FinalWin Prob.pScore
237%87
83
163%91
68
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
103.88075.5
SAS logo SAS
84.08186.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DET83
100%
68
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)83
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 14 AST)83
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot81
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Billups 13 AST)81
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19SASBarry 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)79
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 1:27SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 1:28DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 279
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 1:28DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 279
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot79
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 1:34SASMISS Ginobili Driving Dunk79
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 1:39DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 1:39DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)78
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 1:40DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)77
99.6%
66
0.4%
Q4 - 1:41DETMISS Billups 3' Running Finger Roll77
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 2:03SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)77
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 2:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)77
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 2:17DETGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)77
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 2:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.8%
63
0.2%
Q4 - 2:43DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)77
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 3:04DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 3:06SASMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 3:08SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
98.9%
63
1.1%
Q4 - 3:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 3:10DETMISS Wallace 1' Follow Up Dunk75
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 3:12DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot75
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASVan Exel 3' Layup (6 PTS)75
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q4 - 3:53DETHamilton 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Billups 12 AST)75
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q4 - 4:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
98.7%
61
1.3%
Q4 - 4:15SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 273
98.6%
61
1.4%
Q4 - 4:15SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 273
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 4:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)73
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q4 - 4:21DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot73
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 4:41DETBillups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
98.7%
61
1.3%
Q4 - 4:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 273
98.6%
61
1.4%
Q4 - 4:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 273
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 4:53SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 4:54DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot73
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q4 - 5:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 5:13SASMISS Ginobili 8' Running Jump Shot73
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q4 - 5:26DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)73
96.8%
61
3.2%
Q4 - 5:46SASDuncan 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)71
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q4 - 5:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
96.9%
59
3.1%
Q4 - 5:58DETHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)71
97.2%
59
2.8%
Q4 - 6:22SASDuncan 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)71
96.6%
59
3.4%
Q4 - 6:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
97.4%
57
2.6%
Q4 - 6:45DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q4 - 7:04SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)71
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q4 - 7:11DETGinobili STEAL (2 STL)71
96.3%
57
3.7%
Q4 - 7:26SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
97.3%
57
2.7%
Q4 - 7:26SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 271
97.4%
56
2.6%
Q4 - 7:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
97.2%
56
2.8%
Q4 - 7:34DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot71
97.4%
56
2.6%
Q4 - 7:50DETPistons Rebound71
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q4 - 7:50DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q4 - 7:50DETDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)71
97.4%
56
2.6%
Q4 - 7:52DETMISS Billups 35' 3PT Jump Shot71
97.4%
56
2.6%
Q4 - 8:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
97.1%
56
2.9%
Q4 - 8:26SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot71
96.8%
56
3.2%
Q4 - 8:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)71
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q4 - 8:46DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot71
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q4 - 9:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q4 - 9:06SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Hook Shot71
96.0%
56
4.0%
Q4 - 9:20SASSPURS Rebound71
95.3%
56
4.7%
Q4 - 9:22DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
95.6%
56
4.4%
Q4 - 9:34DETEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q4 - 9:35DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot71
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q4 - 9:55DETPistons Rebound71
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q4 - 9:56SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 271
96.2%
56
3.8%
Q4 - 9:56SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
95.6%
56
4.4%
Q4 - 10:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
95.4%
55
4.6%
Q4 - 10:04DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot71
95.7%
55
4.3%
Q4 - 10:26SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
96.4%
55
3.6%
Q4 - 10:37DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)71
97.6%
52
2.4%
Q4 - 10:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
98.1%
52
1.9%
Q4 - 10:44DETMISS Billups 29' 3PT Jump Shot71
97.8%
52
2.2%
Q4 - 10:56DETBillups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
98.2%
52
1.8%
Q4 - 10:58DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot71
97.8%
52
2.2%
Q4 - 11:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
