FinalWin Prob.pScore
646%90
100
1454%92
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.68888.1
UTA logo UTA
104.49089.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0UTAOkur Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)100
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)100
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)99
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0UTAMISS Palacio Driving Layup98
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:25.0UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 298
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)98
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Giricek Layup97
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)97
95.5%
92
4.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)96
94.9%
92
5.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0UTAKirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Palacio 4 AST)95
89.9%
92
10.1%
Q4 - 1:06UTAJAZZ Rebound95
95.9%
89
4.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)95
97.9%
89
2.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot95
96.6%
89
3.4%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot95
96.6%
89
3.4%
Q4 - 1:11MIAHeat Rebound95
97.6%
89
2.4%
Q4 - 1:12MIAKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)95
96.1%
89
3.9%
Q4 - 1:32UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)95
96.5%
89
3.5%
Q4 - 1:32UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
96.8%
88
3.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS)95
97.2%
87
2.8%
Q4 - 2:06MIAHeat Rebound93
95.6%
87
4.4%
Q4 - 2:07UTAMISS Giricek 21' Jump Shot93
94.7%
87
5.3%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)93
91.7%
87
8.3%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)92
91.0%
87
9.0%
Q4 - 2:31UTAPalacio Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)91
89.6%
87
10.4%
Q4 - 2:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
81.0%
87
19.0%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 290
78.0%
87
22.0%
Q4 - 2:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)90
84.4%
87
15.6%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
76.9%
87
23.1%
Q4 - 3:09UTAPalacio 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kirilenko 6 AST)90
81.7%
87
18.3%
Q4 - 3:26UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)90
85.2%
85
14.8%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 290
86.3%
85
13.7%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
88.5%
85
11.5%
Q4 - 3:44UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
82.7%
85
17.3%
Q4 - 3:44UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
83.6%
84
16.4%
Q4 - 3:56UTAJAZZ Rebound89
87.4%
83
12.6%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper89
88.7%
83
11.3%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
91.4%
83
8.6%
Q4 - 4:22UTAMISS Palacio Layup89
90.4%
83
9.6%
Q4 - 4:41MIAPayton Layup (11 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)89
87.8%
83
12.2%
Q4 - 5:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)87
80.0%
83
20.0%
Q4 - 5:04UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 2 of 287
79.3%
83
20.7%
Q4 - 5:04UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
75.2%
83
24.8%
Q4 - 5:20UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
79.9%
82
20.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot87
81.6%
82
18.4%
Q4 - 5:39UTAHarpring Layup (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)87
85.0%
82
15.0%
Q4 - 6:02MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
85.9%
80
14.1%
Q4 - 6:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
82.6%
80
17.4%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
78.9%
80
21.1%
Q4 - 6:38UTAPalacio Layup (12 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)85
82.8%
80
17.2%
Q4 - 6:43UTAGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
86.2%
78
13.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
89.8%
78
10.2%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Posey Layup85
87.4%
78
12.6%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot85
87.4%
78
12.6%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
89.9%
78
10.1%
Q4 - 7:02UTAMISS Giricek 3PT Jump Shot85
86.6%
78
13.4%
Q4 - 7:11UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
84.0%
78
16.0%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot85
85.3%
78
14.7%
Q4 - 7:28UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Palacio 3 AST)85
87.8%
78
12.2%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)85
92.4%
75
7.6%
Q4 - 8:13UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
88.6%
75
11.4%
Q4 - 8:13UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 283
89.0%
74
11.0%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)83
88.6%
74
11.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
82.5%
74
17.5%
Q4 - 8:45UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
78.3%
74
21.7%
Q4 - 8:45UTAMISS Ostertag Tip Shot80
81.3%
74
18.7%
Q4 - 8:47UTAMISS Kirilenko Driving Layup80
81.3%
74
18.7%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)80
76.7%
74
23.3%
Q4 - 9:31UTAPalacio 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)77
67.4%
74
32.6%
Q4 - 9:47UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)77
72.3%
72
27.7%
Q4 - 9:49MIAOstertag BLOCK (3 BLK)77
73.8%
72
26.2%
Q4 - 10:11UTAD. Williams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)77
75.5%
72
24.5%
Q4 - 10:30MIAPayton Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)77
79.3%
70
20.7%
Q4 - 10:34UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)75
75.6%
70
24.4%
Q4 - 10:50UTAPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
70.8%
70
29.2%
Q4 - 10:52UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
74.2%
70
25.8%
Q4 - 11:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
69.6%
70
30.4%
Q4 - 11:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
68.8%
70
31.2%
Q4 - 11:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
65.2%
70
34.8%
Q4 - 11:37UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
63.6%
70
36.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA73
59.9%
70
40.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound73
59.9%
70
40.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS D. Williams 22' Jump Shot73
63.6%
70
36.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)73
59.4%
70
40.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
54.3%
70
45.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0UTAMISS D. Williams 3PT Jump Shot71
