Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Hornets | 83% | 123 | 129 |
Updated: Apr 3, 2026 11:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 33% | 112 | 103 |
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Updated: Apr 3, 2026 11:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Raptors | 79% | 116 | 128 |
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Updated: Apr 3, 2026 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | 64% | 116 | 138 |
 | 22 | Mavericks | 36% | 111 | 127 |
Updated: Apr 3, 2026 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pelicans | 55% | 117 | 113 |
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Updated: Apr 4, 2026 02:01 AM
game detailThursday, April 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 30% | 105 | 108 |
 | 5 | Pistons | 70% | 112 | 113 |
Updated: Apr 2, 2026 10:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Lakers | 21% | 107 | 96 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 79% | 118 | 139 |
Updated: Apr 3, 2026 01:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Apr 3, 2026 02:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 36% | 112 | 106 |
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Updated: Apr 3, 2026 02:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Apr 3, 2026 02:01 AM
game detailWednesday, April 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 79% | 121 | 153 |
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Updated: Apr 1, 2026 11:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Knicks | 69% | 114 | 130 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 31% | 107 | 119 |
Updated: Apr 1, 2026 11:41 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 23% | 107 | 123 |
| 18 | Raptors | 77% | 116 | 115 |
Updated: Apr 1, 2026 11:41 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 43% | 115 | 145 |
 | 22 | Bulls | 57% | 117 | 126 |
Updated: Apr 1, 2026 11:41 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 86% | 119 | 127 |
| 26 | Warriors | 14% | 104 | 113 |
Updated: Apr 2, 2026 02:02 AM
game detailTuesday, March 31, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 51% | 112 | 99 |
 | 28 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 31, 2026 11:36 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 37% | 105 | 116 |
| 7 | Pistons | 63% | 109 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 31, 2026 11:36 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 51% | 111 | 94 |
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Updated: Mar 31, 2026 11:36 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 48% | 117 | 113 |
| 12 | Lakers | 52% | 118 | 127 |
Updated: Apr 1, 2026 02:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 35% | 109 | 114 |
| 11 | Clippers | 65% | 114 | 104 |
Updated: Apr 1, 2026 03:01 AM
game detailMonday, March 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Celtics | 48% | 112 | 102 |
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Updated: Mar 30, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Grizzlies | 27% | 107 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 30, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 68% | 117 | 124 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 32% | 111 | 94 |
Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 84% | 126 | 122 |
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Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:36 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 23% | 99 | 110 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 108 | 114 |
Updated: Mar 31, 2026 01:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 17% | 109 | 101 |
| 20 | Lakers | 83% | 121 | 120 |
Updated: Mar 31, 2026 02:02 AM
game detailSunday, March 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 88% | 118 | 127 |
| 30 | Bucks | 12% | 102 | 113 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 07:06 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 69% | 121 | 118 |
| 22 | Pacers | 31% | 114 | 135 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 08:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 45% | 112 | 114 |
| 3 | Hornets | 55% | 113 | 99 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 10:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 55% | 110 | 87 |
| 19 | Raptors | 45% | 109 | 139 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 10:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 17% | 107 | 88 |
| 17 | Blazers | 83% | 119 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 10:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 68% | 115 | 134 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 32% | 109 | 102 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 11:03 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 25% | 106 | 100 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 114 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 11:32 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 29% | 113 | 93 |
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Updated: Mar 30, 2026 02:01 AM
game detailSaturday, March 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 58% | 110 | 109 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 42% | 107 | 87 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 09:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 33% | 114 | 118 |
| 3 | Hornets | 67% | 119 | 114 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 09:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 27% | 114 | 113 |
| 18 | Hawks | 73% | 122 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 11:21 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 57% | 117 | 124 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 43% | 114 | 125 |
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 12:01 AM
game detailFriday, March 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 69% | 117 | 114 |
| 22 | Pacers | 31% | 110 | 113 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 11:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 27% | 108 | 102 |
| 2 | Celtics | 73% | 116 | 109 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 36% | 117 | 128 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 64% | 122 | 149 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 76% | 116 | 119 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 24% | 107 | 109 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 9% | 104 | 113 |
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 122 | 131 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 27% | 107 | 106 |
| 19 | Raptors | 73% | 115 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 12:33 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 19% | 106 | 126 |
| 20 | Warriors | 81% | 118 | 131 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 02:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 35% | 112 | 100 |
| 18 | Blazers | 65% | 117 | 93 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2026 02:03 AM
game detailThursday, March 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 46% | 113 | 103 |
| 7 | Hornets | 54% | 115 | 114 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 10:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 26% | 106 | 108 |
| 6 | Pistons | 74% | 114 | 129 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 10:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 17% | 108 | 117 |
| 16 | Magic | 83% | 120 | 121 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 10:51 PM
game detailWednesday, March 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 34% | 109 | 130 |
| 6 | Pistons | 66% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 71% | 122 | 137 |
| 22 | Pacers | 29% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 34% | 112 | 137 |
| 20 | 76ers | 66% | 117 | 157 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 52% | 110 | 109 |
| 2 | Celtics | 48% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 43% | 119 | 120 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 57% | 121 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 81% | 121 | 123 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 19% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 40% | 112 | 133 |
| 27 | Jazz | 60% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 53% | 109 | 108 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 47% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 23% | 113 | 135 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 77% | 122 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Nets | 15% | 100 | 106 |
| 17 | Warriors | 85% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 21% | 106 | 99 |
| 18 | Blazers | 79% | 117 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 37% | 106 | 94 |
| 13 | Clippers | 63% | 111 | 119 |
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 12% | 110 | 90 |
| 5 | Hornets | 88% | 126 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 29% | 112 | 116 |
| 9 | Knicks | 71% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 21% | 110 | 131 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 79% | 121 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 117 | 125 |
| 13 | Suns | 45% | 115 | 123 |
Monday, March 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 40% | 110 | 110 |
| 9 | Pistons | 60% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 31% | 111 | 128 |
| 19 | Magic | 69% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 117 | 123 |
| 25 | 76ers | 11% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 49% | 118 | 136 |
| 6 | Heat | 51% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 25% | 112 | 107 |
| 17 | Hawks | 75% | 120 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 73% | 117 | 124 |
| 23 | Bulls | 27% | 109 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 61% | 113 | 143 |
| 24 | Jazz | 39% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 60% | 113 | 137 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 40% | 110 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 16% | 102 | 99 |
| 16 | Blazers | 84% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 19% | 104 | 96 |
| 12 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 129 |
Sunday, March 22, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 28% | 113 | 112 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 72% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 39% | 106 | 122 |
| 28 | Kings | 61% | 110 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 5% | 103 | 113 |
| 6 | Knicks | 95% | 124 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 22% | 106 | 102 |
| 2 | Celtics | 78% | 116 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 56% | 110 | 98 |
| 16 | Suns | 44% | 108 | 120 |