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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Rockets32%86109
19Bulls68%92108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
53.5
37.3
5
28%
8
12
3
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
1-4
25%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
50.5
35.7
17
56%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-5
60%
4-6
2-5
67%
41%
2-7
29%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.0
50.3
34.9
30
52%
7
2
1
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
15-29
6-13
52%
45%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
39.9
10.3
35
54%
9
6
0
0
1
5
1
8
7-8
88%
11-25
2-5
44%
46%
2-4
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.6
26.6
24.8
3
61%
7
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 22.6
32.9
9.0
12
89%
13
1
1
0
2
0
4
9
4-4
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
43%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
24.8
40.5
7
54%
5
1
1
2
0
2
1
4
1-1
100%
3-3
3-7
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
5.7
15.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 23.2
3.1
11.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.2
2.8
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.2
8.8
0
1-3
47%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
7.2
0
1-2
40%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.5
3.6
0
0-0
44%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.4
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
47.2
32.4
19
56%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
8-16
4-9
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.0
42.0
37.5
16
40%
8
8
1
1
0
3
0
8
5-7
71%
1-12
3-8
8%
45%
3-5
60%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
40.3
32.8
18
39%
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
9-16
5-11
56%
43%
0-7
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.2
16.5
18.8
6
51%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
9.1
14.6
4
67%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.4
37.3
23.2
10
54%
1
8
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.1
35.1
21.0
10
46%
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
7
4-4
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.9
32.6
27.3
16
58%
10
3
1
1
0
2
4
6
4-4
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
14.8
2.7
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
9.0
2.2
5
64%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.3
6.1
22.4
0
0%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.2
2.6
0
0-1
40%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.