FinalWin Prob.pScore
535%89
82
465%94
94
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
90.19192.5
MIA logo MIA
102.29290.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA82
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MEMCardinal 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MEMMISS Cardinal 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MEMBurks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MEMJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Cardinal 1 AST)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MEMMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MEMWade BLOCK (3 BLK)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)78
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 2:53MEMWade BLOCK (2 BLK)78
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)78
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 3:19MEMJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 3:28MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Hook Shot75
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:49MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:06MEMJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:18MEMMISS Gasol Layup75
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:43MIAO'Neal Dunk (20 PTS)75
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 4:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)75
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Payton 8' Hook Shot75
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 5:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)75
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot75
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 5:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)75
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 5:23MEMMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 5:33MEMJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 175
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 6:15MEMJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 6:58MEMJackson Driving Layup (16 PTS)72
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 7:09MEMJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 7:11MEMMISS Miller Layup70
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)70
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 7:44MEMBattier 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 8:11MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)68
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 8:31MEMTsakalidis Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)68
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 8:41MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot66
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)66
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:04MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot66
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 9:19MEMGrizzlies Rebound66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 9:43MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:43MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 9:43MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 9:44MEMMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot64
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMourning Layup (9 PTS)64
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot64
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:05MEMPayton STEAL (2 STL)64
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:16MEMGrizzlies Rebound64
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 10:36MEMJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)64
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:36MEMJackson Layup (13 PTS)63
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 261
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 11:16MEMMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)61
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 261
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)60
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0MEMJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)60
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)60
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 260
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0MEMMISS Jones Layup60
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)60
5.5%
72
94.5%
Q3 - 1:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 1:39MEMMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 1:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 2:03MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T15)60
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 2:08MEMGrizzlies Rebound60
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:09MEMWade BLOCK (1 BLK)60
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 2:10MEMAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Haslem Layup60
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 2:29MEMMiller Layup (12 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST)60
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)58
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 2:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 2:43MEMMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot58
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 2:55MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 258
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 3:03MEMHaslem STEAL (3 STL)58
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)58
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 3:33MEMBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)58
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 3:54MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 3:54MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 254
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 4:25MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot54
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWilliams Driving Layup (14 PTS)54
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 4:55MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 4:55MEMMISS Tsakalidis Free Throw 1 of 253
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q3 - 5:04MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot53
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q3 - 5:20MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)53
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q3 - 5:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 5:33MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 253
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 5:33MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 253
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)53
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 5:46MEMMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 5:53MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q3 - 5:55MEMMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)53
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 6:11MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)53
20.0%
58
80.0%
Q3 - 6:32MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 6:32MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
15.7%
57
84.3%
Q3 - 7:05MEMGasol 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWade Layup (9 PTS)49
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q3 - 7:42MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
17.5%
54
82.5%
Q3 - 7:42MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)48
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 7:49MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 7:51MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 7:56MEMJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 7:58MEMMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot47
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 8:07MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
15.9%
54
84.1%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Posey Layup47