52.8%
70
47.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)71
49.2%
70
50.8%
Q3 - 1:12UTAD. Williams Layup (4 PTS) (Collins 3 AST)69
44.3%
70
55.7%
Q3 - 1:30MIAPayton Driving Layup (7 PTS)69
49.0%
68
51.0%
Q3 - 1:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
44.2%
68
55.8%
Q3 - 1:38UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
42.7%
68
57.3%
Q3 - 1:59UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
39.3%
68
60.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
40.8%
68
59.2%
Q3 - 2:15UTAPalacio Driving Layup (8 PTS)67
44.0%
68
56.0%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
48.2%
66
51.8%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
44.0%
66
56.0%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
40.5%
66
59.5%
Q3 - 2:39UTAPalacio Layup (6 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)65
44.0%
66
56.0%
Q3 - 2:43MIACollins STEAL (2 STL)65
48.2%
64
51.8%
Q3 - 2:54UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
53.3%
64
46.7%
Q3 - 2:54UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
54.1%
63
45.9%
Q3 - 3:05UTAJAZZ Rebound65
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
58.7%
62
41.3%
Q3 - 3:21UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
61.9%
62
38.1%
Q3 - 3:21UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
62.8%
61
37.2%
Q3 - 3:35UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
65.8%
60
34.2%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Fitch Free Throw 2 of 265
66.3%
60
33.7%
Q3 - 3:36MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
68.9%
60
31.1%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)64
66.0%
60
34.0%
Q3 - 3:51UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Layup64
64.7%
60
35.3%
Q3 - 4:05MIAFitch Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)64
60.6%
60
39.4%
Q3 - 4:24UTAKirilenko 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)64
65.3%
60
34.7%
Q3 - 4:43MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)64
68.6%
58
31.4%
Q3 - 4:46UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
72.7%
58
27.3%
Q3 - 4:59UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
68.6%
58
31.4%
Q3 - 5:00UTAMISS Palacio 16' Jump Shot64
71.5%
58
28.5%
Q3 - 5:07UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
67.9%
58
32.1%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot64
69.1%
58
30.9%
Q3 - 5:24UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
71.7%
58
28.3%
Q3 - 5:24UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
72.5%
57
27.5%
Q3 - 5:38MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)64
74.7%
56
25.3%
Q3 - 5:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
68.3%
56
31.7%
Q3 - 6:01UTAMISS Kirilenko 22' Jump Shot61
66.1%
56
33.9%
Q3 - 6:13MIAWade Double Dribble Turnover (P5.T13)61
63.4%
56
36.6%
Q3 - 6:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
67.3%
56
32.7%
Q3 - 6:39UTAMISS Giricek 21' Jump Shot61
66.2%
56
33.8%
Q3 - 6:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)61
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 6:56MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)61
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot59
57.0%
56
43.0%
Q3 - 7:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
59.2%
56
40.8%
Q3 - 7:10UTAMISS McLeod 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
57.9%
56
42.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Fitch 4 AST)59
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 7:54UTAKirilenko 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)57
51.6%
56
48.4%
Q3 - 8:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
54.8%
54
45.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIAO'Neal Layup (7 PTS)57
54.8%
54
45.2%
Q3 - 8:11MIAOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)55
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 8:35UTAGiricek 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)55
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q3 - 8:55MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q3 - 9:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)52
47.2%
52
52.8%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Fitch 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
44.6%
52
55.4%
Q3 - 9:44UTAOkur 23' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)52
47.3%
52
52.7%
Q3 - 9:58UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)52
50.8%
50
49.2%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Fitch 18' Jump Shot52
52.0%
50
48.0%
Q3 - 10:12UTAKirilenko Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)52
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q3 - 10:29MIAPosey 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
50.5%
50
49.5%
Q3 - 10:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q3 - 10:48UTAMISS Giricek 12' Running Jump Shot50
46.1%
50
53.9%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
43.7%
50
56.3%
Q3 - 11:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
40.4%
50
59.6%
Q3 - 11:20UTAMISS McLeod 21' Jump Shot48
39.4%
50
60.6%
Q3 - 11:24UTAJAZZ Rebound48
37.0%
50
63.0%
Q3 - 11:25UTAMISS McLeod 19' Jump Shot48
39.4%
50
60.6%
Q3 - 11:40UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)48
37.0%
50
63.0%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot48
38.0%
50
62.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
40.4%
50
59.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAHarpring 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
40.4%
50
59.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)48
44.4%
48
55.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
46.6%
48
53.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Okur 23' Jump Shot48
46.0%
48
54.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)48
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 248
46.4%
48
53.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
44.1%
48
55.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
47.6%
47
52.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot48
48.4%
47
51.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (8 PTS)48
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
54.3%
45
45.7%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)48
54.3%
45
45.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot46
48.4%
45
51.6%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
49.6%
45
50.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot46
48.4%
