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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat51%9892
9Lakers49%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
42.4
38.6
34
55%
2
7
0
2
1
1
0
2
12-16
75%
11-21
8-16
52%
49%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
40.0
29.5
11
62%
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
3-7
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
34.3
28.4
13
55%
12
0
0
1
0
2
7
5
3-4
75%
5-10
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
31.5
27.8
18
51%
10
1
0
0
0
1
6
4
2-8
25%
8-14
7-12
57%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
26.1
31.9
5
25%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-8
3-6
13%
49%
1-2
50%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
31.7
20.8
6
43%
5
6
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-3
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
17.8
26.4
5
31%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
16.2
15.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
4
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
7.3
0
1-2
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
5.6
0
0-1
42%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.1
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.4
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
40.9
39.1
37
66%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
9-9
100%
11-19
9-20
58%
47%
2-5
40%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
40.8
36.0
19
61%
10
9
0
1
0
4
3
7
7-8
88%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
40.5
35.7
5
29%
2
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.9
30.6
31.3
2
26%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
21.8
28.1
10
50%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
26.2
19.0
17
73%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
6-6
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
13.5
15.4
4
52%
4
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.9
11.9
18.4
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
10.4
9.3
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.2
3.5
1.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.2
0.9
0
0-0
41%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.8
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.3
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.