FinalWin Prob.pScore
1423%95
99
477%105
119
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
111.28985.6
MIA logo MIA
130.89194.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0SACMISS Price 20' Jump Shot99
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)99
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)99
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound99
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0SACMISS Garcia 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0SACSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot99
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04SACSampson Tip Shot (2 PTS)99
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05SACSampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06SACMISS Martin Reverse Layup97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#6)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43SACMISS Price 19' Jump Shot97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13SACGarcia 9' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48SACPosey STEAL (2 STL)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWalker Running Dunk (12 PTS)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09SACWalker STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28SACO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42MIAO'Neal Tip Shot (27 PTS)95
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 3:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Payton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot95
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 3:59SACBibby 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:23MIAHEAT Rebound93
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24SACWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)93
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (25 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)93
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 4:57SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot93
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 5:09SACThomas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)93
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 5:11SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 5:43MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)93
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 5:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 5:49SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 5:53SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 5:55SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 6:01SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHEAT Rebound91
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 6:41MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)91
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 291
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 6:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 6:47SACMISS Thomas Tip Shot91
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 6:48SACThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 6:49SACMISS Garcia Driving Layup91
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 7:13MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)91
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 7:30SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:30SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)90
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 7:30SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 7:32SACMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot89
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)89
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 7:57SACMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot89
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
3.2%
98
96.8%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 8:23SACMourning BLOCK (6 BLK)89
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWade Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T4)89
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 8:59SACMISS Hart 15' Jump Shot89
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 9:18MIAWade Tip Shot (22 PTS)89
5.5%
97
94.5%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
6.8%
95
93.2%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup89
8.0%
95
92.0%
Q4 - 9:42MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
6.8%
95
93.2%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 189
8.3%
95
91.7%
Q4 - 10:01SACHart 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)89
11.0%
93
89.0%
Q4 - 10:12SACKings Rebound87
9.1%
93
90.9%
Q4 - 10:14SACMISS Bibby Driving Layup87
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
9.0%
93
91.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
9.3%
92
90.7%
Q4 - 10:33SACMourning STEAL (1 STL)87
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q4 - 10:43SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
13.5%
91
86.5%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
12.7%
91
87.3%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q4 - 10:53SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
14.1%
91
85.9%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
14.5%
90
85.5%
Q4 - 11:26SACBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)87
16.8%
89
83.2%
Q4 - 11:44SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
11.6%
89
88.4%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 284
11.3%
89
88.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 284
9.9%
89
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
9.5%
89
90.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
9.5%
89
90.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0SACMISS Skinner 10' Turnaround Hook Shot84
10.5%
89
89.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (13 PTS)84
11.9%
89
88.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
14.2%
87
85.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0SACMISS Stojakovic Layup84
15.0%
87
85.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
16.9%
87
83.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
15.0%
87
85.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)84
16.9%
87
83.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)84
20.0%
85
80.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0SACMISS Abdur-Rahim Driving Layup84
21.1%
85
78.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)84
23.1%
85
76.9%
Q3 - 1:30SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)84
