FinalWin Prob.pScore
2315%86
92
185%99
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
103.48994.3
SAS logo SAS
106.78984.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS92
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)92
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)92
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)91
7.6%
93
92.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)90
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)90
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILRedd 1' Slam Dunk (24 PTS)90
8.3%
91
91.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 288
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)88
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILParker BLOCK (1 BLK)88
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)88
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)87
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 287
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASSPURS Rebound87
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Duncan 16' Fadeaway Jumper87
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILMISS Redd 2' Layup87
9.8%
89
90.2%
Q4 - 1:09MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
15.1%
89
84.9%
Q4 - 1:11SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot87
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q4 - 1:33MILSimmons 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)87
8.7%
89
91.3%
Q4 - 1:49SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)85
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 2:04MILWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)85
13.5%
86
86.5%
Q4 - 2:18SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)85
22.9%
86
77.1%
Q4 - 2:28SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
37.9%
83
62.1%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot85
49.6%
83
50.4%
Q4 - 2:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
37.6%
83
62.4%
Q4 - 2:47MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 185
39.8%
83
60.2%
Q4 - 2:51MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
31.5%
83
68.5%
Q4 - 2:53SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot83
27.8%
83
72.2%
Q4 - 3:03SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
20.3%
83
79.7%
Q4 - 3:05SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot83
27.8%
83
72.2%
Q4 - 3:21SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical83
20.0%
83
80.0%
Q4 - 3:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
21.4%
83
78.6%
Q4 - 3:35MILNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)83
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q4 - 3:52MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
28.9%
83
71.1%
Q4 - 3:55SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 283
27.8%
83
72.2%
Q4 - 3:55SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 283
24.6%
83
75.4%
Q4 - 4:12MILRedd 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)83
21.5%
83
78.5%
Q4 - 4:33SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)81
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 4:37SASSPURS Rebound81
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
26.7%
81
73.3%
Q4 - 4:59MILWelsch 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)81
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q4 - 5:16SASParker 1' Layup (17 PTS)79
15.8%
81
84.2%
Q4 - 5:23SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q4 - 5:25MILNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)79
22.3%
79
77.7%
Q4 - 5:45SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)79
26.9%
79
73.1%
Q4 - 6:14MILKukoc 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
37.1%
76
62.9%
Q4 - 6:38SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)77
31.4%
76
68.6%
Q4 - 6:57SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
37.4%
74
62.6%
Q4 - 6:59MILMISS Welsch 20' Jump Shot77
39.9%
74
60.1%
Q4 - 7:09SASMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)77
42.0%
74
58.0%
Q4 - 7:30MILMagloire 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)77
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q4 - 7:40MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
29.5%
74
70.5%
Q4 - 7:42SASMISS Van Exel 17' Fadeaway Jumper75
27.6%
74
72.4%
Q4 - 8:06MILWelsch 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)75
23.4%
74
76.6%
Q4 - 8:11SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)73
19.2%
74
80.8%
Q4 - 8:28MILWilliams Backcourt Turnover (P3.T13)73
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q4 - 8:41SASVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)73
19.2%
74
80.8%
Q4 - 8:51MILFinley STEAL (1 STL)73
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q4 - 9:12SASVan Exel 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)73
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q4 - 9:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
22.5%
72
77.5%
Q4 - 9:21MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot73
23.8%
72
76.2%
Q4 - 9:39MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
27.2%
72
72.8%
Q4 - 9:40SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot73
25.7%
72
74.3%
Q4 - 9:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
22.5%
72
77.5%
Q4 - 9:49MILMISS Kukoc 17' Jump Shot73
23.9%
72
76.1%
Q4 - 10:12MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
26.6%
72
73.4%
Q4 - 10:13SASMISS Mohammed 17' Jump Shot73
25.1%
72
74.9%
Q4 - 10:38MILWilliams 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)73
22.1%
72
77.9%
Q4 - 10:56SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)71
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q4 - 11:11MILWilliams 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
26.4%
69
73.6%
Q4 - 11:20MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q4 - 11:22SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
21.4%
69
78.6%
Q4 - 11:47MILMagloire 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)69
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS67
15.8%
69
84.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound67
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 37' 3PT Jump Shot67
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILGinobili STEAL (2 STL)67
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup67
14.7%
69
85.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0MILWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
13.0%
69
87.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)65
10.9%
69
89.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILRedd 11' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)65
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot63
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 1:00SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS)63
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 1:18MILKukoc 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)63
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 1:33SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 1:33SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 1:45MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)61
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 1:45MILBogut 1' Layup (11 PTS)61
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 1:48MILMISS Ford 2' Layup59
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 2:07SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 2:30MILRedd 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)59
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 2:37MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q3 - 2:42SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot57
7.3%
63
92.7%
Q3 - 3:05MILKukoc 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)57
6.7%
63
93.3%
Q3 - 3:18SASFinley Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 3:22SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 3:24MILMISS Redd 2' Layup55
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 3:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 3:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q3 - 3:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 3:55MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 4:11SASBowen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)55
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 4:26MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 4:29SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)52
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q3 - 4:32SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 4:48MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q3 - 4:49SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Bank Shot52
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 5:05MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 5:05MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)51
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 5:18SASFinley 2' Layup (8 PTS)50
