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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks58%93101
20Clippers42%9181
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
40.9
30.9
26
56%
11
3
2
1
1
3
2
9
5-5
100%
6-15
6-13
40%
48%
3-6
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.3
32.4
28.7
10
37%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
31.9
32.1
9
41%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.5
31.1
27.8
10
85%
9
2
1
1
0
0
4
5
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
44%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.0
16.8
20.7
2
50%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
29.1
17.1
13
75%
12
0
1
0
3
1
3
9
3-6
50%
5-6
2-3
83%
52%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.2
28.5
19.5
14
54%
1
6
0
1
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.9
24.1
27.5
13
79%
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-5
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.0
2.7
8.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.1
2.1
6.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.6
0.5
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
8.4
0
1-2
47%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 23.9
Pavel Podkolzin
C · 7'5" 260 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.4
38.4
35.1
10
35%
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
0-1
0%
5-11
4-10
45%
45%
0-3
0%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.2
35.0
33.0
23
59%
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
8-16
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 26.9
34.9
36.3
19
57%
10
3
0
1
4
1
2
8
3-4
75%
8-15
8-16
53%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.7
32.3
34.1
7
42%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-3
33%
3-7
5-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 24.7
27.2
25.8
4
67%
1
3
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 20.4
26.5
26.1
2
17%
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
43%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
19.9
14.4
5
56%
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Ewing
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
12.5
17.9
5
83%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
9.3
9.9
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Yaroslav Korolev
F · 6'9" 203 · 18.7
4.1
3.6
2
35%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Boniface Ndong
C · 7'0" 205 · 28.4
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.2
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.