97.7%
52
2.3%
Q4 - 11:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 271
97.8%
51
2.2%
Q4 - 11:44DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)71
97.7%
51
2.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET69
97.2%
51
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
97.2%
51
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot69
97.0%
51
3.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETBillups 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
95.7%
51
4.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETPistons Rebound67
94.8%
51
5.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
94.5%
51
5.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETBillups 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q3 - 1:01SASNesterovic Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T4)65
91.2%
51
8.8%
Q3 - 1:19DETBillups Traveling Turnover (P6.T9)65
89.5%
51
10.5%
Q3 - 1:19DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
91.2%
51
8.8%
Q3 - 1:20DETHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)65
90.0%
51
10.0%
Q3 - 1:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
91.3%
51
8.7%
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
90.8%
51
9.2%
Q3 - 1:57DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)65
89.5%
51
10.5%
Q3 - 2:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
83.6%
51
16.4%
Q3 - 2:16SASMISS Parker 2' Layup62
82.7%
51
17.3%
Q3 - 2:39SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
80.7%
51
19.3%
Q3 - 2:41DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot62
81.6%
51
18.4%
Q3 - 2:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
83.7%
51
16.3%
Q3 - 2:58DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot62
81.7%
51
18.3%
Q3 - 3:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)62
82.5%
51
17.5%
Q3 - 3:24DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot62
80.5%
51
19.5%
Q3 - 3:41SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
82.5%
51
17.5%
Q3 - 3:41SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
83.0%
50
17.0%
Q3 - 3:57DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)62
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 4:12SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)59
78.4%
49
21.6%
Q3 - 4:12SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)59
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q3 - 4:12SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)59
79.5%
47
20.5%
Q3 - 4:33DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)59
83.4%
46
16.6%
Q3 - 4:49DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
78.5%
46
21.5%
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot56
77.5%
46
22.5%
Q3 - 5:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q3 - 5:14DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
74.9%
46
25.1%
Q3 - 5:42SASGinobili Layup (6 PTS)56
77.2%
46
22.8%
Q3 - 5:46DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)56
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q3 - 6:01SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)56
81.0%
44
19.0%
Q3 - 6:14DETPrince 2' Layup (9 PTS)56
78.3%
44
21.7%
Q3 - 6:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
75.7%
44
24.3%
Q3 - 6:21SASMISS Bowen 2' Layup54
74.7%
44
25.3%
Q3 - 6:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
72.4%
44
27.6%
Q3 - 6:35DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot54
73.5%
44
26.5%
Q3 - 6:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
75.7%
44
24.3%
Q3 - 6:44DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot54
73.5%
44
26.5%
Q3 - 6:50SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)54
75.7%
44
24.3%
Q3 - 7:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
70.9%
44
29.1%
Q3 - 7:09DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
72.0%
44
28.0%
Q3 - 7:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
74.5%
44
25.5%
Q3 - 7:15SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot54
73.4%
44
26.6%
Q3 - 7:37DETHamilton 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)54
71.0%
44
29.0%
Q3 - 7:51DETPistons Rebound52
68.2%
44
31.8%
Q3 - 7:52SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
67.0%
44
33.0%
Q3 - 8:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
63.5%
44
36.5%
Q3 - 8:10DETMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot52
64.8%
44
35.2%
Q3 - 8:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
67.4%
44
32.6%
Q3 - 8:20SASMISS Nesterovic 3' Layup52
66.3%
44
33.7%
Q3 - 8:41DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)52
63.6%
44
36.4%
Q3 - 9:03SASNesterovic 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)50
58.9%
44
41.1%
Q3 - 9:25DETWallace 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)50
62.4%
42
37.6%
Q3 - 9:50SASParker 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
59.1%
42
40.9%
Q3 - 10:04DETBillups Foul Turnover (P5.T7)48
61.2%
40
38.8%
Q3 - 10:22SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)48
64.9%
40
35.1%
Q3 - 10:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
67.8%
38
32.2%
Q3 - 10:43DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot48
68.8%
38
31.2%
Q3 - 10:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q3 - 10:55SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot48
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q3 - 11:13SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
66.8%
38
33.2%
Q3 - 11:15DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Shot48
67.7%
38
32.3%
Q3 - 11:42SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
69.9%
38
30.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS48
72.7%
36
27.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
72.7%
36
27.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 247
72.1%
36
27.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
71.0%
36
29.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 147
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETWallace 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)47
74.4%
34
25.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
71.1%
34
28.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot45
70.5%
34
29.5%
Q2 - 1:07DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)45
68.5%
34
31.5%
Q2 - 1:28SASParker 2' Layup (10 PTS)43
64.2%
34
35.8%
Q2 - 1:42SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
68.5%
32
31.5%
Q2 - 1:43DETMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot43
68.9%
32
31.1%
Q2 - 2:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
70.0%
32
30.0%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot43
68.6%
32
31.4%
Q2 - 2:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
66.8%
32
33.2%
Q2 - 2:12DETWallace 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)43
66.8%
32
33.2%
Q2 - 2:14DETMISS Hamilton 6' Jump Shot41
61.9%
32
38.1%
