FinalWin Prob.pScore
2535%93
100
1965%98
104
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
111.19088.8
SAC logo SAC
114.39193.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAC
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL100
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (29 PTS)100
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (27 PTS)98
4.5%
100
95.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)96
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (25 PTS)96
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)94
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0SACMISS Garcia Free Throw 2 of 291
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0SACMISS Garcia Free Throw 1 of 291
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLDiener 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)91
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 1:03SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 1:05ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 288
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 1:05ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)88
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 1:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)87
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 1:19SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 1:41SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 1:41ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 287
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 1:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 1:54SACKINGS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#13)86
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 2:04SACMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 2:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 2:16SACMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)86
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:40SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q4 - 2:42ORLMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 2:48SACGarcia Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)86
8.2%
91
91.8%
Q4 - 3:08SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 3:10ORLMISS Hill 23' Jump Shot86
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q4 - 3:24SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)86
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 3:24SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 286
9.7%
90
90.3%
Q4 - 3:43ORLDiener 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)86
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 3:50ORLDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
5.4%
90
94.6%
Q4 - 3:52SACMISS Bibby 3' Layup83
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 3:59SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)83
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 4:01ORLGarcia BLOCK (3 BLK)83
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 4:17SACBibby 20' Jump Shot (39 PTS)83
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 4:31ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
7.2%
88
92.8%
Q4 - 4:31ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)82
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 4:49SACBibby 20' Jump Shot (37 PTS)81
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 4:56SACMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 4:58SACMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 5:19ORLNelson Layup (21 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)81
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 5:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)79
6.5%
86
93.5%
Q4 - 5:23ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot79
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 5:32ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 5:34SACMISS Martin 16' Fadeaway Jumper79
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 5:56ORLNelson Driving Layup (19 PTS)79
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 6:09SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 6:09SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q4 - 6:38ORLHoward 4' Finger Roll (17 PTS)77
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q4 - 6:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)75
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 6:55SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot75
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 7:10ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)75
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 7:12ORLGarrity 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)74
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q4 - 7:20SACThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)72
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 7:40ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 7:40ORLHill Tip Shot (18 PTS)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 7:42ORLMISS Hill 5' Jump Shot70
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 8:01SACThomas Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)70
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 8:19ORLDiener 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)70
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:22ORLMagic Rebound68
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 8:24ORLMISS Diener 21' Jump Shot68
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 8:40SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 8:40SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 268
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 8:51SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 8:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot68
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 9:08SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 9:08SACMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 268
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 9:29ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 9:45ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 9:47SACMISS Martin 13' Jump Shot66
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 9:54ORLMartin STEAL (1 STL)66
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 10:08SACBibby 21' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)66
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 10:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 166
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 10:26ORLHoward Layup (15 PTS)66
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 10:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)64
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 10:27ORLMISS Hill 4' Jump Shot64
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q4 - 10:41SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 10:41SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 10:44ORLMiller STEAL (1 STL)64
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 11:01ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q4 - 11:03SACMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q4 - 11:24ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)64
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q4 - 11:41SACThomas 4' Layup (8 PTS)62
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL62
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot62
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot62
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLStevenson Layup (4 PTS)62
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)60
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0SACBibby 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)60
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 1:08ORLBattie 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)60
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 1:20ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 1:21ORLMISS Howard Slam Dunk58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 1:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)58
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 1:35ORLMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 1:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)58
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 1:49SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot58
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 2:12SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 2:14ORLMISS Battie 20' Jump Shot58
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 2:33SACBibby 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Garcia 4 AST)58
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 2:50SACKINGS Rebound58
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Stevenson Layup58
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 2:54ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
7.0%
69
93.0%
Q3 - 2:56ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot58
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 3:10SACMartin Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)58
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 3:13SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 3:15ORLMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot58
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 3:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)58
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 3:30SACMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot58
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 3:37SACMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 3:39ORLGarcia BLOCK (2 BLK)58
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 4:00SACMartin 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)58
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 4:20SACMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
14.3%
64
85.7%