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q3 - 5:25MILNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)50
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 5:32MILFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q3 - 5:34MILBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)50
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q3 - 5:54MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q3 - 5:56SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 250
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q3 - 6:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q3 - 6:13MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Shot50
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 6:35SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)50
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q3 - 6:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
10.8%
53
89.2%
Q3 - 6:47MILGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)50
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 7:05SASDuncan 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)50
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q3 - 7:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q3 - 7:25MILBogut Layup (9 PTS)50
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q3 - 7:27MILMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot48
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q3 - 7:47MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q3 - 7:49SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q3 - 8:01MILRedd 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)48
10.7%
51
89.3%
Q3 - 8:12MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q3 - 8:15SASMISS Nesterovic 5' Hook Shot46
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q3 - 8:40MILRedd 7' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)46
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q3 - 9:02SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)44
7.1%
51
92.9%
Q3 - 9:16MILMagloire Foul Turnover (P5.T9)44
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q3 - 9:28SASGinobili 1' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)44
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q3 - 9:49MILRedd Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)44
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q3 - 9:55SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)42
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q3 - 10:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
9.0%
46
91.0%
Q3 - 10:07MILMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot42
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q3 - 10:30SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q3 - 10:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
13.2%
43
86.8%
Q3 - 10:50MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot42
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q3 - 10:52MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
15.1%
43
84.9%
Q3 - 10:54MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot42
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q3 - 11:12SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)42
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q3 - 11:26MILMagloire 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)42
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL40
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 34' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot38
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
10.4%
41
89.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot38
10.6%
41
89.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASGinobili 2' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)38
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILParker STEAL (1 STL)38
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)38
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 1:19MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 1:19MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 237
17.8%
36
82.2%
Q2 - 1:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 1:21MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot37
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 1:29MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 1:30SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot37
17.3%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 1:47MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
16.6%
36
83.4%
Q2 - 1:47MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
16.3%
36
83.7%
Q2 - 1:49MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 1:52MILMISS Ford 20' Fadeaway Jumper35
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 2:15MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 235
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 2:16SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 2:32MILMagloire Foul Turnover (P3.T7)35
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 2:46MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 2:48SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 2:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 2:59MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)35
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 3:28SASBarry 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 3:35SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 3:37MILMISS Magloire 13' Jump Shot35
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q2 - 3:55SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 3:55SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 4:25MILGadzuric 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)35
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 4:33SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)33
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 4:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q2 - 4:39MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot33
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 4:45MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
18.4%
31
81.6%
Q2 - 4:48SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot33
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 5:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 5:05MILMISS Redd 15' Turnaround Jump Shot33
16.8%
31
83.2%
Q2 - 5:29SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)33
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 5:38SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 5:39SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot33
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 5:42SASSPURS Rebound33
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 5:42SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot33
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 6:09MILWilliams 1' Layup (8 PTS)33
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 6:13MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 6:30MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)31
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q2 - 6:40MILBucks Rebound29
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 6:41MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 6:53MILBucks Rebound29
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 6:53SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q2 - 7:05MILWilliams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)29
13.3%
29
86.7%
Q2 - 7:24SASGinobili 2' Finger Roll (6 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)27
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 7:36MILWilliams 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)27
13.2%
27
86.8%
Q2 - 7:56SASVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
12.2%
27
87.8%
Q2 - 8:11MILWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q2 - 8:13MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q2 - 8:15SASMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot25
15.4%
24
84.6%
Q2 - 8:29SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q2 - 8:31MILMISS Welsch 16' Jump Shot25
14.8%
24
85.2%
Q2 - 8:50SASVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q2 - 8:58MILGinobili STEAL (1 STL)25
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q2 - 9:22SASVan Exel 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)25
15.6%
24
84.4%
Q2 - 9:45MILWelsch 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)25
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q2 - 10:04MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q2 - 10:08SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup22
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q2 - 10:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q2 - 10:27MILMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot22