Q2 - 2:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 2:35SASMISS Van Exel 12' Running Jump Shot41
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 2:53DETBillups Traveling Turnover (P4.T6)41
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 3:11SASGinobili 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
62.6%
32
37.4%
Q2 - 3:31DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)41
65.1%
30
34.9%
Q2 - 3:51SASDuncan 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)41
68.1%
30
31.9%
Q2 - 4:17DETMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)41
69.1%
28
30.9%
Q2 - 4:37SASVan Exel 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
66.6%
28
33.4%
Q2 - 4:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
69.2%
26
30.8%
Q2 - 4:59DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot39
69.9%
26
30.1%
Q2 - 5:15DETEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
70.9%
26
29.1%
Q2 - 5:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 239
70.5%
26
29.5%
Q2 - 5:17SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
69.1%
26
30.9%
Q2 - 5:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
70.7%
25
29.3%
Q2 - 5:31DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot39
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 5:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q2 - 5:38DETMISS Evans 1' Layup39
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 5:39DETEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q2 - 5:41DETMISS Prince 7' Jump Shot39
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 5:59SASDuncan 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)39
73.2%
25
26.8%
Q2 - 6:05SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
74.0%
23
26.0%
Q2 - 6:07DETMISS Delfino 2' Driving Finger Roll39
74.8%
23
25.2%
Q2 - 6:24SASVan Exel 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)39
76.5%
23
23.5%
Q2 - 6:42DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
78.1%
21
21.9%
Q2 - 6:42DETMcDyess 1' Layup (4 PTS)39
78.1%
21
21.9%
Q2 - 6:45DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot37
74.9%
21
25.1%
Q2 - 7:03SASDuncan 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)37
74.9%
21
25.1%
Q2 - 7:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
76.8%
19
23.2%
Q2 - 7:12DETMISS Delfino 19' Jump Shot37
77.4%
19
22.6%
Q2 - 7:27DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
78.8%
19
21.2%
Q2 - 7:29SASMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
78.2%
19
21.8%
Q2 - 7:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
76.8%
19
23.2%
Q2 - 7:37DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot37
77.4%
19
22.6%
Q2 - 7:54SASHorry 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
78.8%
19
21.2%
Q2 - 8:18DETDelfino 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)37
79.6%
17
20.4%
Q2 - 8:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q2 - 8:23DETMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot35
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q2 - 8:42DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
78.1%
17
21.9%
Q2 - 8:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 235
77.9%
17
22.1%
Q2 - 8:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 235
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q2 - 9:03DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)35
75.0%
17
25.0%
Q2 - 9:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
71.3%
17
28.7%
Q2 - 9:13SASMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot32
70.6%
17
29.4%
Q2 - 9:35DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)32
69.0%
17
31.0%
Q2 - 9:51DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q2 - 9:52SASMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot30
66.3%
17
33.7%
Q2 - 10:07DETHorry STEAL (1 STL)30
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q2 - 10:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
66.5%
17
33.5%
Q2 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot30
65.8%
17
34.2%
Q2 - 10:38DETHamilton 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)30
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q2 - 11:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
60.7%
17
39.3%
Q2 - 11:02SASDuncan 1' Layup (3 PTS)28
60.7%
17
39.3%
Q2 - 11:03SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Hook Shot28
64.6%
15
35.4%
Q2 - 11:22DETWallace Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)28
63.1%
15
36.9%
Q2 - 11:33DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
65.4%
15
34.6%
Q2 - 11:35SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot28
64.7%
15
35.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS28
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound28
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
64.8%
15
35.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
62.6%
15
37.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0DETMISS Hamilton 4' Jump Shot28
63.1%
15
36.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
64.3%
15
35.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot28
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
62.6%
15
37.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
57.6%
15
42.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot25
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 1:13DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 1:34SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 2:00DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)22
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 2:04DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 2:07SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup20
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 2:22DETEvans Layup (2 PTS)20
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 2:24DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
45.8%
13
54.2%
Q1 - 2:26DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot18
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 2:49SASBowen 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)18
45.8%
13
54.2%
Q1 - 3:16DETWallace 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)18
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 3:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 3:55DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)16
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 4:15SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS)14
40.6%
11
59.4%
Q1 - 4:20DETBowen STEAL (1 STL)14
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 4:34SASMohammed Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
44.9%
9
55.1%
Q1 - 4:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 4:49DETMISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot14
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 5:06DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
43.8%
9
56.2%
Q1 - 5:08SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot14
