FinalWin Prob.pScore
2121%90
95
579%100
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
105.69098.2
DAL logo DAL
128.18982.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL95
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILGaines 22' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)95
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DALMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MILGriffin STEAL (2 STL)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILWelsch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALMISS Mbenga 13' Turnaround Jump Shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MILJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DALMbenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DALMbenga Tip Shot (2 PTS)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34DALMISS Powell 6' Hook Shot90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MILWelsch Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02DALMISS Powell 8' Turnaround Jump Shot87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILGaines Layup (2 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)87
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47DALStackhouse 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)85
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MILHarris STEAL (3 STL)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)85
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MILMISS Gaines 21' Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MILHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Bogut Layup85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)84
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DALHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T10)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MILBucks Rebound83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MILNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36DALMISS Diop 12' Fadeaway Jumper83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03MILBogut 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16DALMISS Howard Layup81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39DALMISS Diop Free Throw 2 of 279
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57MILRedd Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Simmons 4 AST)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 177
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29MILMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37DALMISS Nowitzki Layup77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:51MILDiop BLOCK (2 BLK)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11DALHarris Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:27MILMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:45DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:55MILNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)77
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 9:58MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:00DALMISS Howard Layup77
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:20MILWilliams 9' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:32DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)75
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:59MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)75
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:18DALTerry 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)73
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:26DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:28MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:45DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 11:45DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)73
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL73
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)73
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)73
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DALTerry Driving Layup (15 PTS)70
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 1:09MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)70
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 1:23DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)68
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 1:23DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 268
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:44DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:46MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 2:05DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (30 PTS)68
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q3 - 2:27MILWilliams 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Welsch 2 AST)68
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 2:29DALDampier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)66
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 2:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 2:32MILMISS Welsch Free Throw 2 of 266
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 2:32MILWelsch Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 2:43DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 2:43DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)65
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 2:58MILSimmons 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)65
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 3:05DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)63
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 3:26MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 3:26MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 3:35MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:35MILNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)61
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 3:40MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 3:42DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot61
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 4:00MILWilliams 5' Driving Hook Shot (11 PTS)61
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 4:18DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 4:18DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)59
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 4:32MILRedd Driving Layup (21 PTS)59
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 4:51DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)57
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 5:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound57
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 5:01DALMISS Harris Running Layup57
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 5:06MILHarris STEAL (2 STL)57
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 5:30DALGriffin Driving Layup (4 PTS)57
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 5:53DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 5:55MILMISS Ford 21' Jump Shot57
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 6:04MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 6:07DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 257
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 6:07DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 6:25MILWelsch 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)57
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 6:35DALHoward Driving Layup (13 PTS)54
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 6:42DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 6:44MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot54
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 6:59DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)54
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 7:18MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)54
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 7:24MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 7:27DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 7:36MILWelsch 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)51
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 7:53DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 7:53DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 7:56DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
1.5%
67
98.5%
Q3 - 7:57MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot49
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 8:03MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 8:05DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot49
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 8:27DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)49
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 8:30MILMISS Ford 13' Jump Shot49
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 8:43DALGriffin Driving Layup (2 PTS)49
