for complete access.
All Games Sunday, January 22, 2006
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Nuggets
37%90
89
7
Spurs
63%94
85
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
96.79296.1
SAS logo SAS
91.49389.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN89
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
96.7%
85
3.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS Miller 14' Fadeaway Jumper89
97.5%
85
2.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
97.2%
85
2.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
97.7%
84
2.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)89
98.5%
83
1.5%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot89
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENMartin 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)89
95.8%
83
4.2%
Q4 - 1:00DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
92.6%
83
7.4%
Q4 - 1:03SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 287
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 1:03SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 1:17DENMiller 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
89.5%
82
10.5%
Q4 - 1:33SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
81.6%
82
18.4%
Q4 - 1:50DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
85.9%
80
14.1%
Q4 - 1:50DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
84.8%
80
15.2%
Q4 - 2:04SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)83
80.0%
80
20.0%
Q4 - 2:24DENBoykins 2' Layup (19 PTS)83
89.1%
77
10.9%
Q4 - 2:29DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
86.7%
77
13.3%
Q4 - 2:32SASMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot81
84.1%
77
15.9%
Q4 - 2:59DENElson 1' Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)81
74.2%
77
25.8%
Q4 - 3:03DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
68.8%
77
31.2%
Q4 - 3:05SASMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
64.8%
77
35.2%
Q4 - 3:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)79
54.6%
77
45.4%
Q4 - 3:15DENMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot79
59.3%
77
40.7%
Q4 - 3:37SASVan Exel 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
63.2%
77
36.8%
Q4 - 3:51SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
71.4%
75
28.6%
Q4 - 3:53DENMISS Boykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
73.8%
75
26.2%
Q4 - 3:58SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)79
78.8%
75
21.2%
Q4 - 4:16DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)79
71.8%
75
28.2%
Q4 - 4:39SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
79.3%
75
20.7%
Q4 - 4:39SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 279
81.0%
74
19.0%
Q4 - 4:39SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
78.9%
74
21.1%
Q4 - 4:40SASMISS Mohammed 8' Jump Shot79
83.2%
74
16.8%
Q4 - 4:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)79
79.0%
74
21.0%
Q4 - 4:54DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot79
81.0%
74
19.0%
Q4 - 5:06SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
80.6%
74
19.4%
Q4 - 5:06SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 279
82.0%
73
18.0%
Q4 - 5:21DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)79
80.5%
73
19.5%
Q4 - 5:24SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)79
85.4%
73
14.6%
Q4 - 5:42SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
80.7%
73
19.3%
Q4 - 5:43DENMISS Martin 13' Jump Bank Shot79
82.3%
73
17.7%
Q4 - 5:47DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
85.6%
73
14.4%
Q4 - 5:49DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)79
82.3%
73
17.7%
Q4 - 6:14DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
82.5%
73
17.5%
Q4 - 6:16SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot79
80.9%
73
19.1%
Q4 - 6:44DENElson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)79
77.1%
73
22.9%
Q4 - 7:02DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
69.2%
73
30.8%
Q4 - 7:04SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot77
67.2%
73
32.8%
Q4 - 7:21DENBoykins 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
62.3%
73
37.7%
Q4 - 7:42SASVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)75
56.6%
73
43.4%
Q4 - 8:02DENMiller 2' Layup (13 PTS)75
66.6%
70
33.4%
Q4 - 8:10SASVan Exel 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)73
60.9%
70
39.1%
Q4 - 8:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)73
66.8%
68
33.2%
Q4 - 8:29DENMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
68.5%
68
31.5%
Q4 - 8:40DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
72.3%
68
27.7%
Q4 - 9:00SASMISS Mohammed 14' Jump Shot73
70.8%
68
29.2%
Q4 - 9:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
66.8%
68
33.2%
Q4 - 9:01DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 273
65.5%
68
34.5%
Q4 - 9:01DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
69.0%
68
31.0%
Q4 - 9:24SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)72
65.1%
68
34.9%
Q4 - 9:43DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)72
59.3%
68
40.7%
Q4 - 9:50SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)69
47.6%
68
52.4%
Q4 - 9:57SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
41.4%
68
58.6%
Q4 - 9:59DENMISS Miller 10' Jump Bank Shot69
43.3%
68
56.7%
Q4 - 10:04DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
46.9%
68
53.1%
Q4 - 10:06SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
45.0%
68
55.0%
Q4 - 10:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
40.9%
68
59.1%
Q4 - 10:25DENMISS Najera 2' Layup69
42.7%
68
57.3%
Q4 - 10:34SASBarry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)69
46.9%
68
53.1%
Q4 - 10:44DENBoykins 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)69
40.9%
68
59.1%
Q4 - 10:48SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)67
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q4 - 11:05DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)67
30.9%
68
69.1%
Q4 - 11:31SASOberto 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)67
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q4 - 11:45DENMiller 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
40.8%
66
59.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS65
35.9%
66
64.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
30.9%
66
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
34.3%
66
65.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)65
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)65
35.8%
66
64.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Bank Shot65
32.6%
66
67.4%
Q3 - 1:09SASBarry 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)65
35.7%
66
64.3%
Q3 - 1:23DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
40.2%
64
59.8%
Q3 - 1:23DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
39.3%
64
60.7%
Q3 - 1:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 1:24DENMISS Boykins 6' Jump Shot63
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q3 - 1:33DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 1:35SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
34.3%
64
65.7%
Q3 - 1:42SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
31.2%
64
68.8%
