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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 19, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Lakers46%96109
17Kings54%98118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
46.7
36.8
10
56%
3
4
1
2
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
45.3
37.2
16
50%
10
6
0
1
1
3
1
9
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
44.1
39.3
51
63%
9
4
1
1
0
4
0
9
13-13
100%
13-23
9-20
57%
48%
4-12
33%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
35.1
25.4
11
58%
8
2
0
0
2
2
3
5
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.9
31.5
30.5
8
52%
8
2
2
1
0
2
2
6
2-4
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
30.7
21.7
8
50%
6
3
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.9
15.2
15.9
5
83%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
11.0
14.7
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
5.5
9.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.5
12.9
0
2-3
49%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.2
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.2
0.9
0
0-0
44%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.0
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.3
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.7
48.0
36.0
40
60%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
8-10
80%
7-18
5-10
39%
48%
6-11
55%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.5
46.4
33.9
16
62%
12
10
1
1
0
2
2
10
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.6
42.0
14.0
13
47%
10
3
0
0
0
1
3
7
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
1-7
14%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.8
40.3
38.0
16
45%
10
3
1
1
0
2
1
9
1-2
50%
6-16
6-11
38%
53%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.0
16.9
33.9
7
88%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
37.9
36.7
11
79%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
47%
3-6
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
19.3
10.1
11
73%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
7-8
88%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.7
14.3
17.6
4
52%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.1
13.0
0
2-4
47%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.7
8.6
0
1-1
52%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
6.2
0
1-1
45%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
2.4
0
0-0
49%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.