30.7%
82
69.3%
Q3 - 1:41SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
23.1%
82
76.9%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot81
22.1%
82
77.9%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
19.7%
82
80.3%
Q3 - 1:59SACMISS Abdur-Rahim 8' Hook Shot81
20.7%
82
79.3%
Q3 - 2:17MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
22.7%
82
77.3%
Q3 - 2:17MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q3 - 2:20SACHaslem STEAL (1 STL)81
25.8%
80
74.2%
Q3 - 2:39MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
29.9%
80
70.1%
Q3 - 3:04SACStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)81
33.2%
78
66.8%
Q3 - 3:09SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
29.6%
78
70.4%
Q3 - 3:11SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
26.9%
78
73.1%
Q3 - 3:25MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (16 PTS)79
29.6%
78
70.4%
Q3 - 3:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
33.2%
76
66.8%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Posey Dunk79
36.2%
76
63.8%
Q3 - 3:47SACThomas Tip Shot (8 PTS)79
33.2%
76
66.8%
Q3 - 3:48SACThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
29.6%
76
70.4%
Q3 - 3:49SACMISS Martin Driving Layup77
26.9%
76
73.1%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS)77
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q3 - 4:21MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Stojakovic: Tip to Posey77
31.9%
74
68.1%
Q3 - 4:21SACMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)77
33.3%
74
66.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIAWilliams 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
36.5%
74
63.5%
Q3 - 5:01SACStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)77
39.2%
72
60.8%
Q3 - 5:07SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS O'Neal Alley Oop Dunk74
30.7%
72
69.3%
Q3 - 5:22SACSkinner Layup (9 PTS)74
28.1%
72
71.9%
Q3 - 5:23SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
25.1%
72
74.9%
Q3 - 5:25SACO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)72
22.8%
72
77.2%
Q3 - 5:52MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)72
25.1%
72
74.9%
Q3 - 5:57MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
28.1%
70
71.9%
Q3 - 5:59SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot72
29.2%
70
70.8%
Q3 - 6:10SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
30.9%
70
69.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
29.8%
70
70.2%
Q3 - 6:35SACMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)72
27.5%
70
72.5%
Q3 - 6:58SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
21.8%
70
78.2%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot69
20.9%
70
79.1%
Q3 - 7:19SACThomas Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)69
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)67
16.8%
70
83.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 7:45SACMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot67
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 7:57SACKings Rebound67
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot67
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q3 - 8:22SACStojakovic 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)67
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade Reverse Layup (14 PTS)65
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 8:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
18.7%
66
81.3%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot65
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q3 - 9:03SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)65
18.3%
66
81.7%
Q3 - 9:29MIAWade Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)65
20.7%
66
79.3%
Q3 - 9:34SACWilliams STEAL (3 STL)65
23.1%
64
76.9%
Q3 - 9:54MIAO'Neal Layup (17 PTS)65
26.0%
64
74.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
27.7%
62
72.3%
Q3 - 10:05SACMISS Thomas Driving Layup65
28.7%
62
71.3%
Q3 - 10:12SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
30.0%
62
70.0%
Q3 - 10:29MIAHEAT Rebound65
27.8%
62
72.2%
Q3 - 10:30SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot65
28.8%
62
71.2%
Q3 - 10:34SACKings Rebound65
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 10:35SACWade BLOCK (1 BLK)65
28.8%
62
71.2%
Q3 - 10:38SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup65
30.1%
62
69.9%
Q3 - 10:54SACBibby 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
27.8%
62
72.2%
Q3 - 11:00SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
25.3%
62
74.7%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot63
23.7%
62
76.3%
Q3 - 11:14SACStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)63
22.0%
62
78.0%
Q3 - 11:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
17.7%
62
82.3%
Q3 - 11:27MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
18.6%
61
81.4%
Q3 - 11:40SACMartin Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)60
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA58
17.7%
60
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
17.1%
60
82.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0SACSkinner Layup (7 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 2 AST)58
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0SACMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 256
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0SACSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
13.7%
60
86.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0SACKings Rebound55
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 155
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q2 - 1:01SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q2 - 1:01SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q2 - 1:12SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
12.5%
58
87.5%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot53
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q2 - 1:31MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 1:32SACMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 253
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 1:32SACAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAHaslem 3' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q2 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
13.2%
56
86.8%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Wade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot52
13.7%
56
86.3%
Q2 - 2:18SACAbdur-Rahim 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q2 - 2:36MIAWade 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)50