Q3 - 1:44DENMISS Elson 14' Jump Shot63
32.6%
64
67.4%
Q3 - 2:01SASFinley Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)63
35.3%
64
64.7%
Q3 - 2:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
30.9%
64
69.1%
Q3 - 2:16DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 263
31.4%
64
68.6%
Q3 - 2:16DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 263
34.2%
64
65.8%
Q3 - 2:24SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
35.4%
64
64.6%
Q3 - 2:24SASMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 263
36.6%
63
63.4%
Q3 - 2:34SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
35.0%
63
65.0%
Q3 - 2:36DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot63
36.4%
63
63.6%
Q3 - 2:52SASMohammed 2' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)63
39.8%
63
60.2%
Q3 - 3:12DENNajera 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)63
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q3 - 3:29DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
39.7%
61
60.3%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot61
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 3:40DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)61
35.2%
61
64.8%
Q3 - 3:57SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)59
31.4%
61
68.6%
Q3 - 4:14SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
34.7%
59
65.3%
Q3 - 4:16DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot59
36.1%
59
63.9%
Q3 - 4:33DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
37.9%
59
62.1%
Q3 - 4:55DENWatson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)59
34.7%
59
65.3%
Q3 - 5:05SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)59
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 5:13SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
34.9%
59
65.1%
Q3 - 5:14DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot59
36.1%
59
63.9%
Q3 - 5:33SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 5:33SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 259
40.2%
58
59.8%
Q3 - 5:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
38.7%
58
61.3%
Q3 - 5:47DENMartin 1' Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)59
38.7%
58
61.3%
Q3 - 5:48DENMISS Anthony 3' Layup57
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q3 - 5:52SASBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)57
35.1%
58
64.9%
Q3 - 6:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 6:04DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot57
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q3 - 6:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 6:22SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot57
33.7%
58
66.3%
Q3 - 6:40SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 6:41DENMISS Martin 3' Driving Layup57
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q3 - 6:59DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 7:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 257
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 7:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
32.4%
58
67.6%
Q3 - 7:31DENWatson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
34.3%
57
65.7%
Q3 - 7:42SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
31.3%
57
68.7%
Q3 - 7:42SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 255
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 7:45DENParker STEAL (1 STL)55
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q3 - 7:52DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
34.8%
56
65.2%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup55
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 8:15DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
31.0%
56
69.0%
Q3 - 8:15DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
30.4%
56
69.6%
Q3 - 8:18SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)53
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q3 - 8:31DENWatson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)53
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q3 - 8:55SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q3 - 8:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
24.9%
54
75.1%
Q3 - 9:01DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot51
25.8%
54
74.2%
Q3 - 9:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)51
27.9%
54
72.1%
Q3 - 9:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
34.1%
51
65.9%
Q3 - 9:15SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q3 - 9:29DENMiller 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
34.1%
51
65.9%
Q3 - 9:38SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)49
31.0%
51
69.0%
Q3 - 9:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
37.5%
48
62.5%
Q3 - 10:00DENMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot49
38.6%
48
61.4%
Q3 - 10:21SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)49
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q3 - 10:31DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)49
37.0%
48
63.0%
Q3 - 10:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q3 - 10:42SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot49
39.6%
48
60.4%
Q3 - 10:58DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)49
37.0%
48
63.0%
Q3 - 11:18DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q3 - 11:20SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot49
39.2%
48
60.8%
Q3 - 11:35DENElson 2' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)49
36.8%
48
63.2%
Q3 - 11:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
33.8%
48
66.2%
Q3 - 11:43SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Jump Shot47
32.8%
48
67.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN47
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound47
33.8%
48
66.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 44' 3PT Jump Shot47
31.6%
48
68.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
33.8%
48
66.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot47
32.7%
48
67.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)47
31.4%
48
68.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0DENAnthony 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)46
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)44
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMartin 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)44
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 1:03DENNuggets Rebound42
27.7%
45
72.3%
Q2 - 1:03SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot42
27.3%
45
72.7%
Q2 - 1:20DENMiller 1' Layup (4 PTS)42
26.4%
45
73.6%
Q2 - 1:37SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 1:37SASOberto Layup (6 PTS)40
22.9%
45
77.1%
Q2 - 1:40SASMISS Oberto 1' Layup40
27.3%
43
72.7%
Q2 - 1:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 1:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 240
27.6%
43
72.4%
Q2 - 1:52SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
26.0%
43
74.0%
Q2 - 2:03DENMiller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)40
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q2 - 2:09SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)38