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 8:59MILMagloire Backcourt Turnover (P1.T13)49
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 9:19DALTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)49
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 9:24MILFord Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Welsch 1 AST)49
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 9:28DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)47
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 9:42MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)47
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q3 - 10:08DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)47
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 10:32MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)47
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q3 - 10:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)45
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 10:46DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)45
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 11:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 11:02MILMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot45
2.5%
61
97.5%
Q3 - 11:16DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)45
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 11:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 11:38MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot45
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 11:46MILBucks Rebound45
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 11:47MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot45
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL45
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 8' Running Jump Shot45
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0MILHoward STEAL (2 STL)43
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)43
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0MILWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)43
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot43
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 1:17MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 1:17MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q2 - 1:29DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)41
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 1:50MILMagloire 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS)41
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 2:11DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 2:11DALHoward 5' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)39
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 2:13DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot39
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 2:34MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 2:34MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 238
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 2:50DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)38
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 3:06DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 3:08DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot38
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 3:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 3:31MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 238
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 3:31MILMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 238
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 3:31MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 3:33DALMISS Howard 16' Turnaround Jump Shot38
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 3:52DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot38
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 3:58DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 3:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 3:59DALMISS Howard Layup38
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 4:02DALMISS Terry Layup38
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 4:06MILHarris STEAL (1 STL)38
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 4:26DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 4:26DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
8.0%
46
92.0%
Q2 - 4:29MILDiop STEAL (1 STL)38
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 4:49DALHoward 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)38
9.7%
45
90.3%
Q2 - 5:12MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q2 - 5:12MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 5:27MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 5:29DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot36
9.4%
43
90.6%
Q2 - 5:45DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 5:47MILMISS Kukoc 10' Hook Shot36
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q2 - 6:03DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 6:03DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 6:20MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 6:20MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
10.6%
41
89.4%
Q2 - 6:36MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
9.9%
41
90.1%
Q2 - 6:38DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 6:43DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)34
8.8%
41
91.2%
Q2 - 6:45MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot34
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 7:03DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)34
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 7:22MILSimmons 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)34
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 7:35DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 7:35DALDampier Follow Up Dunk (3 PTS)32
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 7:38DALMISS Stackhouse Layup32
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 7:58MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
12.0%
36
88.0%
Q2 - 7:58MILSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 8:11MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 8:13MILMISS Gadzuric 21' Jump Shot30
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 8:22MILBucks Rebound30
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 8:22MILDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)30
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 8:38DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 8:38DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 230
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 8:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 8:46MILMISS Welsch Reverse Layup30
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 8:54DALStackhouse Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)30
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 9:14MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)30
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 9:30DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)27
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 9:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 9:48MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 10:11MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 10:12DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 227
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 10:12DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 10:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q2 - 10:14DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot27
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q2 - 10:26DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.2%
30
86.8%
Q2 - 10:28MILMISS Welsch 3PT Jump Shot27
13.6%
30
86.4%
Q2 - 10:51DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)27
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 10:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q2 - 11:00MILMISS Gadzuric Running Layup27
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q2 - 11:05DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 11:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q2 - 11:14MILMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot27
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q2 - 11:19MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 11:21DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot27
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 11:46MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)27
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL25
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILWelsch Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)25