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q2 - 2:49MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q2 - 2:51SACMISS Hart Free Throw 2 of 250
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q2 - 2:51SACHart Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q2 - 3:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 249
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q2 - 3:27SACAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
12.9%
53
87.1%
Q2 - 3:27SACAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q2 - 3:51MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)47
11.7%
53
88.3%
Q2 - 4:13SACGarcia 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)47
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 4:32MIAWade Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)45
11.6%
51
88.4%
Q2 - 4:47SACGarcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)45
12.9%
49
87.1%
Q2 - 5:04SACMiller Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)42
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 5:15SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 5:17SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot41
8.8%
49
91.2%
Q2 - 5:40MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)41
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q2 - 5:48SACMiller 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)41
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)39
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 6:42SACAbdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)39
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 6:52SACHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot37
8.4%
46
91.6%
Q2 - 7:13SACGarcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)37
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 7:20SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 7:22SACMISS Garcia 8' Jump Shot34
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWalker 3' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 8:08SACHart Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)34
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q2 - 8:26SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot32
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 8:40SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)32
6.1%
44
93.9%
Q2 - 8:40SACKings Rebound32
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 8:41SACMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)32
6.3%
44
93.7%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q2 - 9:09SACMiller 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 9:12SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 9:14SACMISS Hart 21' Jump Shot30
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)30
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 9:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 9:51SACMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot30
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)30
9.3%
39
90.7%
Q2 - 10:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 10:20SACMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 230
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 10:20SACAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 10:34SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 129
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 10:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 10:47SACMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)29
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 10:59SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
10.1%
37
89.9%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 11:13SACGarcia Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)29
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 11:26SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup27
8.2%
37
91.8%
Q2 - 11:41SACAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 11:41SACAbdur-Rahim 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 11:41SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 11:43SACMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)24
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
5.9%
37
94.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot24
6.2%
37
93.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0SACSkinner Foul Turnover (P2.T6)24
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot24
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0SACSkinner 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)24
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)22
5.4%
37
94.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
6.0%
35
94.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0SACMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)22
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q1 - 1:06MIAPayton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)22
6.5%
35
93.5%
Q1 - 1:26SACStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
7.2%
33
92.8%
Q1 - 1:32SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup22
7.6%
33
92.4%
Q1 - 1:50MIAHEAT Rebound22
7.2%
33
92.8%
Q1 - 1:51SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.4%
33
92.6%
Q1 - 1:58SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup22
7.6%
33
92.4%
Q1 - 2:14SACGarcia 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)22
7.2%
33
92.8%
Q1 - 2:18SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 2:20SACMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q1 - 2:26SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup20
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q1 - 2:46SACStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)20
6.1%
33
93.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
5.5%
33
94.5%
Q1 - 2:59MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
5.6%
32
94.4%
Q1 - 3:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q1 - 3:05SACMISS Abdur-Rahim 9' Jump Shot18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 3:27MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)18
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
7.3%
29
92.7%
Q1 - 3:31SACMISS Garcia 21' Jump Shot18
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q1 - 3:45MIAPosey Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
8.0%
29
92.0%
Q1 - 4:04SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)18
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 4:04SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)17
