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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Suns63%10390
18Kings37%98119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
34.2
39.2
19
53%
4
1
2
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
46%
1-7
14%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
32.7
42.0
25
69%
5
2
3
2
1
0
2
3
5-5
100%
7-10
7-13
70%
53%
2-6
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
28.6
31.0
5
28%
10
3
0
1
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
2-8
5-9
25%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 31.9
27.6
36.1
7
39%
4
8
0
1
0
5
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
52%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
24.7
31.6
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.1
30.9
13.2
13
55%
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
52%
1-1
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.7
19.2
18.9
7
32%
3
4
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
1-4
25%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.3
15.5
21.9
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
12.8
2.6
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.8
8.6
1.1
5
46%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
5.2
0.2
4
46%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-2
0-0
50%
67%
0-1
0%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.3
2.6
0
0-0
44%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.2
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
42.6
34.5
21
61%
10
3
2
1
0
3
3
7
5-5
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
2-6
33%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.5
38.7
31.8
22
75%
15
5
3
1
0
3
4
11
2-4
50%
10-13
5-10
77%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.0
38.5
32.0
25
75%
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
5
5-6
83%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
4-5
80%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.8
37.8
39.1
18
67%
12
9
0
1
0
3
1
11
1-1
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
51%
1-1
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.7
33.8
38.2
19
52%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
4-9
5-12
44%
47%
3-8
38%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.7
20.8
15.8
7
39%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.1
12.6
13.4
4
41%
6
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.7
7.0
9.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
6.2
6.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
2.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.6
17.3
0
2-4
47%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
10.1
0
2-3
50%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.