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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs46%93101
4Heat54%9494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
38.9
35.1
38
80%
4
5
2
1
0
3
1
3
10-13
77%
11-16
7-13
69%
51%
2-2
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.7
38.5
36.3
14
46%
11
1
0
1
0
3
2
9
4-12
33%
5-10
8-16
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.6
32.3
31.0
10
43%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
1-4
25%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
26.0
18.7
6
60%
5
0
2
0
3
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
19.9
31.0
8
66%
1
5
1
2
1
2
0
1
3-7
43%
1-2
4-8
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.9
28.1
25.7
5
27%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
44%
0-4
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
18.1
6.6
4
40%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
13.1
13.5
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
2-4
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.1
12.1
7.4
7
90%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
2-3
67%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
7.0
1.3
3
39%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
42%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
6.0
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.5
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
41.5
39.4
36
55%
4
1
3
2
0
5
2
2
7-8
88%
13-27
8-17
48%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
39.5
29.4
18
76%
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
7-8
3-6
88%
48%
1-3
33%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
39.1
32.8
0
0%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
30.8
28.7
23
61%
6
1
0
0
3
3
1
5
5-11
45%
9-14
7-13
64%
55%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
19.1
30.3
2
17%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
29.0
22.8
12
61%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
1-4
25%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
23.9
24.5
1
13%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
17.1
15.6
2
25%
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
5.0
0
1-1
47%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.0
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.1
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
2.2
0
0-1
42%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.