Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Jan 23, 2025 06:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Magic | 70% | 112 | 79 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Raptors | 38% | 115 | 122 |
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Updated: Jan 24, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Mavericks | 24% | 105 | 121 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Jan 24, 2025 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 41% | 115 | 106 |
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Updated: Jan 24, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 63% | 114 | 96 |
 | 18 | Lakers | 37% | 109 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailWednesday, January 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 43% | 113 | 114 |
| 14 | Hawks | 57% | 116 | 104 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:17 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 111 | 115 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 49% | 110 | 114 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:17 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Hornets | 20% | 110 | 120 |
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Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Thunder | 82% | 119 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 36% | 113 | 117 |
| 9 | Kings | 64% | 118 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 116 | 117 |
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Updated: Jan 23, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailTuesday, January 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 109 | 116 |
 | 13 | Heat | 74% | 119 | 107 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 12:22 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 54% | 107 | 93 |
| 25 | Raptors | 46% | 105 | 109 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 12:22 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Nuggets | 76% | 120 | 144 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Lakers | 77% | 119 | 111 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailMonday, January 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 62% | 115 | 105 |
| 24 | Hornets | 38% | 110 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 04:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 30% | 106 | 107 |
| 5 | Rockets | 70% | 113 | 96 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 06:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 40% | 112 | 106 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 60% | 116 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 35% | 115 | 110 |
 | 9 | Knicks | 65% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 07:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Cavaliers | 68% | 122 | 118 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 08:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 125 |
| 14 | Warriors | 35% | 112 | 85 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 29% | 109 | 119 |
 | 23 | Pelicans | 71% | 117 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 21, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 36% | 112 | 112 |
| 18 | Clippers | 64% | 117 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 21, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailSunday, January 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 61% | 111 | 113 |
| 22 | Magic | 39% | 107 | 100 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 36% | 107 | 102 |
| 12 | Clippers | 64% | 112 | 116 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 64% | 121 | 102 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 115 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 15% | 110 | 100 |
| 6 | Kings | 85% | 126 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 09:53 AM
game detailSaturday, January 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 53% | 114 | 125 |
| 18 | Pistons | 47% | 113 | 121 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 08:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 22% | 112 | 119 |
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 123 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 27% | 108 | 102 |
| 11 | Pacers | 73% | 117 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 19% | 109 | 114 |
| 15 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 122 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 112 | 124 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 48% | 111 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 76% | 118 | 125 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 108 | 103 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFriday, January 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 19% | 101 | 94 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 114 | 121 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 48% | 110 | 116 |
| 9 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 133 |
| 17 | Heat | 46% | 113 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 30% | 110 | 112 |
 | 8 | Bucks | 70% | 118 | 130 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 27% | 110 | 123 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 73% | 120 | 136 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 55% | 118 | 140 |
| 15 | Spurs | 45% | 116 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 02:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 98 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 106 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 44% | 117 | 125 |
| 21 | Bulls | 56% | 119 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Nets | 35% | 105 | 101 |
| 25 | Lakers | 65% | 111 | 102 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailThursday, January 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 55% | 114 | 111 |
| 19 | Pistons | 45% | 113 | 100 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 78% | 123 | 130 |
| 29 | Wizards | 22% | 112 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 39% | 110 | 114 |
| 2 | Thunder | 61% | 114 | 134 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 118 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 109 | 89 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 39% | 110 | 127 |
| 6 | Kings | 61% | 114 | 132 |
Updated: Jan 17, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailWednesday, January 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 71% | 117 | 125 |
| 25 | 76ers | 29% | 108 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 121 | 97 |
| 22 | Raptors | 21% | 109 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 37% | 109 | 116 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 63% | 113 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 02:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 54% | 113 | 116 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 46% | 112 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 61% | 119 | 129 |
| 14 | Spurs | 39% | 115 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 65% | 114 | 128 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 35% | 109 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 64% | 113 | 117 |
| 30 | Jazz | 36% | 107 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 109 | 108 |
| 15 | Lakers | 51% | 110 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 19% | 102 | 67 |
| 10 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 126 |
Updated: Jan 16, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailTuesday, January 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 63% | 117 | 127 |
| 14 | Pacers | 37% | 112 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 88% | 115 | 118 |
| 28 | 76ers | 12% | 98 | 102 |
Updated: Jan 14, 2025 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 40% | 118 | 119 |
| 19 | Bulls | 60% | 121 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 116 | 118 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 52% | 117 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 02:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 45% | 110 | 132 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 111 | 114 |
Updated: Jan 15, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, January 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 84% | 119 | 120 |
| 29 | Wizards | 16% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 33% | 110 | 124 |
| 5 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 60% | 117 | 101 |
| 25 | Raptors | 40% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 47% | 114 | 118 |
| 6 | Rockets | 53% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 44% | 111 | 126 |
| 14 | Lakers | 56% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 35% | 106 | 98 |
| 12 | Clippers | 65% | 112 | 109 |
Sunday, January 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 46% | 114 | 106 |
| 8 | Knicks | 54% | 116 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 54% | 116 | 112 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 46% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 60% | 119 | 124 |
| 23 | Bulls | 40% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 13% | 107 | 119 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 123 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 32% | 114 | 108 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 68% | 121 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 44% | 105 | 99 |
| 20 | Magic | 56% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 136 |
| 30 | Wizards | 10% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 57% | 108 | 111 |
| 29 | Jazz | 43% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 32% | 111 | 113 |
| 16 | Suns | 68% | 118 | 120 |
Saturday, January 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 27% | 111 | 106 |
| 11 | Suns | 73% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 43% | 112 | 114 |
| 22 | Pistons | 57% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 47% | 113 | 127 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 119 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 109 | 98 |
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | |||
| 13 | Lakers | |||
Friday, January 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 29% | 111 | 96 |
| 10 | Pacers | 71% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| 16 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 31% | 108 | 123 |
| 19 | 76ers | 69% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 22% | 109 | 114 |
| 2 | Celtics | 78% | 120 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 60% | 114 | 126 |
| 4 | Knicks | 40% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 116 | 105 |
| 17 | Bulls | 73% | 125 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 18% | 106 | 105 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 82% | 119 | 124 |