Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 13, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	20	Wizards	32%	90	94
	11	Pacers	68%	96	85

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
WAS	108.0	87	83.5
IND	97.7	87	90.8

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+14

-11

IND

+11

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.6%

IND

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	IND
Q4 - 0:00.0	WAS		94 100%	85 0%
Q4 - 0:18.0	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	94 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0	IND	MISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot	94 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0	WAS	Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	94 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0	WAS	Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	93 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0	IND	Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)	92 99.7%	85 0.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0	IND	Jasikevicius REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	92 99.9%	82 0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0	IND	MISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot	92 99.9%	82 0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)	92 99.8%	82 0.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)	91 99.7%	82 0.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	90 99.5%	82 0.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0	IND	MISS Jones 11' Jump Shot	90 99.4%	82 0.6%
Q4 - 1:04	WAS	Butler 6' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)	90 98.3%	82 1.7%
Q4 - 1:18	IND	O'Neal 5' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Jasikevicius 7 AST)	88 96.0%	82 4.0%
Q4 - 1:20	WAS	Arenas 21' Jump Shot (35 PTS)	88 97.3%	80 2.7%
Q4 - 1:40	IND	Croshere Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)	86 94.0%	80 6.0%
Q4 - 2:00	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)	86 89.7%	80 10.3%
Q4 - 2:00	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)	85 88.9%	80 11.1%
Q4 - 2:02	IND	O'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)	84 84.3%	80 15.7%
Q4 - 2:19	WAS	Daniels 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arenas 8 AST)	84 73.0%	80 27.0%
Q4 - 2:30	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	82 68.0%	80 32.0%
Q4 - 2:31	WAS	MISS Butler 15' Jump Shot	82 56.6%	80 43.4%
Q4 - 2:48	WAS	Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	82 68.0%	80 32.0%
Q4 - 2:49	IND	MISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot	82 63.2%	80 36.8%
Q4 - 3:07	WAS	Arenas 16' Jump Shot (31 PTS)	82 50.3%	80 49.7%
Q4 - 3:22	IND	O'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)	80 44.3%	80 55.7%
Q4 - 3:36	IND	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	80 32.0%	80 68.0%
Q4 - 3:38	WAS	MISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot	80 34.6%	80 65.4%
Q4 - 3:41	WAS	Wizards Rebound	80 40.9%	80 59.1%
Q4 - 3:43	WAS	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	80 34.6%	80 65.4%
Q4 - 4:01	IND	Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	80 41.1%	80 58.9%
Q4 - 4:18	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)	80 59.4%	77 40.6%
Q4 - 4:18	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)	79 57.8%	77 42.2%
Q4 - 4:42	IND	Granger Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	78 50.7%	77 49.3%
Q4 - 5:01	WAS	Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	78 39.0%	77 61.0%
Q4 - 5:01	WAS	Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	77 37.7%	77 62.3%
Q4 - 5:10	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	76 31.8%	77 68.2%
Q4 - 5:12	IND	MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot	76 29.5%	77 70.5%
Q4 - 5:32	WAS	Arenas 8' Jump Shot (27 PTS)	76 24.7%	77 75.3%
Q4 - 5:56	IND	Croshere 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)	74 19.2%	77 80.8%
Q4 - 6:13	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	74 24.5%	75 75.5%
Q4 - 6:14	WAS	MISS Arenas 15' Jump Shot	74 26.6%	75 73.4%
Q4 - 6:31	WAS	Ruffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	74 31.6%	75 68.4%
Q4 - 6:33	IND	MISS Jasikevicius 9' Jump Shot	74 29.3%	75 70.7%
Q4 - 6:46	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	74 24.6%	75 75.4%
Q4 - 6:46	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)	73 23.6%	75 76.4%
Q4 - 7:10	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	72 20.9%	75 79.1%
