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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nets22%8877
4Mavericks78%98110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
31.9
27.4
2
18%
2
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
1-5
3-6
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.8
28.0
34.7
19
80%
4
5
1
2
1
7
1
3
2-2
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
43%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.0
27.6
35.5
17
41%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
5-8
63%
6-15
7-15
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.1
22.2
28.6
0
0%
5
1
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
20.3
20.4
10
87%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
48%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 21.9
23.1
8.0
4
50%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.7
18.4
20.4
5
63%
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.0
17.9
7.3
8
59%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.1
17.2
18.0
5
36%
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.7
15.2
16.5
7
39%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
1-3
33%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.3
13.6
9.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
4.7
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.6
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
35.4
18.5
3
54%
6
4
2
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
29.8
32.6
29
68%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
7-10
70%
11-17
6-11
65%
49%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
27.3
36.8
16
61%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
6-11
7-15
55%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
20.6
36.4
13
72%
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
3-4
75%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.0
19.8
16.8
2
25%
7
0
2
0
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
27.4
23.5
4
19%
1
7
3
1
1
2
0
1
2-3
67%
1-7
3-7
14%
49%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
18.9
23.2
5
32%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
18.5
17.5
23
116%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
5-6
83%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
15.3
21.5
2
100%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
12.0
1.0
5
40%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
2-2
0-0
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
8.6
1.6
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
6.5
2.4
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.9
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.