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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Rockets16%8097
1Pistons84%9399
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.0
45.9
36.8
16
54%
12
2
2
1
1
2
2
10
4-4
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
40.9
20.7
43
59%
9
5
0
1
1
4
0
9
7-8
88%
15-28
4-9
54%
45%
2-5
40%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
38.7
39.1
13
46%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
3-8
38%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
38.3
37.4
10
65%
3
3
4
1
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.6
28.0
23.2
8
82%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
21.7
31.7
3
30%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
41%
1-5
20%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.6
20.8
18.2
4
35%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-4
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 23.2
4.7
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.2
0.9
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
10.6
0
1-3
44%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.2
8.3
0
1-3
45%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
4.7
0
0-1
38%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.5
3.4
0
0-0
42%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.3
41.6
34.6
24
57%
3
9
0
1
0
3
1
2
13-14
93%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
1-6
17%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.9
39.8
32.3
24
68%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
6-8
75%
6-12
6-13
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.3
39.1
32.0
11
34%
7
4
0
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
50%
1-6
17%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.4
35.8
33.6
13
51%
15
3
2
1
0
1
8
7
3-6
50%
5-10
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.9
25.7
29.6
9
46%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
20.9
17.9
4
52%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.2
20.9
16.1
11
83%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
4-6
67%
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.4
9.7
16.1
3
50%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.5
6.3
11.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.9
4.8
0
1-2
49%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.6
4.4
0
1-1
47%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.8
2.9
0
0-0
48%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.7
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.