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q3 - 8:16MEMO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)47
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)47
15.9%
54
84.1%
Q3 - 8:50MEMWade STEAL (2 STL)47
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q3 - 9:07MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)47
15.9%
54
84.1%
Q3 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound47
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 9:31MEMMISS Jackson 4' Running Jump Shot47
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
20.3%
52
79.7%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 247
21.3%
51
78.7%
Q3 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q3 - 9:59MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot47
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q3 - 10:10MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 10:19MEMWilliams STEAL (2 STL)47
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 247
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS O'Neal Layup47
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q3 - 10:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
22.5%
50
77.5%
Q3 - 10:57MEMMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 247
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 10:57MEMMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 247
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)47
25.2%
50
74.8%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q3 - 11:41MEMMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
27.8%
48
72.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 62' 3PT Jump Shot47
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
28.5%
48
71.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)47
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot47
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0MEMAtkins Driving Layup (7 PTS)47
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 1:23MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)45
33.0%
45
67.0%
Q2 - 1:47MEMBattier 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)45
40.4%
42
59.6%
Q2 - 2:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
33.5%
42
66.5%
Q2 - 2:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
39.4%
39
60.6%
Q2 - 2:20MEMMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot42
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 2:39MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
42.2%
39
57.8%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot42
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 2:45MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
39.5%
39
60.5%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot42
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 3:04MEMAtkins 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
38.5%
39
61.5%
Q2 - 3:14MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
36.0%
39
64.0%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot40
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 3:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q2 - 3:32MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot40
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 3:52MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 4:18MEMGasol Dunk (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)40
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 4:23MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)38
30.3%
39
69.7%
Q2 - 4:28MEMHaslem STEAL (2 STL)38
28.0%
39
72.0%
Q2 - 4:53MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
30.3%
39
69.7%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 238
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 4:54MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)38
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
30.3%
38
69.7%
Q2 - 5:02MEMMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot38
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 5:14MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 238
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 5:24MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
32.5%
37
67.5%
Q2 - 5:26MEMMISS Atkins 16' Jump Shot38
33.4%
37
66.6%
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T11)38
35.3%
37
64.7%
Q2 - 5:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
32.5%
37
67.5%
Q2 - 5:39MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot38
34.4%
37
65.6%
Q2 - 5:51MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q2 - 5:51MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 237
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 6:02MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
32.8%
37
67.2%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 237
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 237
31.4%
37
68.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Williams Layup37
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 6:19MEMJackson 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 6:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)35
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 6:41MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
29.9%
35
70.1%
Q2 - 6:43MEMMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot35
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q2 - 6:55MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)35
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 7:15MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)35
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 7:17MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)35
32.5%
35
67.5%
Q2 - 7:32MEMPayton STEAL (1 STL)35
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 8:00MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot35
31.6%
35
68.4%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
29.9%
35
70.1%
Q2 - 8:17MEMMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot35
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)35
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
29.9%
35
70.1%
Q2 - 8:42MEMMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 9:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 9:07MEMMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)35
34.9%
33
65.1%
Q2 - 9:14MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
36.7%
33
63.3%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot35
35.9%
33
64.1%
Q2 - 9:33MEMMiller Dunk (10 PTS)35
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 9:37MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 9:46MIAHEAT Rebound33
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Walker Layup33
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 10:03MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)33
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
26.7%
32
73.3%
Q2 - 10:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 10:27MEMMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 10:50MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 230
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 10:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 10:55MEMHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)30
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 10:56MEMWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 10:59MEMMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)30
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 11:19MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)30
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 11:37MEMWarrick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
33.8%
29
66.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound30
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Payton Layup30
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot30
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)30
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
34.1%
28
65.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
35.9%
27
64.1%
Q1 - 1:11MIAWalker Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)27
