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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Kings49%9676
24Hornets51%9790
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
44.8
17.0
17
62%
8
3
2
1
4
3
1
7
6-6
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.8
41.2
36.9
18
51%
8
5
1
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
52%
0-1
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.5
30.8
28.1
6
34%
11
1
1
1
0
3
2
9
2-4
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.7
27.0
38.1
6
25%
1
3
3
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
0-4
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.9
25.4
25.4
6
60%
7
3
0
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.7
21.1
23.5
12
68%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
18.9
3.0
4
18%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-7
0-1
14%
45%
0-3
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.1
15.9
15.9
5
51%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.7
12.4
11.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
2.5
3.4
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.6
33.3
1
3-7
47%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
10.0
0
2-3
51%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.6
32.8
21.9
13
60%
5
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
31.6
39.4
19
49%
4
0
5
1
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
8-18
8-15
44%
52%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.2
30.5
33.0
8
57%
7
0
2
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.3
29.9
32.1
12
37%
6
0
1
1
0
3
2
4
6-7
86%
3-13
5-10
23%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.7
28.2
29.7
6
25%
8
6
2
2
0
3
0
8
2-2
100%
2-10
4-9
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.7
26.1
30.6
6
44%
3
8
3
2
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
24.3
17.5
16
80%
6
1
0
0
3
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
4-4
100%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
19.0
2.3
7
52%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-5
0-0
40%
47%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.3
7.2
11.7
3
150%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
5.2
1.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.5
3.6
6.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
1.9
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.