Q3 - 4:21ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot58
15.1%
64
84.9%
Q3 - 4:41SACBibby 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS)58
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 4:51ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)58
19.2%
62
80.8%
Q3 - 5:08SACBibby 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS)56
17.3%
62
82.7%
Q3 - 5:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)56
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q3 - 5:41SACMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)53
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 5:52SACKINGS Rebound53
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 5:55SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot53
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 6:18ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 6:18ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 6:32ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 6:33SACMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot51
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 6:39SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 6:41ORLMISS Stevenson 12' Jump Shot51
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 7:00SACMartin Layup (10 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)51
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 7:14ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 7:37SACMiller 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)49
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q3 - 7:52ORLHill Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)49
13.5%
56
86.5%
Q3 - 8:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)49
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 8:02SACMISS Thomas 7' Jump Hook Shot49
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 8:18ORLBattie Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)49
13.8%
56
86.2%
Q3 - 8:35SACMiller Layup (10 PTS)49
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 8:36SACMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 8:38SACMISS Miller Layup49
19.6%
54
80.4%
Q3 - 8:56ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)49
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 9:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)46
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 9:10SACMISS Thomas Layup46
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 9:13SACMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q3 - 9:15SACMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 9:35ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q3 - 9:51SACBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Garcia 3 AST)44
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q3 - 9:58SACMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q3 - 10:00ORLMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)44
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 10:18SACMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)44
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q3 - 10:37ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)44
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q3 - 10:55SACThomas Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)44
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q3 - 11:08ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)44
18.2%
49
81.8%
Q3 - 11:26SACBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Garcia 2 AST)42
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q3 - 11:40SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q3 - 11:42ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot42
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL42
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)42
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)42
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0SACKINGS Rebound42
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot42
26.5%
44
73.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0SACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
27.8%
44
72.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (12 PTS)42
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 1:10SACMartin Dunk (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)40
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 1:13SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot40
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 1:39SACMiller 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)40
27.7%
42
72.3%
Q2 - 1:59ORLHoward 8' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)40
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 2:20SACBibby 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)38
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 2:41ORLHill Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)38
31.0%
38
69.0%
Q2 - 2:58SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 2:58SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)38
33.9%
37
66.1%
Q2 - 3:06ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 3:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)35
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 3:24SACMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot35
30.0%
36
70.0%
Q2 - 3:45SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 3:45ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 235
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 3:45ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
30.1%
36
69.9%
Q2 - 3:55SACBibby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)34
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 4:07SACMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 4:08SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 4:17SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 4:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Turnaround Jump Shot34
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 4:35SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)34
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 4:35SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 4:44ORLNelson Driving Layup (7 PTS)34
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 4:47SACGarcia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)32
28.1%
34
71.9%
Q2 - 5:12ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)32
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 5:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)30
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 5:35SACMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot30
23.1%
34
76.9%
Q2 - 5:50ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 6:15SACHart 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 6:51ORLHill Driving Layup (9 PTS)27
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 6:55ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
18.5%
32
81.5%
Q2 - 6:57SACMISS Garcia 8' Jump Shot25
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 7:09SACSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 7:10ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot25
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 7:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot25
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q2 - 7:42SACBibby 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)25
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 7:53SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 7:55ORLMISS Turkoglu 5' Jump Shot25
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q2 - 8:16SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 8:16SACMISS Garcia Free Throw 1 of 225
24.6%
28
75.4%
Q2 - 8:31ORLDiener Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q2 - 8:43SACSkinner 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q2 - 8:58SACHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q2 - 8:59ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 225
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q2 - 8:59ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
29.7%
26
70.3%
Q2 - 9:11SACBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q2 - 9:28ORLHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 9:29ORLDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q2 - 9:31SACMISS Miller Layup24
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 9:32SACMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 9:34SACMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot24
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 9:40SACWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup24
26.5%
26
73.5%
Q2 - 10:02SACBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)24
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q2 - 10:06SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q2 - 10:07SACMISS Hart 20' Jump Shot24
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q2 - 10:18ORLHart STEAL (1 STL)24
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q2 - 10:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Layup24
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q2 - 10:20ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q2 - 10:36SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
34.5%
23
65.5%
Q2 - 10:36SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q2 - 10:49SACWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q2 - 10:51ORLMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot24
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q2 - 10:58ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
39.1%
21
60.9%
Q2 - 10:59SACMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot24
38.3%
21
61.7%
Q2 - 11:15SACWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q2 - 11:17ORLMISS Cato Free Throw 2 of 224
36.4%
21
63.6%
Q2 - 11:17ORLMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 224
37.8%
21
62.2%
Q2 - 11:30SACWilliamson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
38.4%
21
61.6%