Q4 - 7:10	IND	Granger 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)	72 20.9%	75 79.1%
Q4 - 7:12	IND	MISS Granger Layup	72 29.4%	73 70.6%
Q4 - 7:29	IND	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	72 25.1%	73 74.9%
Q4 - 7:30	WAS	MISS Butler 12' Jump Shot	72 26.9%	73 73.1%
Q4 - 7:39	IND	Jasikevicius Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)	72 31.4%	73 68.6%
Q4 - 7:42	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	72 25.1%	73 74.9%
Q4 - 7:44	IND	MISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot	72 29.4%	73 70.6%
Q4 - 8:09	IND	Croshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	72 25.9%	73 74.1%
Q4 - 8:09	WAS	MISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2	72 26.6%	73 73.4%
Q4 - 8:09	WAS	Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	72 30.4%	73 69.6%
Q4 - 8:23	IND	Croshere Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)	71 26.0%	73 74.0%
Q4 - 8:25	IND	Croshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	71 21.3%	73 78.7%
Q4 - 8:26	WAS	O'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)	71 22.6%	73 77.4%
Q4 - 8:32	IND	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	71 26.0%	73 74.0%
Q4 - 8:43	WAS	Arenas 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	71 36.8%	70 63.2%
Q4 - 8:59	IND	Jasikevicius 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	69 31.2%	70 68.8%
Q4 - 9:12	WAS	Arenas 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)	69 41.8%	67 58.2%
Q4 - 9:32	IND	Croshere 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jasikevicius 5 AST)	67 36.4%	67 63.6%
Q4 - 10:00	WAS	Daniels 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	67 41.9%	65 58.1%
Q4 - 10:04	IND	Jasikevicius Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	65 36.0%	65 64.0%
Q4 - 10:18	WAS	Jones STEAL (2 STL)	65 30.6%	65 69.4%
Q4 - 10:24	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	65 36.1%	65 63.9%
Q4 - 10:27	IND	MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot	65 34.4%	65 65.6%
Q4 - 10:29	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	65 30.6%	65 69.4%
Q4 - 10:36	WAS	MISS Butler 7' Jump Shot	65 32.2%	65 67.8%
Q4 - 11:01	IND	Jones 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jasikevicius 4 AST)	65 35.9%	65 64.1%
Q4 - 11:05	WAS	Thomas Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)	65 40.8%	63 59.2%
Q4 - 11:25	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	65 46.4%	63 53.6%
Q4 - 11:27	IND	MISS Foster 2' Layup	65 44.7%	63 55.3%
Q4 - 11:41	IND	PACERS Rebound	65 40.8%	63 59.2%
Q4 - 11:41	WAS	MISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot	65 42.5%	63 57.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		65 46.4%	63 53.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	IND	Jones 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)	65 46.4%	63 53.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0	WAS	Jeffries 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)	65 50.4%	61 49.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0	IND	Croshere 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	63 45.3%	61 54.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	63 50.5%	59 49.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0	WAS	MISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2	63 51.2%	59 48.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0	WAS	MISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2	63 54.7%	59 45.3%
Q3 - 1:02	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	63 53.9%	59 46.1%
Q3 - 1:04	IND	MISS Jasikevicius 26' 3PT Jump Shot	63 52.4%	59 47.6%
Q3 - 1:10	IND	Croshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	63 48.9%	59 51.1%
Q3 - 1:12	WAS	MISS Haywood 6' Jump Shot	63 50.5%	59 49.5%
Q3 - 1:35	IND	Jones 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)	63 54.0%	59 46.0%
Q3 - 1:54	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	63 58.8%	57 41.2%
Q3 - 1:54	WAS	MISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2	63 59.4%	57 40.6%
Q3 - 1:54	WAS	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	63 61.8%	57 38.2%
Q3 - 1:54	WAS	Wizards Rebound	62 58.9%	57 41.1%
Q3 - 1:55	WAS	MISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot	62 55.5%	57 44.5%
Q3 - 2:04	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	62 56.9%	57 43.1%
Q3 - 2:05	IND	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	62 55.4%	57 44.6%