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 5:20DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)14
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 5:33DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 5:35SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot12
39.1%
9
60.9%
Q1 - 5:49DETPrince 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)12
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 6:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot10
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 6:26SASSPURS Rebound10
33.5%
9
66.5%
Q1 - 6:26DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot10
34.1%
9
65.9%
Q1 - 6:32DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 6:33SASMISS Parker 2' Layup10
34.9%
9
65.1%
Q1 - 6:50DETPrince 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)10
33.5%
9
66.5%
Q1 - 7:08SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS)8
31.7%
9
68.3%
Q1 - 7:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 7:17DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot8
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 7:38SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 7:38SASNesterovic 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 7:41SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot8
38.1%
5
61.9%
Q1 - 7:59DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 8:11DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.6%
5
61.4%
Q1 - 8:13SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup8
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 8:23SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 8:24SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot8
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 8:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 8:40DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot8
37.3%
5
62.7%
Q1 - 8:57SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
38.6%
5
61.4%
Q1 - 9:09DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
39.9%
3
60.1%
Q1 - 9:23SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 9:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 9:29SASSPURS Rebound6
39.9%
1
60.1%
Q1 - 9:31SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Hook Shot6
41.5%
1
58.5%
Q1 - 9:52DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
39.9%
1
60.1%
Q1 - 10:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.3%
1
61.7%
Q1 - 10:11SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot4
37.7%
1
62.3%
Q1 - 10:21SASSPURS Rebound4
36.3%
1
63.7%
Q1 - 10:22SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot4
37.7%
1
62.3%
Q1 - 10:37DETWallace 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
36.3%
1
63.7%
Q1 - 10:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.8%
1
65.2%
Q1 - 10:52SASMISS Finley 10' Jump Shot2
34.2%
1
65.8%
Q1 - 11:12DETWallace 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
33.0%
1
67.0%
Q1 - 11:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.3%
1
68.7%
Q1 - 11:27SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 20
31.1%
1
68.9%
Q1 - 11:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
30.2%
1
69.8%
Q1 - 11:37SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:39DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:44DETPistons Rebound0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:45DETNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)0
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Nesterovic vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups0
32.9%
0
67.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.6%
SAS
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
25
56%
SAS
20
31
65%
Midrange
DET
18
46
39%
SAS
5
26
19%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
SAS
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
Free Throws
DET
4
7
57%
SAS
12
24
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2768%13.5 / 20
R. Hamilton2248%11.0 / 23
T. Prince1350%6.5 / 13
C. Billups932%4.5 / 14
A. McDyess638%3.0 / 8
B. Wallace225%1.0 / 4
M. Evans250%1.0 / 2
C. Delfino233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1739%8.5 / 22
T. Parker1753%8.5 / 16
M. Ginobili1647%8.0 / 17
N. Van Exel643%3.0 / 7
B. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
R. Nesterovic450%2.0 / 4
R. Horry225%1.0 / 4
B. Barry250%1.0 / 2
M. Finley0-0.0 / 4
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
69
+18
-11
87
SAS
75
+7
-6
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.6%
SAS
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
107.1
DET 103.8
SAS 84.0 +19.8
Pace
87.4
88.8
DET 75.5
SAS 86.1 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
16.9
DET 19.1
SAS 16.7 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
51.3%
DET 47.0% +7.0%
SAS 40.0%
TO %
12.2%
14.8%
DET 11.2%
SAS 6.9% +4.3%
ORB %
28.9%
26.1%
DET 36.4% +27.3%
SAS 9.1%
FTrt
29.7
29.8
DET 8.3
SAS 34.3 +26.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.1%
57.4%
DET 67.6% +34.3%
SAS 33.3%
STL %
8.0%
7.4%
DET 5.0% +0.1%
SAS 4.9%
BLK %
9.0%
8.4%
DET 7.0%
SAS 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.1%
DET 46.6% +5.6%
SAS 41.0%
Rim FG%
59.0%
61.7%
DET 56.0%
SAS 64.5% +8.5%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.0%
DET 39.1% +19.9%
SAS 19.2%
3P %
38.4%
38.5%
DET 38.5% +23.1%
SAS 15.4%
FT %
72.7%
70.2%
DET 57.1% +7.1%
SAS 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.3%
36.7%
DET 29.8%
SAS 44.3% +14.5%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
41.8%
DET 54.8%
SAS 37.1% +17.6%
3P Att. %
22.1%
21.5%
DET 15.5%
SAS 18.6% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions8081
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points8368
Rebounds5632
Assists259
Steals44
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals37-8427-70
At-the-Rim FG14-2520-31
Midrange FG18-465-26
2-Point FG32-7125-57
3-Point FG5-132-13
Free Throws4-712-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 230 · 31
43.3
27
68%
10
4
0
1
2
2
1
9
0-0
-
9-15
60%
3-5
60%
G · 6'7" 193 · 28
42.2
22
48%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
9-21
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
41.1
9
32%
7
14
0
0
6
4
2
5
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 212 · 26
39.6
13
50%
12
2
2
0
0
2
4
8
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 240 · 31
37.2
2
25%
12
2
2
3
3
2
3
9
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31
15.5
6
38%
5
1
0
0
0
4
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27
14.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
6.9
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
C · 7'0" 275 · 21
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37
#54 · F · 6'7" 260 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
56
25
4
4
11
0
16
40
4-7
57%
32-71
45%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.