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILWilliams 30' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALVan Horn 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)22
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 1:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q1 - 1:03MILMISS Bogut 9' Jump Shot22
17.1%
22
82.9%
Q1 - 1:20DALStackhouse 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)22
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 1:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 1:32MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot22
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 1:49DALVan Horn Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)22
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 1:56MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 2:01MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 2:03DALMISS Van Horn Layup20
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 2:21DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 220
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 2:23MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 2:34DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)19
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 2:41DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 2:42MILMISS Redd Reverse Layup19
21.3%
16
78.7%
Q1 - 2:53DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 3:07MILMagloire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
20.3%
16
79.7%
Q1 - 3:08MILMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 3:09MILMISS Simmons Layup16
16.7%
16
83.3%
Q1 - 3:21MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 3:23DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 3:44MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)16
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 3:54DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
15.3%
16
84.7%
Q1 - 3:54DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 214
15.5%
15
84.5%
Q1 - 4:04MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)14
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 4:24DALVan Horn Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)12
13.9%
15
86.1%
Q1 - 4:36DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 4:38DALMISS Terry 12' Jump Shot12
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 4:57MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)12
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 5:22DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 5:37MILSimmons Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)12
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 5:49MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 5:51DALMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot12
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 5:57DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 5:58MILMISS Redd Layup12
17.2%
11
82.8%
Q1 - 6:19DALTerry 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 6:41MILFord 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
19.0%
9
81.0%
Q1 - 7:02DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)10
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 7:19MILBogut Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
18.5%
7
81.5%
Q1 - 7:42DALHoward Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
19.8%
7
80.2%
Q1 - 7:59MILSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)10
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 8:21DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)7
18.3%
5
81.7%
Q1 - 8:37MILGriffin STEAL (1 STL)7
19.4%
3
80.6%
Q1 - 8:56DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
20.7%
3
79.3%
Q1 - 9:04MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)7
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 9:13DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 9:26MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)7
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 9:43DALGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 9:57MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)4
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 9:59MILBucks Rebound2
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 9:59MILDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 10:19MILFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 10:21DALMISS Nowitzki Reverse Layup2
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 10:36MILFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 10:39DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 10:53DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 10:55MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 11:01MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:03DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot2
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:20MILSimmons 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:37MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 11:39DALMISS Howard Layup0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 11:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.9%
0
85.1%
Q1 - 11:42DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Magloire: Tip to Terry0
14.9%
0
85.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.16 57.9%
DAL
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
23
43%
DAL
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIL
16
30
53%
DAL
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
DAL
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
Free Throws
MIL
19
24
79%
DAL
28
36
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2960%14.5 / 24
M. Williams1882%9.0 / 11
B. Simmons1359%6.5 / 11
J. Welsch975%4.5 / 6
A. Bogut542%2.5 / 6
J. Magloire550%2.5 / 5
T. Ford429%2.0 / 7
R. Gaines467%2.0 / 3
T. Kukoc375%1.5 / 2
J. Jackson3150%1.5 / 1
D. Gadzuric225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3576%17.5 / 23
J. Howard2153%10.5 / 20
J. Terry2063%10.0 / 16
D. Harris1267%6.0 / 9
K. Van Horn990%4.5 / 5
J. Stackhouse867%4.0 / 6
A. Griffin450%2.0 / 4
E. Dampier375%1.5 / 2
D. Mbenga250%1.0 / 2
D. Diop0-0.0 / 2
D. Armstrong0-0.0 / 1
J. Powell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
72
+9
-18
81
DAL
78
+15
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.16 57.9%
DAL
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.3
MIL 105.6
DAL 128.1 +22.5
Pace
91.6
88.2
MIL 98.2 +16.0
DAL 82.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.9
MIL 14.7 +2.9
DAL 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
49.5%
MIL 55.1%
DAL 55.8% +0.7%
TO %
15.2%
14.4%
MIL 18.5%
DAL 10.6% +7.9%
ORB %
27.4%
31.9%
MIL 15.2%
DAL 35.0% +19.8%
FTrt
32.2
36.4
MIL 34.8
DAL 46.8 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
50.0%
MIL 61.8% +11.8%
DAL 50.0%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
MIL 10.0%
DAL 10.1% +0.1%
BLK %
5.4%
9.4%
MIL 4.5%
DAL 11.3% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
53.3%
MIL 57.9%
DAL 60.6% +2.7%
Rim FG%
54.9%
55.4%
MIL 43.5%
DAL 61.5% +18.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
43.4%
MIL 53.3% +9.4%
DAL 43.9%
3P %
38.0%
37.4%
MIL 50.0%
DAL 60.0% +10.0%
FT %
73.8%
78.3%
MIL 79.2% +1.4%
DAL 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
32.5%
MIL 33.3%
DAL 33.8% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
50.0%
MIL 43.5% +9.8%
DAL 53.2%
3P Att. %
20.3%
17.5%
MIL 23.2% +10.2%
DAL 13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDAL
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points95114
Rebounds3142
Assists2120
Steals99
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)28 (1)
Field Goals34-6940-77
At-the-Rim FG10-2316-26
Midrange FG16-3018-41
2-Point FG26-5334-67
3-Point FG8-166-10
Free Throws19-2428-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
39.4
29
60%
3
1
1
0
5
2
1
2
11-12
92%
6-13
46%
2-5
40%
F · 6'6" 235 · 26
33.8
13
59%
4
4
1
0
2
2
2
2
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 165 · 23
30.4
4
29%
5
5
3
0
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 260 · 21
25.8
5
42%
8
2
2
1
3
5
0
8
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 28
24.2
5
50%
4
1
0
1
1
3
1
3
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 208 · 26
22.8
9
75%
1
2
1
0
3
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 198 · 23
20.6
18
82%
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
6-7
86%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 28
13.4
2
25%
2
1
1
0
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 37
10.7
3
75%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 25
8.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 30
6.7
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 245 · 38
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
58%
31
21
9
3
18
0
5
26
19-24
79%
26-53
49%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.