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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs45%8593
4Grizzlies55%8683
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
35.1
34.5
28
95%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
12-13
6-13
92%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.7
33.1
36.8
13
55%
12
3
0
1
1
2
2
10
3-4
75%
5-10
7-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
31.4
29.4
15
76%
2
5
1
1
2
1
0
2
8-11
73%
2-3
4-8
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.6
30.4
32.3
5
31%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
14.5
21.4
4
40%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
26.8
24.9
13
57%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.4
21.5
22.6
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
17.7
15.0
6
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
41%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
15.4
8.6
4
53%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.0
8.4
6.6
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
4.6
2.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.5
1.1
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
42.4
40.7
25
51%
9
1
0
1
1
3
5
4
7-8
88%
9-21
7-14
43%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.8
39.0
32.9
10
29%
5
7
1
1
0
0
2
3
4-7
57%
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
0-5
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
31.8
36.3
11
64%
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
1
5-6
83%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
26.6
20.5
6
43%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.2
25.6
33.6
10
63%
7
2
2
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
37.3
32.7
11
51%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
18.2
6.4
8
77%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-5
40%
3-3
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
10.2
2.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.5
8.9
11.3
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
4.5
0
0-1
40%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.