Q3 - 2:29	WAS	Daniels 4' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS)	62 52.0%	57 48.0%
Q3 - 2:51	IND	Foster 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Jasikevicius 3 AST)	60 47.8%	57 52.2%
Q3 - 2:57	IND	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	60 52.1%	55 47.9%
Q3 - 2:59	WAS	MISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot	60 53.6%	55 46.4%
Q3 - 3:21	IND	O'Neal 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Jasikevicius 2 AST)	60 56.1%	55 43.9%
Q3 - 3:24	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	60 60.2%	53 39.8%
Q3 - 3:27	WAS	O'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)	60 61.5%	53 38.5%
Q3 - 3:29	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	60 64.6%	53 35.4%
Q3 - 3:31	WAS	O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)	60 61.6%	53 38.4%
Q3 - 3:32	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	60 64.6%	53 35.4%
Q3 - 3:33	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	60 64.6%	53 35.4%
Q3 - 3:33	WAS	MISS Haywood 2' Layup	60 61.6%	53 38.4%
Q3 - 3:35	WAS	MISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot	60 61.6%	53 38.4%
Q3 - 3:52	IND	Jackson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)	60 64.7%	53 35.3%
Q3 - 4:13	WAS	Haywood 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	60 58.3%	53 41.7%
Q3 - 4:31	IND	O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	58 54.8%	53 45.2%
Q3 - 4:31	IND	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	58 55.7%	52 44.3%
Q3 - 4:45	IND	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	58 58.4%	51 41.6%
Q3 - 4:45	WAS	MISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2	58 59.1%	51 40.9%
Q3 - 4:45	WAS	MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2	58 61.2%	51 38.8%
Q3 - 4:55	IND	O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	58 63.2%	51 36.8%
Q3 - 4:55	IND	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	58 64.0%	50 36.0%
Q3 - 5:14	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	58 65.3%	49 34.7%
Q3 - 5:14	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	57 64.6%	49 35.4%
Q3 - 5:30	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	56 61.7%	49 38.3%
Q3 - 5:30	IND	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2	56 61.2%	49 38.8%
Q3 - 5:30	IND	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	56 58.6%	49 41.4%
Q3 - 5:42	WAS	Haywood Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	56 61.4%	48 38.6%
Q3 - 5:52	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	53 53.6%	48 46.4%
Q3 - 5:54	IND	MISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot	53 52.3%	48 47.7%
Q3 - 6:15	WAS	Jeffries 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)	53 48.0%	48 52.0%
Q3 - 6:38	IND	Jackson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	51 44.3%	48 55.7%
Q3 - 7:05	WAS	Butler 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)	51 46.9%	46 53.1%
Q3 - 7:24	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49 43.6%	46 56.4%
Q3 - 7:24	IND	MISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2	49 43.0%	46 57.0%
Q3 - 7:24	IND	Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	49 40.5%	46 59.5%
Q3 - 7:37	IND	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	49 43.1%	45 56.9%
Q3 - 7:39	WAS	MISS Butler 1' Layup	49 44.4%	45 55.6%
Q3 - 7:46	WAS	Ruffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	49 47.5%	45 52.5%
Q3 - 7:47	IND	MISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot	49 46.1%	45 53.9%
Q3 - 7:52	IND	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	49 43.1%	45 56.9%
Q3 - 7:53	WAS	MISS Jeffries 20' Jump Shot	49 44.4%	45 55.6%
Q3 - 8:12	IND	Jackson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	49 46.9%	45 53.1%
Q3 - 8:36	WAS	Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	49 50.2%	43 49.8%
Q3 - 8:40	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	46 43.2%	43 56.8%
Q3 - 8:41	IND	MISS Harrison 5' Jump Shot	46 41.9%	43 58.1%
Q3 - 8:59	WAS	Butler Foul Turnover (P3.T9)	46 39.0%	43 61.0%
Q3 - 9:15	IND	O'Neal 2' Layup (8 PTS)	46 41.9%	43 58.1%
Q3 - 9:32	IND	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	46 45.4%	41 54.6%
Q3 - 9:33	WAS	MISS Butler 2' Layup	46 46.6%	41 53.4%
Q3 - 9:39	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	46 49.2%	41 50.8%
Q3 - 9:41	WAS	MISS Booth 14' Jump Shot	46 46.6%	41 53.4%
Q3 - 9:59	WAS	Ruffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	46 49.3%	41 50.7%
Q3 - 10:01	IND	MISS Harrison 15' Jump Shot	46 47.0%	41 53.0%
