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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Spurs49%8784
25Hornets51%8868
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
31.5
31.9
17
48%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
7-16
6-12
44%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.6
31.4
26.1
6
34%
8
1
0
1
0
0
0
8
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-6
17%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
30.9
31.3
14
55%
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
5-11
6-11
45%
52%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.1
23.1
19.2
10
67%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.7
14.4
18.7
4
29%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
27.9
15.9
6
39%
7
1
0
0
1
0
3
4
4-6
67%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
22.2
26.0
2
33%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
21.0
19.6
6
44%
7
0
0
0
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
19.3
15.9
13
60%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
1-3
0%
42%
4-6
67%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
7.8
11.3
4
52%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
5.6
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Melvin Sanders
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
5.0
9.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
34.8
30.6
15
52%
7
0
0
1
2
2
1
6
3-3
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.7
34.3
32.4
14
35%
7
4
3
2
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
5-15
4-9
33%
45%
0-3
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.3
33.5
29.5
5
43%
9
0
0
1
2
1
2
7
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.3
27.5
30.1
4
22%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-9
4-9
22%
43%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.6
22.2
23.8
2
16%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-6
2-6
17%
42%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.7
27.2
24.7
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-7
3-8
0%
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
23.9
22.2
15
98%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
42%
1-1
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
16.4
18.3
1
9%
5
0
2
0
4
1
1
4
1-6
17%
0-3
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.4
8.0
9.5
8
84%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
4.3
3.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
4.3
3.4
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
3.5
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.6
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.