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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 23, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hornets41%9178
18Celtics59%9491
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.3
30.6
30.5
8
37%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
4-10
33%
45%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
29.9
31.5
21
48%
6
1
0
1
0
2
4
2
1-2
50%
10-21
7-13
48%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.7
29.5
34.8
8
41%
6
6
2
2
0
4
1
5
6-6
100%
1-6
5-10
17%
47%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.3
23.3
33.7
5
32%
8
1
0
1
1
1
3
5
3-4
75%
1-6
4-9
17%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.6
22.4
25.2
4
29%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
25.6
20.6
3
17%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-4
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.7
23.0
26.1
5
39%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
19.2
18.2
5
66%
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.4
12.0
7.9
16
79%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
5-7
71%
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
1-2
50%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.6
12.0
5.8
1
17%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
6.5
2.1
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
6.0
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.6
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
36.8
35.2
32
69%
4
8
1
1
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
10-16
5-10
63%
49%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.2
33.4
26.1
4
29%
5
2
0
0
5
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
30.3
35.7
16
45%
9
2
0
1
0
3
1
8
8-11
73%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
0-4
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.5
29.4
28.8
8
45%
7
5
2
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
54%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
24.4
16.5
18
113%
4
0
1
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
4-5
80%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.1
23.6
23.6
7
34%
11
0
1
1
0
1
4
7
1-1
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.0
21.7
17.2
4
40%
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
14.6
14.9
0
0%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.0
14.4
13.5
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.2
7.0
6.3
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
4.3
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
13.6
0
2-5
52%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.4
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.4
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.