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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Heat57%103117
17SuperSonics43%101104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
39.6
33.0
15
43%
10
14
2
1
2
5
3
7
7-8
88%
4-14
7-14
29%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
36.3
29.6
19
57%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-10
3-5
60%
52%
1-5
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
32.6
30.5
9
60%
7
3
0
1
1
2
3
4
1-1
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
22.8
27.3
16
79%
9
0
0
0
1
1
3
6
6-7
86%
5-7
7-13
71%
59%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
22.8
24.3
19
74%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
5-9
56%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
35.2
24.0
15
56%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
2-7
29%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
21.5
14.8
12
76%
5
0
0
0
5
1
3
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
55%
0-0
-
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.4
10.2
14.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
7.8
7.3
4
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
7.5
27.4
6
75%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
3.6
10.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.1
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
43.8
33.4
21
60%
2
8
3
1
0
3
1
1
7-8
88%
7-11
3-8
64%
42%
0-3
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
38.6
39.5
33
59%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
11-16
69%
8-16
5-11
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
34.3
33.4
7
29%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.0
23.2
14.7
12
51%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
1-3
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.0
17.4
18.9
2
100%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
32.3
29.7
12
43%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
43%
0-2
0%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.1
22.2
12.3
8
50%
8
0
0
0
1
0
5
3
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
19.6
14.0
4
33%
6
1
0
0
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.2
7.4
1.2
5
87%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.8
0.8
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.8
0.4
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
27.5
1
3-7
47%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.7
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.