Q3 - 10:14	IND	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	46 44.3%	41 55.7%
Q3 - 10:15	WAS	MISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 2	46 44.8%	41 55.2%
Q3 - 10:15	WAS	Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	46 46.7%	41 53.3%
Q3 - 10:18	IND	O'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	45 44.7%	41 55.3%
Q3 - 10:37	WAS	Arenas 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	45 40.8%	41 59.2%
Q3 - 10:51	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	43 37.8%	41 62.2%
Q3 - 10:52	IND	MISS Granger 20' Jump Shot	43 36.7%	41 63.3%
Q3 - 11:16	WAS	Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)	43 33.7%	41 66.3%
Q3 - 11:22	IND	Jackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	40 28.0%	41 72.0%
Q3 - 11:23	IND	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 25.2%	41 74.8%
Q3 - 11:24	WAS	MISS Booth 16' Jump Shot	40 26.0%	41 74.0%
Q3 - 11:40	IND	O'Neal 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)	40 28.0%	41 72.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND		40 30.7%	39 69.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	Butler 29' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)	40 30.7%	39 69.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37 25.0%	39 75.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0	IND	MISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot	37 24.5%	39 75.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0	WAS	Arenas 17' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)	37 23.3%	39 76.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0	IND	Croshere Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	35 20.3%	39 79.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0	IND	Croshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 18.8%	39 81.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0	WAS	MISS Jeffries 9' Jump Shot	35 19.3%	39 80.7%
Q2 - 1:12	IND	Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	35 20.4%	39 79.6%
Q2 - 1:17	IND	Croshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	35 26.1%	36 73.9%
Q2 - 1:18	IND	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 27.0%	36 73.0%
Q2 - 1:46	WAS	Butler 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)	35 26.1%	36 73.9%
Q2 - 2:02	IND	Jackson 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	33 23.1%	36 76.9%
Q2 - 2:20	WAS	Arenas Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T8)	33 25.6%	34 74.4%
Q2 - 2:26	IND	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	33 27.8%	34 72.2%
Q2 - 2:26	IND	MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2	33 28.4%	33 71.6%
Q2 - 2:36	IND	PACERS Rebound	33 28.1%	33 71.9%
Q2 - 2:37	IND	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	33 29.7%	33 70.3%
Q2 - 2:48	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	33 28.1%	33 71.9%
Q2 - 2:50	IND	MISS Foster 3' Layup	33 29.7%	33 70.3%
Q2 - 2:51	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	33 28.1%	33 71.9%
Q2 - 2:53	IND	MISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot	33 29.7%	33 70.3%
Q2 - 3:15	WAS	Arenas 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	33 27.5%	33 72.5%
Q2 - 3:35	IND	Johnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	31 25.5%	33 74.5%
Q2 - 3:41	WAS	Johnson STEAL (1 STL)	31 27.5%	31 72.5%
Q2 - 4:03	IND	Foster Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	31 29.7%	31 70.3%
Q2 - 4:10	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	31 34.8%	28 65.2%
Q2 - 4:11	WAS	MISS Arenas 21' Jump Shot	31 35.6%	28 64.4%
Q2 - 4:24	IND	Jackson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	31 37.4%	28 62.6%
Q2 - 4:37	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	31 34.8%	28 65.2%
Q2 - 4:38	IND	MISS Jackson 2' Layup	31 36.6%	28 63.4%
Q2 - 4:57	WAS	Daniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	31 34.8%	28 65.2%
Q2 - 4:57	WAS	Daniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	30 34.4%	28 65.6%
Q2 - 5:00	IND	O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	29 32.2%	28 67.8%
Q2 - 5:20	WAS	Butler 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)	29 29.4%	28 70.6%
Q2 - 5:36	IND	Foster 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	27 27.3%	28 72.7%
Q2 - 5:57	IND	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 29.5%	26 70.5%
Q2 - 5:58	WAS	MISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot	27 30.2%	26 69.8%