45
51.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
49.6%
45
50.4%
Q2 - 1:25UTAMISS Palacio 19' Jump Shot46
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 1:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:50MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)46
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade Layup44
42.0%
45
58.0%
Q2 - 2:14UTAPalacio Driving Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)44
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q2 - 2:18MIAD. Williams STEAL (2 STL)44
47.1%
43
52.9%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
50.0%
43
50.0%
Q2 - 2:24UTAMISS Harpring 19' Jump Shot44
49.1%
43
50.9%
Q2 - 2:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 2:52UTAMISS Harpring 20' Jump Shot42
42.9%
43
57.1%
Q2 - 3:05MIAFitch Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
40.8%
43
59.2%
Q2 - 3:05MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 3:24UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
38.3%
43
61.7%
Q2 - 3:24UTAOstertag Layup (3 PTS)40
38.3%
43
61.7%
Q2 - 3:27UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot40
43.1%
41
56.9%
Q2 - 3:39MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)40
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)40
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot40
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 4:09UTAPalacio Driving Layup (2 PTS)40
43.9%
41
56.1%
Q2 - 4:15MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)40
46.7%
39
53.3%
Q2 - 4:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
43.9%
39
56.1%
Q2 - 4:30UTAMISS Ostertag Layup38
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 4:31UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 4:35UTAMISS Ostertag 5' Jump Shot38
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)38
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 5:14UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
44.0%
39
56.0%
Q2 - 5:40UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 5:43MIAOstertag BLOCK (2 BLK)38
47.5%
37
52.5%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
49.7%
37
50.3%
Q2 - 6:03UTAMISS Harpring 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
48.7%
37
51.3%
Q2 - 6:11UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
46.4%
37
53.6%
Q2 - 6:13MIAOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)38
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q2 - 6:32UTAHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)38
49.7%
37
50.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)38
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
55.2%
35
44.8%
Q2 - 6:45UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot38
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 6:52UTAJAZZ Rebound38
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 6:52UTAMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 7:15MIASimien REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIASimien 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot36
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 7:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q2 - 7:39UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 236
49.1%
35
50.9%
Q2 - 7:39UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 7:56MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)36
49.3%
34
50.7%
Q2 - 8:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
44.1%
34
55.9%
Q2 - 8:04UTAMISS Brown Driving Layup33
43.2%
34
56.8%
Q2 - 8:28MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)33
41.3%
34
58.7%
Q2 - 8:32UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)31
39.1%
34
60.9%
Q2 - 8:45MIASimien Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T7)31
36.4%
34
63.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 9:00UTAHarpring 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)30
36.7%
34
63.3%
Q2 - 9:13MIAPayton Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
38.9%
32
61.1%
Q2 - 9:23UTABrown Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)28
36.8%
32
63.2%
Q2 - 9:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 9:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
33.7%
32
66.3%
Q2 - 9:41MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
32.2%
32
67.8%
Q2 - 9:43UTAMISS Ostertag 17' Jump Shot26
31.4%
32
68.6%
Q2 - 9:59UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
30.6%
32
69.4%
Q2 - 10:22UTABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
32.3%
32
67.7%
Q2 - 10:22UTABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 10:24UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot26
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 10:46UTAD. Williams 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 11:07UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q2 - 11:09MIAKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)26
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 11:11MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot26
39.6%
28
60.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q2 - 11:23UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
40.5%
28
59.5%
Q2 - 11:45MIAOstertag STEAL (1 STL)26
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)26
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)26
46.1%
25
53.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 226
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
47.6%
25
52.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0UTAHarpring Layup (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)25
45.6%
25
54.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAFitch 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0UTABrown 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
45.6%
23
54.4%
Q1 - 1:06UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 1:08UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 223
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 1:08UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 1:23UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)23
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 1:25UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Layup23
52.1%
20
47.9%
Q1 - 1:30MIACollins STEAL (1 STL)23
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 1:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 1:36UTAMISS Okur Layup23
52.1%
20
47.9%
Q1 - 1:45UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)23
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