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 4:11SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 116
7.9%
27
92.1%
Q1 - 4:15SACWilliams STEAL (2 STL)16
8.6%
25
91.4%
Q1 - 4:33SACKings Rebound16
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q1 - 4:34SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot16
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
9.5%
25
90.5%
Q1 - 5:07SACSkinner Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)16
10.2%
23
89.8%
Q1 - 5:09SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
9.5%
23
90.5%
Q1 - 5:11SACMISS Thomas 8' Jump Shot14
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 5:36MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)14
9.5%
23
90.5%
Q1 - 5:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
10.1%
21
89.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Posey 13' Jump Bank Shot14
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 6:01SACWade STEAL (1 STL)14
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 6:15MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)14
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 6:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 6:22SACMISS Stojakovic 5' Jump Shot14
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 6:36MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)14
12.8%
19
87.2%
Q1 - 6:57SACBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)14
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 7:02SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 7:04SACMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 7:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)11
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 7:27SACBibby 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 7:48SACStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
12.8%
13
87.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)7
11.9%
13
88.1%
Q1 - 8:30SACThomas Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)7
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
11.9%
11
88.1%
Q1 - 8:58SACWilliams STEAL (1 STL)5
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 9:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)5
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
16.0%
6
84.0%
Q1 - 9:29SACBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)5
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 9:49SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Williams Layup2
13.2%
6
86.8%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.4%
6
87.6%
Q1 - 9:58SACMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot2
12.8%
6
87.2%
Q1 - 10:15SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
13.1%
6
86.9%
Q1 - 10:24SACPosey STEAL (1 STL)2
12.5%
6
87.5%
Q1 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 10:48SACMiller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
14.2%
4
85.8%
Q1 - 10:56SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.4%
4
86.6%
Q1 - 10:58SACMISS Stojakovic 13' Jump Shot0
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 11:12MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)0
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 11:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 11:24SACMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Miller: Tip to Posey0
16.2%
0
83.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
12
27
44%
MIA
30
39
77%
Midrange
SAC
17
42
40%
MIA
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAC
14
18
78%
MIA
20
30
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic1948%9.5 / 20
M. Bibby1750%8.5 / 17
F. Garcia1470%7.0 / 10
S. Abdur-Rahim1142%5.5 / 13
B. Miller950%4.5 / 9
B. Skinner975%4.5 / 6
K. Thomas844%4.0 / 9
K. Martin550%2.5 / 5
J. Hart550%2.5 / 5
J. Sampson2100%1.0 / 1
R. Price0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2775%13.5 / 18
D. Wade2265%11.0 / 17
J. Williams1973%9.5 / 13
U. Haslem1662%8.0 / 13
A. Walker1275%6.0 / 8
G. Payton758%3.5 / 6
J. Posey630%3.0 / 10
A. Mourning6100%3.0 / 3
J. Kapono2100%1.0 / 1
W. Simien2100%1.0 / 1
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
77
+21
-12
98
MIA
86
+10
-5
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
108.0
SAC 111.2
MIA 130.8 +19.5
Pace
92.4
92.2
SAC 85.6
MIA 94.8 +9.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.9
SAC 16.8
MIA 15.2 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.7%
SAC 48.3%
MIA 62.7% +14.4%
TO %
15.0%
15.0%
SAC 12.7%
MIA 6.1% +6.6%
ORB %
25.4%
26.8%
SAC 37.0% +13.5%
MIA 23.5%
FTrt
33.4
36.3
SAC 20.5
MIA 38.0 +17.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.8%
55.7%
SAC 57.9%
MIA 59.6% +1.7%
STL %
8.0%
6.9%
SAC 2.2%
MIA 11.0% +8.8%
BLK %
5.5%
8.5%
SAC 3.1%
MIA 13.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.9%
SAC 50.0%
MIA 62.0% +12.0%
Rim FG%
60.4%
64.2%
SAC 44.4%
MIA 76.9% +32.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.9%
SAC 40.5%
MIA 48.0% +7.5%
3P %
35.1%
34.5%
SAC 47.4% +14.1%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
78.4%
70.0%
SAC 77.8% +11.1%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
39.3%
SAC 30.7%
MIA 49.4% +18.7%
Mid Att. %
46.3%
38.0%
SAC 47.7%
MIA 31.6% +16.1%
3P Att. %
21.7%
22.7%
SAC 21.6% +2.6%
MIA 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points99119
Rebounds4337
Assists2228
Steals210
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)29 (5)
Field Goals38-8847-79
At-the-Rim FG12-2730-39
Midrange FG17-4212-25
2-Point FG29-6942-64
3-Point FG9-195-15
Free Throws14-1820-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 245 · 28
37.6
8
44%
10
4
2
0
1
3
5
5
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
34.1
17
50%
1
8
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
3-7
43%
F · 6'10" 229 · 29
32.2
19
48%
7
1
0
1
2
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
3-8
38%
C · 7'0" 261 · 30
24.1
9
50%
4
4
0
0
2
5
2
2
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 199 · 23
22.1
5
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
27.1
14
70%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30
23.1
9
75%
9
1
0
1
3
4
3
6
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
22.0
11
42%
3
2
0
0
0
3
2
1
5-7
71%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 28
12.7
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23
2.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 32
#42 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
50%
43
22
2
2
12
0
17
26
14-18
78%
29-69
42%
9-19
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.