Q2 - 6:23	IND	Johnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)	27 32.0%	26 68.0%
Q2 - 6:41	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	27 33.9%	24 66.1%
Q2 - 6:42	WAS	MISS Daniels 4' Jump Shot	27 34.8%	24 65.2%
Q2 - 6:54	IND	Harrison Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	27 37.0%	24 63.0%
Q2 - 7:09	WAS	Blatche 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	27 33.8%	24 66.2%
Q2 - 7:30	IND	Harrison 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)	25 31.6%	24 68.4%
Q2 - 7:50	WAS	Jamison Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)	25 33.8%	22 66.2%
Q2 - 8:06	IND	Jones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	25 36.1%	22 63.9%
Q2 - 8:26	WAS	Arenas 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	25 38.2%	20 61.8%
Q2 - 8:33	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 36.1%	20 63.9%
Q2 - 8:34	IND	MISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot	23 35.3%	20 64.7%
Q2 - 8:49	WAS	Arenas 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	23 33.5%	20 66.5%
Q2 - 9:16	IND	Jasikevicius Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	21 31.1%	20 68.9%
Q2 - 9:35	WAS	Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)	21 28.8%	20 71.2%
Q2 - 9:43	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	18 25.0%	20 75.0%
Q2 - 9:45	WAS	MISS Daniels 21' Jump Shot	18 23.6%	20 76.4%
Q2 - 10:11	IND	O'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	18 25.1%	20 74.9%
Q2 - 10:24	IND	Croshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 26.8%	18 73.2%
Q2 - 10:25	WAS	MISS Haywood 11' Jump Shot	18 27.5%	18 72.5%
Q2 - 10:47	WAS	Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 29.0%	18 71.0%
Q2 - 10:49	IND	MISS Jasikevicius 15' Jump Shot	18 28.3%	18 71.7%
Q2 - 11:03	WAS	Blatche 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)	18 26.5%	18 73.5%
Q2 - 11:22	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 24.7%	18 75.3%
Q2 - 11:24	IND	MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot	16 24.1%	18 75.9%
Q2 - 11:31	IND	Jasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 22.9%	18 77.1%
Q2 - 11:34	WAS	MISS Jamison 19' Jump Shot	16 23.5%	18 76.5%
Q2 - 11:40	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 24.7%	18 75.3%
Q2 - 11:42	IND	MISS O'Neal 2' Layup	16 24.2%	18 75.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS		16 23.0%	18 77.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 24.7%	18 75.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0	IND	MISS Jones 4' Jump Shot	16 24.0%	18 76.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0	IND	PACERS Rebound	16 23.1%	18 76.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0	WAS	MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot	16 23.5%	18 76.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0	IND	Croshere Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	16 24.4%	18 75.6%
Q1 - 1:05	WAS	Butler 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)	16 23.1%	18 76.9%
Q1 - 1:24	IND	Croshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)	14 21.1%	18 78.9%
Q1 - 1:40	WAS	Jones STEAL (1 STL)	14 24.8%	15 75.2%
Q1 - 1:42	IND	Foster Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	14 26.2%	15 73.8%
Q1 - 1:42	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	14 28.1%	14 71.9%
Q1 - 1:42	IND	Foster 2' Layup (2 PTS)	14 28.1%	14 71.9%
Q1 - 1:43	IND	MISS Jackson 1' Layup	14 31.6%	12 68.4%
Q1 - 1:56	WAS	Arenas 1' Layup (4 PTS)	14 30.5%	12 69.5%
Q1 - 1:56	WAS	Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	12 28.1%	12 71.9%
Q1 - 1:58	WAS	MISS Haywood 7' Jump Shot	12 27.1%	12 72.9%
Q1 - 2:12	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 28.3%	12 71.7%
Q1 - 2:14	IND	MISS Jones 22' Jump Shot	12 27.7%	12 72.3%
Q1 - 2:33	WAS	Thomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)	12 26.5%	12 73.5%
Q1 - 2:41	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 28.2%	12 71.8%
Q1 - 2:42	IND	MISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot	12 27.7%	12 72.3%
Q1 - 2:55	IND	PACERS Rebound	12 26.5%	12 73.5%
Q1 - 2:56	IND	MISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot	12 27.7%	12 72.3%
Q1 - 3:02	IND	Foster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 26.1%	12 73.9%
Q1 - 3:03	WAS	MISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot	12 26.7%	12 73.3%
Q1 - 3:18	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 28.1%	12 71.9%
Q1 - 3:20	IND	MISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot	12 27.5%	12 72.5%