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q1 - 1:32MEMTsakalidis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q1 - 1:44MIAWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)24
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 1:56MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q1 - 1:56MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q1 - 2:00MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q1 - 2:27MEMAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)22
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)19
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 3:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 3:07MEMMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 219
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 3:07MEMMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 219
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 3:13MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 3:36MEMTsakalidis Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)19
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 3:48MEMMISS Jones Free Throw Technical17
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 4:00MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)17
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 4:03MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q1 - 4:05MEMMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot17
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)17
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 4:28MEMO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)17
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 4:51MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)17
29.3%
18
70.7%
Q1 - 5:13MEMGasol Layup (2 PTS)17
32.3%
15
67.7%
Q1 - 5:15MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
30.6%
15
69.4%
Q1 - 5:17MEMMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 5:39MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)15
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 5:48MEMJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)15
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade Layup (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 6:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
30.3%
11
69.7%
Q1 - 6:18MEMMISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot12
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 6:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 6:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS O'Neal Layup12
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 6:51MEMJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)12
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 7:03MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot12
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 7:13MEMO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)12
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 7:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 212
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 7:45MEMWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)12
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 8:14MEMWade STEAL (1 STL)10
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 8:34MIAPosey Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 8:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 8:48MEMMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot10
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)10
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 8:58MEMHaslem STEAL (1 STL)10
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:16MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 9:20MEMWilliams STEAL (1 STL)10
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)10
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 9:54MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 9:54MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 9:58MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)8
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:12MEMJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)8
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 10:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot5
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 10:55MEMBattier Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 11:11MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:20MEMJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)3
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:38MIAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
29.5%
0
70.5%
Q1 - 11:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 11:42MEMMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 11:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.5%
0
70.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Gasol: Tip to Haslem0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
14
27
52%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
MEM
4
15
27%
MIA
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MEM
16
27
59%
MIA
30
46
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jackson2261%11.0 / 18
S. Battier1267%6.0 / 9
M. Miller1255%6.0 / 11
P. Gasol1146%5.5 / 12
J. Tsakalidis1063%5.0 / 8
C. Atkins758%3.5 / 6
E. Jones210%1.0 / 10
L. Wright233%1.0 / 3
D. Jones250%1.0 / 2
B. Cardinal250%1.0 / 2
H. Warrick0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
S. O'Neal2063%10.0 / 16
J. Williams1458%7.0 / 12
A. Mourning990%4.5 / 5
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
A. Walker857%4.0 / 7
J. Posey531%2.5 / 8
G. Payton542%2.5 / 6
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
74
+9
-17
83
MIA
75
+14
-17
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
108.0
MEM 90.1 +12.1
MIA 102.2
Pace
86.4
92.2
MEM 92.5 +2.1
MIA 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.3
15.9
MEM 15.6 +0.4
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.7%
MEM 47.1%
MIA 50.0% +2.9%
TO %
14.8%
15.0%
MEM 17.2%
MIA 16.8% +0.4%
ORB %
25.8%
26.8%
MEM 18.2%
MIA 33.3% +15.1%
FTrt
33.9
36.3
MEM 38.6
MIA 71.9 +33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
55.7%
MEM 53.6%
MIA 56.7% +3.1%
STL %
8.4%
6.9%
MEM 12.1% +0.1%
MIA 12.0%
BLK %
8.9%
8.5%
MEM 8.2%
MIA 21.4% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
53.9%
MEM 49.4%
MIA 52.8% +3.4%
Rim FG%
57.0%
64.2%
MEM 51.9%
MIA 72.0% +20.1%
Mid FG%
37.2%
38.9%
MEM 26.7%
MIA 33.3% +6.6%
3P %
37.4%
34.5%
MEM 35.7% +9.0%
MIA 26.7%
FT %
71.1%
70.0%
MEM 59.3%
MIA 65.2% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.4%
39.3%
MEM 38.6%
MIA 39.1% +0.5%
Mid Att. %
35.9%
38.0%
MEM 21.4% +16.1%
MIA 37.5%
3P Att. %
25.8%
22.7%
MEM 40.0% +16.6%
MIA 23.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8294
Rebounds3047
Assists1517
Steals1111
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals28-7030-64
At-the-Rim FG14-2718-25
Midrange FG4-158-24
2-Point FG18-4226-49
3-Point FG10-284-15
Free Throws16-2730-46
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
39.7
12
67%
3
3
3
3
1
3
1
2
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
F · 7'0" 250 · 26
37.5
11
46%
7
7
0
1
6
5
2
5
5-8
63%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 33
33.1
22
61%
4
0
3
0
3
3
2
2
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
5-9
56%
G · 6'6" 200 · 34
26.9
2
10%
2
0
2
0
1
4
0
2
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
17.3
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26
32.0
12
55%
5
3
1
0
3
6
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
G · 5'11" 185 · 31
20.5
7
58%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
C · 7'2" 290 · 27
16.7
10
63%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
7.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
4.0
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 219 · 24
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 195 · 26
1.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 5'10" 171 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'9" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'2" 180 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
49%
30
15
11
4
17
0
8
22
16-27
59%
18-42
43%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.