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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 18, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Pistons78%97117
30Hawks22%8789
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.4
35.5
33.5
4
41%
18
5
0
1
6
2
6
12
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.3
31.9
38.2
23
87%
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
46%
4-7
57%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.9
26.6
32.3
7
27%
5
3
1
1
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-9
5-9
11%
51%
1-3
33%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.9
26.5
36.0
21
66%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
8-13
7-15
62%
49%
1-2
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.3
25.7
36.3
14
79%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.2
21.5
15.1
14
70%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.4
21.4
11.1
11
56%
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
17.7
20.3
12
86%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
3-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.5
16.1
7.4
4
69%
3
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.8
7.2
2.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.9
7.0
1.8
5
58%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-3
33%
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.6
2.9
2.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.7
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
38.2
38.1
13
38%
7
7
2
1
1
2
2
5
2-3
67%
4-13
5-12
31%
46%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.1
33.9
31.9
7
35%
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
32.2
36.6
21
52%
10
3
0
1
0
0
5
5
4-5
80%
7-16
6-12
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.9
30.4
30.4
11
44%
10
2
0
1
0
1
5
5
5-6
83%
3-10
3-8
30%
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.1
11.4
12.7
4
34%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.6
34.4
26.8
6
34%
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
31.6
18.9
17
54%
0
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
2-6
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.6
23.9
23.9
10
51%
4
0
1
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.4
3.9
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
10.9
0
1-3
46%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
4.4
0
0-1
47%
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.4
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.