Q1 - 3:41	WAS	Thomas 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)	12 26.2%	12 73.8%
Q1 - 3:43	WAS	Wizards Rebound	10 24.7%	12 75.3%
Q1 - 3:44	WAS	Granger BLOCK (1 BLK)	10 23.4%	12 76.6%
Q1 - 3:45	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	10 24.7%	12 75.3%
Q1 - 3:47	WAS	MISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot	10 23.4%	12 76.6%
Q1 - 3:54	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 24.7%	12 75.3%
Q1 - 3:56	IND	MISS O'Neal 2' Layup	10 24.1%	12 75.9%
Q1 - 4:11	IND	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	10 22.6%	12 77.4%
Q1 - 4:12	WAS	MISS Thomas 8' Jump Shot	10 23.1%	12 76.9%
Q1 - 4:34	IND	Jackson 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)	10 24.5%	12 75.5%
Q1 - 4:53	WAS	Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	10 25.8%	10 74.2%
Q1 - 4:53	WAS	MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2	9 25.6%	10 74.4%
Q1 - 5:13	WAS	Jeffries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 25.7%	10 74.3%
Q1 - 5:14	IND	MISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot	9 25.2%	10 74.8%
Q1 - 5:35	WAS	Butler 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	9 24.0%	10 76.0%
Q1 - 5:44	WAS	Wizards Rebound	7 22.7%	10 77.3%
Q1 - 5:46	WAS	MISS Jeffries 22' Jump Shot	7 21.6%	10 78.4%
Q1 - 6:05	WAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 22.6%	10 77.4%
Q1 - 6:06	IND	MISS Harrison 7' Jump Shot	7 22.1%	10 77.9%
Q1 - 6:27	IND	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 21.1%	10 78.9%
Q1 - 6:30	WAS	MISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot	7 21.6%	10 78.4%
Q1 - 6:35	WAS	Wizards Rebound	7 22.6%	10 77.4%
Q1 - 6:36	WAS	MISS Butler 6' Jump Shot	7 21.6%	10 78.4%
Q1 - 6:54	IND	Harrison Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	7 22.6%	10 77.4%
Q1 - 7:06	WAS	Arenas Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	7 25.2%	7 74.8%
Q1 - 7:22	IND	Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)	7 26.9%	7 73.1%
Q1 - 7:53	WAS	Butler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)	7 29.8%	4 70.2%
Q1 - 8:15	IND	Jackson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)	5 28.3%	4 71.7%
Q1 - 8:33	IND	PACERS Rebound	5 29.6%	2 70.4%
Q1 - 8:35	WAS	MISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot	5 30.2%	2 69.8%
Q1 - 9:00	IND	O'Neal 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	5 31.4%	2 68.6%
Q1 - 9:02	IND	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5 32.5%	0 67.5%
Q1 - 9:03	IND	MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot	5 34.0%	0 66.0%
Q1 - 9:18	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	5 32.6%	0 67.4%
Q1 - 9:18	WAS	Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 32.3%	0 67.7%
Q1 - 9:37	WAS	Booth REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 31.4%	0 68.6%
Q1 - 9:39	IND	MISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot	3 30.7%	0 69.3%
Q1 - 9:45	WAS	Granger STEAL (1 STL)	3 29.3%	0 70.7%
Q1 - 9:49	IND	Granger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	3 31.4%	0 68.6%
Q1 - 10:03	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 29.3%	0 70.7%
Q1 - 10:05	WAS	MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot	3 29.8%	0 70.2%
Q1 - 10:10	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	3 31.1%	0 68.9%
Q1 - 10:11	IND	MISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot	3 30.5%	0 69.5%
Q1 - 10:23	WAS	Butler Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	3 29.3%	0 70.7%
Q1 - 10:30	WAS	Ruffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	3 31.1%	0 68.9%
Q1 - 10:31	IND	MISS Granger 16' Jump Shot	3 30.5%	0 69.5%
Q1 - 10:48	IND	Harrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	3 29.3%	0 70.7%
Q1 - 10:48	WAS	MISS Jeffries Free Throw 2 of 2	3 29.5%	0 70.5%
Q1 - 10:48	WAS	Jeffries Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	3 30.3%	0 69.7%
Q1 - 10:52	WAS	Ruffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 29.5%	0 70.5%
Q1 - 10:55	WAS	MISS Butler 19' Jump Shot	2 28.3%	0 71.7%
Q1 - 11:16	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 29.2%	0 70.8%
Q1 - 11:18	IND	MISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot	2 28.7%	0 71.3%
Q1 - 11:38	WAS	Booth 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)	2 27.8%	0 72.2%
Q1 - 12:00	IND	Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Jeffries: Tip to Ruffin	0 26.3%	0 73.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.6%

