
6
4
2-8
25%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
26.1
5
25%
1
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-8
13%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
31.7
6
43%
5
6
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
17.8
5
31%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
16.2
0
0%
2
0
0
4
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
46%
44
22
1
5
7
0
17
27
19-30
63%
29-65
45%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.