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 2:14SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
23.7%
42
76.3%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot38
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 2:36DENOberto STEAL (1 STL)38
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 2:57SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)38
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 3:06SASSPURS Rebound38
28.4%
40
71.6%
Q2 - 3:07SASMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot38
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 3:27DENMartin 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)38
28.4%
40
71.6%
Q2 - 3:41SASMohammed 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)36
26.3%
40
73.7%
Q2 - 3:53SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 3:55DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot36
29.2%
38
70.8%
Q2 - 4:08DENNuggets Rebound36
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot36
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 4:33DENElson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)36
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 4:57SASOberto 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)36
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 5:02SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 5:03DENMISS Boykins 3' Layup36
34.1%
36
65.9%
Q2 - 5:11SASOberto 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)36
36.0%
36
64.0%
Q2 - 5:27DENBoykins 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 5:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 5:46SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.2%
34
64.8%
Q2 - 6:01SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 6:03DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot34
34.0%
34
66.0%
Q2 - 6:14SASMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)34
36.1%
34
63.9%
Q2 - 6:26SASSPURS Rebound34
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 6:27DENMISS Martin 4' Jump Shot34
34.0%
34
66.0%
Q2 - 6:41SASVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
36.1%
34
63.9%
Q2 - 7:02DENElson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)34
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q2 - 7:21SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)32
31.2%
34
68.8%
Q2 - 7:35SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33.3%
32
66.7%
Q2 - 7:37DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot32
34.1%
32
65.9%
Q2 - 7:54SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
35.9%
32
64.1%
Q2 - 7:54SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 7:58DENMISS Miller 1' Layup32
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 8:13SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)32
40.6%
30
59.4%
Q2 - 8:18SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q2 - 8:20SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
47.4%
27
52.6%
Q2 - 8:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q2 - 8:42DENMISS Boykins 13' Jump Shot32
46.3%
27
53.7%
Q2 - 8:55DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
48.3%
27
51.7%
Q2 - 8:57DENMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot32
46.3%
27
53.7%
Q2 - 9:14SASVan Exel 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
47.7%
27
52.3%
Q2 - 9:37DENBoykins 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
49.9%
25
50.1%
Q2 - 9:47SASMohammed 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)29
45.2%
25
54.8%
Q2 - 9:58DENBoykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)29
47.4%
23
52.6%
Q2 - 10:15SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
42.6%
23
57.4%
Q2 - 10:21DENNajera Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)26
47.2%
20
52.8%
Q2 - 10:28DENBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
50.0%
20
50.0%
Q2 - 10:31SASMISS Mohammed 3' Layup26
49.1%
20
50.9%
Q2 - 10:40DENElson 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)26
47.2%
20
52.8%
Q2 - 10:56SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q2 - 10:56SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
45.4%
19
54.6%
Q2 - 11:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q2 - 11:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q2 - 11:02DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup24
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q2 - 11:04DENMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot24
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q2 - 11:12SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)24
49.0%
18
51.0%
Q2 - 11:34DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)24
51.5%
16
48.5%
Q2 - 11:34DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
51.1%
16
48.9%
Q2 - 11:40DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q2 - 11:43SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot22
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
43.5%
16
56.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
43.0%
16
57.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENBoykins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
41.7%
16
58.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot18
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 1:11DENNuggets Rebound18
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 1:11SASMISS Nesterovic 11' Jump Shot18
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 1:28DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)18
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 1:28DENNuggets Rebound18
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 1:28DENMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 1:42DENMISS Boykins Free Throw Technical18
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 1:55SASMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 1:55SASMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 2:23DENMartin 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)18
41.5%
14
58.5%
Q1 - 2:27DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 2:29SASMISS Parker Layup16
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 2:33SASMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
37.1%
14
62.9%
Q1 - 2:35DENNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)16
37.7%
14
62.3%
Q1 - 2:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 2:42SASMISS Bowen 1' Reverse Layup16
38.5%
14
61.5%
Q1 - 3:02DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
36.5%
14
63.5%
Q1 - 3:02DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
36.1%
14
63.9%
Q1 - 3:07SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
34.7%
14
65.3%
Q1 - 3:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 3:22DENMISS Elson Free Throw 2 of 214
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 3:22DENElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
33.8%
14
66.2%
Q1 - 3:30DENWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 3:32SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot13
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 3:47DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 3:54DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot11
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 4:17DENWatson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)11
