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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats10%8391
1Pistons90%99114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.3
37.4
30.0
18
51%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-4
50%
8-16
5-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
28.7
39.6
14
69%
8
1
3
2
2
4
2
6
4-7
57%
5-7
5-10
71%
49%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.1
27.9
29.7
11
58%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
42%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.6
26.9
32.2
9
65%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
3-5
3-8
60%
37%
1-1
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.7
19.4
26.8
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-6
40%
40%
0-0
-
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
35.8
26.9
12
46%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-11
2-5
55%
45%
0-2
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.2
19.9
16.8
10
63%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
41%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.4
17.7
12.1
6
37%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
4-5
80%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
14.9
3.6
7
72%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
11.3
10.4
0
0%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.8
4.8
0
1-2
43%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.2
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.3
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.2
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.9
34.3
39.8
19
64%
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
8-12
8-17
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.3
33.1
37.2
13
73%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
4-9
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.9
30.9
38.3
16
54%
4
3
0
1
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-12
6-11
33%
51%
2-2
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
30.6
37.1
10
56%
13
3
2
2
5
3
2
11
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.3
29.2
38.7
12
55%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
22.7
17.4
16
74%
4
0
2
1
1
1
2
2
2-4
50%
7-9
3-6
78%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.2
19.5
11.7
18
73%
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
2-3
67%
5-8
1-2
63%
51%
2-3
67%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.5
12.3
7.2
4
106%
2
8
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.4
10.3
7.0
2
35%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.8
6.6
0.7
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.6
6.4
1.5
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.9
4.1
0.9
3
33%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-8
38%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.