IND

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

60%

IND

62%

Midrange

WAS

40%

IND

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

4.5

43%

64%

IND

7.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

WAS

74%

IND

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Arenas	37	74%	18.5 / 25
C. Butler	24	52%	12.0 / 23
A. Daniels	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Jeffries	9	50%	4.5 / 9
B. Haywood	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Blatche	4	100%	2.0 / 2
E. Thomas	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. Booth	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Ruffin	0	-	0.0 / 0
A. Jamison	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal	20	53%	10.0 / 19
F. Jones	14	58%	7.0 / 12
S. Jackson	11	34%	5.5 / 16
J. Foster	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Croshere	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Johnson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Granger	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Harrison	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Jasikevicius	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+14

-11

IND

+11

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.6%

IND

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	108.6 103.9	WAS 108.0 IND 97.7 +10.3
Pace	93.0 90.1	WAS 83.5 IND 90.8 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15.3 16.0	WAS 17.2 IND 15.9 +1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.4% 48.7%	WAS 47.9% IND 48.7% +0.8%
TO %	14.3% 16.3%	WAS 11.2% +6.0% IND 17.2%
ORB %	29.5% 27.1%	WAS 24.3% +2.3% IND 22.0%
FTrt	37.5 34.4	WAS 47.2 +27.2 IND 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	51.2% 58.5%	WAS 39.4% IND 58.8% +19.4%
STL %	8.6% 8.1%	WAS 12.6% +8.0% IND 4.6%
BLK %	6.6% 7.5%	WAS 9.5% +3.3% IND 6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.4% 51.7%	WAS 51.6% IND 51.8% +0.2%
Rim FG%	58.0% 57.7%	WAS 60.0% IND 61.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%	37.8% 39.0%	WAS 40.0% +4.9% IND 35.1%
3P %	35.7% 34.9%	WAS 42.9% +1.2% IND 41.7%
FT %	75.7% 73.7%	WAS 73.5% IND 80.0% +6.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.3% 34.3%	WAS 27.8% IND 34.7% +6.9%
Mid Att. %	42.8% 41.2%	WAS 62.5% IND 49.3% +13.2%
3P Att. %	20.9% 24.5%	WAS 9.7% IND 16.0% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	IND
Possessions	87	87
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	94	85
Rebounds	41	37
Assists	13	20
Steals	11	4
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	28 (3)
Field Goals	33-72	34-75
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	16-26
Midrange FG	18-45	13-37
2-Point FG	30-65	29-63
3-Point FG	3-7	5-12
Free Throws	25-34	12-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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20 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 24	44.7	37	74%	4	8	2	0	3	2	1	3	12-14	86%	11-14	79%	1-4	25%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 26	41.0	24	52%	8	2	5	0	3	2	0	8	4-6	67%	7-18	39%	2-2	100%
Jared Jeffries G · 6'11" 240 · 24	30.6	9	50%	5	0	2	1	0	4	2	3	3-5	60%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Michael Ruffin F · 6'8" 248 · 29	24.0	0	0%	5	1	0	1	1	6	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 30	9.3	2	33%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 31	30.9	10	50%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 26	20.0	5	36%	9	0	0	2	0	3	5	4	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 28	16.5	3	30%	5	0	0	1	2	2	0	5	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 30	13.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Andray Blatche C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19	5.1	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Donell Taylor G · 6'5" 193 · 23	2.6	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Awvee Storey F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peter John Ramos #34 · C · 7'3" 275 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jarvis Hayes #24 · F · 6'8" 228 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chucky Atkins #7 · G · 5'11" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	52%	41	13	11	6	11	0	9	32	25-34	74%	30-65	46%	3-7	43%