Q2 - 11:41ORLTurkoglu 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC22
33.9%
21
66.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.3%
21
67.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0SACKINGS Rebound22
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Cato 18' Jump Shot22
36.6%
19
63.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
37.8%
19
62.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
38.1%
18
61.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLHoward Reverse Layup (6 PTS)22
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0SACMISS Williamson 9' Jump Shot20
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 1:11ORLCato 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)20
36.0%
17
64.0%
Q1 - 1:25ORLDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
33.4%
17
66.6%
Q1 - 1:27ORLMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
32.3%
17
67.7%
Q1 - 1:37ORLMagic Rebound18
33.4%
17
66.6%
Q1 - 1:37SACMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 1:50SACWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 1:52ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot18
32.3%
17
67.7%
Q1 - 1:58SACMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
33.4%
17
66.6%
Q1 - 2:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 2:16ORLTurkoglu Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 2:18ORLMISS Battie 7' Jump Shot16
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 2:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)16
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 2:33SACMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
29.0%
17
71.0%
Q1 - 2:50SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 2:51ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot16
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 3:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)16
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 3:08ORLMISS Battie 7' Jump Shot16
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 3:17ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 3:19ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot16
28.1%
17
71.9%
Q1 - 3:31SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
29.5%
17
70.5%
Q1 - 3:31SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 3:34SACWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 3:36ORLMISS Nelson 7' Jump Shot16
31.9%
15
68.1%
Q1 - 3:49SACGarcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)16
33.4%
15
66.6%
Q1 - 4:03ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)16
36.7%
12
63.3%
Q1 - 4:14ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 4:15ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot16
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 4:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 4:27ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot16
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 4:48SACThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 5:07ORLHoward 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 5:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 5:10ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot14
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 5:26ORLMagic Rebound14
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 5:27ORLGarcia BLOCK (1 BLK)14
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 5:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
34.5%
12
65.5%
Q1 - 5:32SACMISS Bibby Layup14
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 5:45SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 5:48ORLMISS Battie 8' Jump Shot14
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 6:04SACGarcia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
34.0%
12
66.0%
Q1 - 6:20ORLHill Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)14
32.1%
12
67.9%
Q1 - 6:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 6:30SACMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot12
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 6:39SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 6:41ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot12
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 6:55ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 6:57SACMISS Thomas 9' Hook Shot12
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 7:21ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
28.5%
12
71.5%
Q1 - 7:35SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 7:35SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
27.4%
11
72.6%
Q1 - 7:44ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)10
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 7:54SACMartin Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)8
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 7:59SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 8:00ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot8
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 8:28SACThomas 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)8
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 8:50ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)8
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 9:07SACMiller 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)6
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 9:20ORLHill 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)6
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 9:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:36SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 9:49ORLStevenson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 10:08SACMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot2
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 10:18SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 10:20ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot2
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 10:28ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 10:29SACMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot2
26.3%
4
73.7%
Q1 - 10:46ORLNelson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
25.2%
4
74.8%
Q1 - 10:50ORLMagic Rebound0
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:51ORLMISS Battie 8' Jump Shot0
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 11:13SACThomas 18' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 11:23SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 11:24ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 11:44SACBibby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)0
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Miller vs. Howard: Tip to Thomas0
28.3%
0
71.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 49.0%
SAC
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
20
33
61%
SAC
8
14
57%
Midrange
ORL
16
47
34%
SAC
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
SAC
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
ORL
13
20
65%
SAC
34
40
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2973%14.5 / 20
D. Howard1856%9.0 / 16
G. Hill1847%9.0 / 19
H. Turkoglu1142%5.5 / 13
T. Diener857%4.0 / 7
T. Battie630%3.0 / 10
D. Stevenson422%2.0 / 9
P. Garrity4100%2.0 / 2
K. Cato233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby4272%21.0 / 29
K. Martin2273%11.0 / 15
B. Miller2166%10.5 / 16
K. Thomas1146%5.5 / 12
F. Garcia422%2.0 / 9
J. Hart250%1.0 / 2
B. Skinner2100%1.0 / 1
C. Williamson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+19
-10
99
SAC
79
+8
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.98 49.0%
SAC
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.2
ORL 111.1
SAC 114.3 +3.2
Pace
88.1
92.4
ORL 88.8
SAC 93.4 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
15.3
ORL 16.2
SAC 15.4 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.2%
ORL 48.3%
SAC 53.8% +5.5%
TO %
16.2%
15.0%
ORL 9.2% +4.4%
SAC 13.6%
ORB %
28.6%
25.4%
ORL 32.7% +11.5%
SAC 21.2%
FTrt
36.9
33.4
ORL 22.2
SAC 61.5 +39.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
61.8%
ORL 39.0%
SAC 71.0% +32.0%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
ORL 7.8% +4.5%
SAC 3.3%
BLK %
7.2%
5.5%
ORL 12.5% +6.2%
SAC 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
52.9%
ORL 49.0%
SAC 59.8% +10.8%
Rim FG%
57.7%
60.4%
ORL 60.6% +3.5%
SAC 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.0%
ORL 34.0%
SAC 44.1% +10.1%
3P %
37.6%
35.1%
ORL 50.0% +2.9%
SAC 47.1%
FT %
73.0%
78.4%
ORL 65.0%
SAC 85.0% +20.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
32.1%
ORL 36.7% +15.1%
SAC 21.5%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
46.3%
ORL 52.2% +0.1%
SAC 52.3%
3P Att. %
12.9%
21.7%
ORL 11.1%
SAC 26.2% +15.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAC
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes24.323.4
Points100104
Rebounds4240
Assists1622
Steals73
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals41-9031-65
At-the-Rim FG20-338-14
Midrange FG16-4715-34
2-Point FG36-8023-48
3-Point FG5-108-17
Free Throws13-2034-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
44.3
18
56%
19
2
1
3
1
4
6
13
2-4
50%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 33
37.2
18
47%
4
0
1
0
4
2
2
2
2-4
50%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
35.5
29
73%
3
9
3
0
2
5
2
1
3-3
100%
10-17
59%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
30.5
6
30%
2
1
0
2
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
25.9
4
22%
2
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
30.2
11
42%
4
2
0
1
0
4
2
2
4-5
80%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
19.7
8
57%
3
0
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
11.4
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 31
5.3
2
33%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37
G · 6'3" 195 · 26
C · 7'1" 260 · 26
#3 · G · 6'3" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'9" 221 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
49%
42
16
7
6
10
0
16
26
13-20
65%
36-80
45%
5-10
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.