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q2 - 10:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q2 - 10:36SASMISS Oberto 10' Jump Bank Shot22
13.9%
22
86.1%
Q2 - 11:00MILFord 1' Layup (4 PTS)22
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q2 - 11:03MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q2 - 11:06SASMISS Ginobili 7' Running Jump Shot20
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q2 - 11:24SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q2 - 11:25MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 220
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q2 - 11:25MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 220
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q2 - 11:43SASFinley Dunk (6 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)20
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
12.8%
20
87.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound20
12.8%
20
87.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 30' 3PT Jump Shot20
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)20
12.8%
20
87.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILBucks Rebound20
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Kukoc 29' 3PT Jump Shot20
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
13.8%
19
86.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MILKukoc 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS)18
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 1:14SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 1:21SASSPURS Rebound18
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 1:21SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot18
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 1:41MILBogut 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 1:59SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)16
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 2:27MILRedd 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 2:32MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 2:36MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot14
14.0%
13
86.0%
Q1 - 2:49MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 2:53SASMISS Mohammed 3' Dunk14
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 3:10MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 3:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 3:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 3:40SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot12
12.1%
13
87.9%
Q1 - 4:00SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 4:03MILMISS Redd 16' Fadeaway Jumper12
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 4:19SASMohammed 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)12
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 4:23SASFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)12
13.0%
11
87.0%
Q1 - 4:34MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 4:34MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
13.7%
10
86.3%
Q1 - 4:54SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)10
13.2%
10
86.8%
Q1 - 5:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 5:12MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 5:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 5:17MILMISS Redd 1' Reverse Layup10
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 5:32SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
14.7%
8
85.3%
Q1 - 5:53MILRedd 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 6:08SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
12.5%
8
87.5%
Q1 - 6:19SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 6:22MILMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot8
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 6:37SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
12.5%
8
87.5%
Q1 - 6:57MILMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)8
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 7:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.0%
6
86.0%
Q1 - 7:12SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot8
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 7:28MILSimmons Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 7:49SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
14.0%
6
86.0%
Q1 - 8:04MILFord 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)8
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 8:10SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 8:22MILMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 8:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 8:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
12.2%
5
87.8%
Q1 - 9:02MILBogut 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)6
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 9:43MILMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 9:43MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 10:01MILBucks Rebound2
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 10:03SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot2
11.6%
2
88.4%
Q1 - 10:20MILBogut 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
11.0%
2
89.0%
Q1 - 10:43SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 11:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 11:05MILMISS Bogut 18' Jump Shot0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:18MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.7%
0
88.3%
Q1 - 11:19SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup0
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 11:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 11:38MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Magloire: Tip to Bogut0
11.7%
0
88.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 52.9%
SAS
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
23
29
79%
SAS
14
20
70%
Midrange
MIL
13
38
34%
SAS
12
33
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
SAS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
MIL
14
18
78%
SAS
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2662%13.0 / 21
M. Williams1860%9.0 / 15
A. Bogut1354%6.5 / 12
J. Magloire1063%5.0 / 8
T. Kukoc857%4.0 / 7
J. Welsch770%3.5 / 5
T. Ford627%3.0 / 11
B. Simmons220%1.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2756%13.5 / 24
M. Finley2175%10.5 / 14
T. Parker1864%9.0 / 14
M. Ginobili1650%8.0 / 16
N. Van Exel770%3.5 / 5
B. Bowen2100%1.0 / 1
N. Mohammed233%1.0 / 3
B. Barry233%1.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic0-0.0 / 2
F. Oberto0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
76
+11
-13
87
SAS
75
+11
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.06 52.9%
SAS
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
107.1
MIL 103.4
SAS 106.7 +3.4
Pace
91.6
88.8
MIL 94.3 +10.0
SAS 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.9
MIL 15.3 +1.8
SAS 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.3%
MIL 51.3% +1.3%
SAS 50.0%
TO %
15.2%
14.8%
MIL 14.3%
SAS 14.3%
ORB %
27.4%
26.1%
MIL 23.7% +9.4%
SAS 14.3%
FTrt
32.2
29.8
MIL 23.7
SAS 45.7 +22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
57.4%
MIL 44.7%
SAS 68.8% +24.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.4%
MIL 7.9% +2.3%
SAS 5.6%
BLK %
5.4%
8.4%
MIL 7.5%
SAS 9.0% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
53.1%
MIL 52.9%
SAS 55.2% +2.3%
Rim FG%
54.9%
61.7%
MIL 79.3% +9.3%
SAS 70.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
39.0%
MIL 34.2%
SAS 36.4% +2.2%
3P %
38.0%
38.5%
MIL 22.2%
SAS 35.3% +13.1%
FT %
73.8%
70.2%
MIL 77.8%
SAS 78.1% +0.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
36.7%
MIL 38.2% +9.6%
SAS 28.6%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
41.8%
MIL 50.0%
SAS 47.1% +2.9%
3P Att. %
20.3%
21.5%
MIL 11.8%
SAS 24.3% +12.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points9295
Rebounds3934
Assists1722
Steals75
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)29 (0)
Field Goals38-7632-70
At-the-Rim FG23-2914-20
Midrange FG13-3812-33
2-Point FG36-6726-53
3-Point FG2-96-17
Free Throws14-1825-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
39.4
26
62%
8
2
2
0
1
2
2
6
6-6
100%
10-17
59%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
36.7
6
27%
4
5
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-1
0%
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
31.8
13
54%
10
1
1
1
0
4
4
6
1-5
20%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
31.6
10
63%
9
1
0
2
5
6
2
7
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
25.4
2
20%
3
2
1
0
1
6
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
34.6
18
60%
2
2
3
0
4
3
0
2
1-1
100%
7-12
58%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 37
19.6
8
57%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
13.7
7
70%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
7.1
2
100%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 25
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
53%
39
17
7
4
13
0
9
30
14-18
78%
36-67
54%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.