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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers47%100110
16Warriors53%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
43.3
32.5
24
85%
12
6
3
1
0
4
1
11
3-5
60%
6-7
3-6
86%
49%
3-5
60%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
41.2
38.8
38
58%
7
7
0
1
0
3
0
7
11-11
100%
12-23
9-19
52%
48%
1-5
20%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.8
38.0
28.3
18
68%
12
0
0
1
0
1
5
7
4-5
80%
7-11
3-6
64%
48%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
33.0
38.4
2
11%
6
3
0
1
3
2
1
5
0-2
0%
1-8
4-9
13%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
29.8
27.8
12
67%
6
3
0
0
3
1
4
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
20.4
18.2
7
70%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
15.2
15.5
4
40%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.9
14.9
20.7
5
51%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
4.3
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.5
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.2
2.2
0
0-1
48%
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.2
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.8
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.4
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
43.6
36.1
37
59%
4
0
4
1
1
2
2
2
4-10
40%
9-17
6-11
53%
49%
5-10
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.8
40.0
35.9
24
55%
11
13
1
2
0
3
4
7
1-2
50%
7-13
4-9
54%
45%
3-8
38%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
34.0
37.4
13
44%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
30.3
29.7
12
47%
11
1
0
1
0
1
5
6
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
15.5
24.5
3
52%
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.4
28.6
28.6
9
51%
2
6
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-6
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.9
25.5
9.3
2
33%
8
0
2
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
14.4
19.2
2
17%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.8
4.3
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
3.9
16.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.2
8.4
0
1-2
45%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.8
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.