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 4:22DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot9
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 4:39SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 4:42SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot9
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 4:54SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 4:56DENMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot9
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 5:14SASMohammed 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)9
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 5:28SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
26.8%
12
73.2%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 5:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 5:55SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot9
28.1%
12
71.9%
Q1 - 6:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 6:16DENMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot9
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 6:30SASNesterovic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)9
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 6:45DENNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)9
30.2%
10
69.8%
Q1 - 6:49DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
32.0%
10
68.0%
Q1 - 6:53SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
31.4%
10
68.6%
Q1 - 7:17DENAnthony Layup (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)9
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 7:25DENElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 7:26SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot7
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 7:52DENWatson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 8:18SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 8:18SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 8:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 8:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 8:23DENMISS Anthony 3' Layup5
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 8:25DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup5
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 8:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot5
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 8:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 8:47DENMISS Watson 9' Jump Shot5
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 9:07SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 9:26DENMartin 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)5
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 9:42SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 9:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
26.7%
6
73.3%
Q1 - 9:48DENMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot3
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 9:58SASParker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)3
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 10:08DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 10:08DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 22
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 10:24SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)2
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 10:43DENBarry STEAL (1 STL)2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:59SASDuncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 11:12SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:14DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot2
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 11:22SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:44DENElson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Elson: Tip to Martin0
33.1%
0
66.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.97 48.4%
SAS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
28
54%
SAS
13
21
62%
Midrange
DEN
17
40
43%
SAS
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
SAS
4
6.0
23
17%
26%
Free Throws
DEN
16
22
73%
SAS
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2038%10.0 / 26
E. Boykins1973%9.5 / 13
A. Miller1550%7.5 / 15
F. Elson1365%6.5 / 10
K. Martin1250%6.0 / 12
E. Watson857%4.0 / 7
E. Najera250%1.0 / 2
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Mohammed1765%8.5 / 13
T. Duncan1450%7.0 / 14
T. Parker1343%6.5 / 15
B. Barry1250%6.0 / 12
N. Van Exel956%4.5 / 8
F. Oberto880%4.0 / 5
M. Finley735%3.5 / 10
B. Bowen325%1.5 / 6
R. Nesterovic250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+9
-11
90
SAS
76
+10
-17
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.97 48.4%
SAS
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
107.1
DEN 96.7 +5.3
SAS 91.4
Pace
93.9
88.8
DEN 96.1 +6.4
SAS 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.9
DEN 15.0 +1.1
SAS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
51.3%
DEN 47.4% +3.0%
SAS 44.4%
TO %
15.1%
14.8%
DEN 13.9% +2.8%
SAS 16.7%
ORB %
26.9%
26.1%
DEN 16.7%
SAS 22.0% +5.3%
FTrt
34.7
29.8
DEN 28.6
SAS 40.3 +11.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
57.4%
DEN 57.1%
SAS 70.0% +12.9%
STL %
8.9%
7.4%
DEN 14.1% +7.6%
SAS 6.5%
BLK %
8.8%
8.4%
DEN 8.2% +5.3%
SAS 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
53.1%
DEN 48.4%
SAS 48.9% +0.5%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.7%
DEN 53.6%
SAS 61.9% +8.3%
Mid FG%
39.7%
39.0%
DEN 42.5%
SAS 46.4% +3.9%
3P %
32.5%
38.5%
DEN 33.3% +15.9%
SAS 17.4%
FT %
74.4%
70.2%
DEN 72.7% +0.3%
SAS 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
36.7%
DEN 36.4% +7.2%
SAS 29.2%
Mid Att. %
45.1%
41.8%
DEN 51.9%
SAS 38.9% +13.1%
3P Att. %
16.1%
21.5%
DEN 11.7%
SAS 31.9% +20.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes23.024.9
Points8985
Rebounds3944
Assists2021
Steals136
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals35-7730-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2813-21
Midrange FG17-4013-28
2-Point FG32-6826-49
3-Point FG3-94-23
Free Throws16-2221-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
12 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
41.5
15
50%
7
10
5
1
3
1
1
6
3-4
75%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
38.3
20
38%
8
1
1
1
2
1
3
5
12-15
80%
4-18
22%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C · 7'0" 240 · 30
36.3
13
65%
6
0
2
0
2
4
1
5
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
32.9
12
50%
7
0
2
1
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27
21.8
8
57%
1
3
2
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
26.2
2
50%
6
1
0
0
1
5
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30
24.7
19
73%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
18.2
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 33
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22
Marcus Camby
#23 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Bryon Russell
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Nene Hilario
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
39
20
13
4
11
0
7
32
16-22
73%
32-68
47%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.