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20 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 24	44.7	37	74%	4	8	2	0	3	2	1	3	12-14	86%	11-14	79%	1-4	25%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 26	41.0	24	52%	8	2	5	0	3	2	0	8	4-6	67%	7-18	39%	2-2	100%
Jared Jeffries G · 6'11" 240 · 24	30.6	9	50%	5	0	2	1	0	4	2	3	3-5	60%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Michael Ruffin F · 6'8" 248 · 29	24.0	0	0%	5	1	0	1	1	6	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Calvin Booth C · 6'11" 230 · 30	9.3	2	33%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 31	30.9	10	50%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 26	20.0	5	36%	9	0	0	2	0	3	5	4	1-1	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Etan Thomas C · 6'10" 260 · 28	16.5	3	30%	5	0	0	1	2	2	0	5	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 30	13.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Andray Blatche C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19	5.1	4	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Donell Taylor G · 6'5" 193 · 23	2.6	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Awvee Storey F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peter John Ramos #34 · C · 7'3" 275 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jarvis Hayes #24 · F · 6'8" 228 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chucky Atkins #7 · G · 5'11" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	52%	41	13	11	6	11	0	9	32	25-34	74%	30-65	46%	3-7	43%

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11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jermaine O'Neal F · 6'11" 255 · 27	38.6	20	53%	7	4	0	3	4	4	1	6	6-7	86%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Stephen Jackson G · 6'8" 220 · 28	37.9	11	34%	4	5	0	0	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	0-3	0%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 23	26.4	5	50%	4	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Anthony Johnson G · 6'3" 195 · 31	23.8	8	57%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
David Harrison C · 7'0" 280 · 23	13.2	5	50%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Fred Jones G · 6'2" 225 · 27	31.7	14	58%	1	1	2	0	0	4	0	1	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
Sarunas Jasikevicius · 6'4" 197 · 30	24.2	3	38%	2	7	0	0	3	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Austin Croshere F · 6'10" 240 · 31	22.4	9	75%	6	0	0	0	4	4	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Jeff Foster F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29	21.8	10	71%	11	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Scot Pollard C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31
Eddie Gill G · 6'0" 190 · 27
Metta World Peace #15 · F · 6'7" 260 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jamaal Tinsley #11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jonathan Bender #24 · F · 7'0" 230 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	52%	37	20	4	4	17	0	9	28	12-15	80%	29-63	46%	5-12	42%

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indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE