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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz39%9183
11Nuggets61%95113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
31.1
41.6
11
35%
4
3
0
2
1
0
4
0
1-2
50%
5-14
5-10
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
26.8
35.0
5
21%
7
3
3
1
4
5
4
3
1-2
50%
2-8
5-12
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.2
23.7
17.7
4
41%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-4
25%
39%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.9
14.6
17.2
2
50%
7
0
0
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
13.0
25.1
6
38%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
29.6
14.1
23
76%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-5
60%
7-11
2-4
64%
43%
2-2
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
23.9
2.8
8
44%
10
0
0
0
2
0
4
6
0-0
-
4-9
0-1
44%
43%
0-0
-
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
19.5
7.5
5
43%
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.0
18.2
15.8
9
51%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.6
16.9
20.4
5
32%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
14.3
2.6
3
32%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-4
25%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
8.6
24.5
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.2
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.1
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
33.5
37.9
31
59%
4
2
2
1
2
0
3
1
9-10
90%
11-21
8-17
52%
48%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.1
28.6
31.7
16
51%
6
0
2
1
3
1
2
4
4-6
67%
6-12
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.8
26.4
36.9
13
60%
0
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
5-9
5-11
56%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 26.6
25.6
29.0
8
69%
6
9
2
1
1
2
1
5
3-4
75%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
18.8
24.0
2
33%
5
2
0
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.5
25.6
28.8
2
25%
5
2
0
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
25.6
13.1
11
81%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.6
22.7
26.3
10
83%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.0
18.1
2.4
10
64%
9
0
1
0
0
1
2
7
2-4
50%
4-6
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.7
8.6
7.6
6
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
1-1
0%
56%
1-1
100%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
6.7
0.5
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.7
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.1
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.