51.4%
20
48.6%
Q1 - 2:04UTABrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)23
53.0%
20
47.0%
Q1 - 2:14UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
50.8%
20
49.2%
Q1 - 2:16MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
53.0%
20
47.0%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Posey Layup23
51.4%
20
48.6%
Q1 - 2:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
53.0%
20
47.0%
Q1 - 2:19MIAOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)23
51.4%
20
48.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 223
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
52.3%
20
47.7%
Q1 - 2:37UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
50.6%
20
49.4%
Q1 - 2:37UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 2:54MIAMourning Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Fitch 3 AST)22
53.1%
18
46.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAHeat Rebound20
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 3:06UTAMISS D. Williams 18' Jump Shot20
49.7%
18
50.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIAGiricek STEAL (2 STL)20
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q1 - 3:29UTAKirilenko Dunk (4 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)20
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 3:34UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
52.5%
16
47.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS O'Neal Layup20
53.2%
16
46.8%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
55.0%
16
45.0%
Q1 - 3:50UTAMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
54.2%
16
45.8%
Q1 - 4:12UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
52.1%
16
47.9%
Q1 - 4:14MIAKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)20
52.9%
16
47.1%
Q1 - 4:18UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)20
54.8%
16
45.2%
Q1 - 4:27MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
52.1%
16
47.9%
Q1 - 4:30UTACollins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)17
48.2%
16
51.8%
Q1 - 4:40UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot17
46.3%
16
53.7%
Q1 - 4:57UTAOkur Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 4 AST)17
48.2%
16
51.8%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)17
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 5:28UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 5:44UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot15
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 6:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 6:03UTAMISS Giricek 22' Jump Shot15
52.8%
11
47.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 6:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 6:38UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot13
48.8%
11
51.2%
Q1 - 6:57MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)13
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 7:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot10
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 7:14UTACollins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 7:27MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 7:45UTAOkur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fitch 2 AST)7
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 8:17UTAGiricek Foul Turnover (P1.T2)5
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 8:25UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Haslem 4' Running Hook Shot5
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 8:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot5
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 8:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 8:53UTAMISS Giricek Free Throw 2 of 25
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 8:53UTAGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 8:55MIAGiricek STEAL (1 STL)5
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 9:10UTAKirilenko 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)5
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 9:25UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot5
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 9:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 9:48UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 15
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 9:54UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Fitch Driving Layup5
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 10:08UTAGiricek 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)5
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 10:35UTAOkur 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)5
47.1%
4
52.9%
Q1 - 10:54MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fitch 1 AST)5
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 10:59MIAFitch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 11:01UTAMISS Giricek 22' Jump Shot2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:17MIAFitch Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAFitch Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:21UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 11:49UTAMcLeod Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Collins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Kirilenko0
43.3%
0
56.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.6%
UTA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
29
52%
UTA
16
27
59%
Midrange
MIA
12
32
38%
UTA
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
UTA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
22
28
79%
UTA
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3160%15.5 / 26
J. Posey1771%8.5 / 12
S. O'Neal1240%6.0 / 15
G. Payton1161%5.5 / 9
G. Fitch1050%5.0 / 10
A. Walker956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
A. Mourning440%2.0 / 5
W. Simien250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko2574%12.5 / 17
M. Okur2071%10.0 / 14
M. Palacio1464%7.0 / 11
M. Harpring1260%6.0 / 10
D. Williams627%3.0 / 11
G. Giricek525%2.5 / 10
D. Brown467%2.0 / 3
J. Collins375%1.5 / 2
G. Ostertag325%1.5 / 6
K. McLeod225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+19
-16
91
UTA
76
+12
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.6%
UTA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
103.6
MIA 113.6 +9.2
UTA 104.4
Pace
92.2
88.3
MIA 88.1
UTA 89.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
17.4
MIA 16.3
UTA 16.0 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
46.7%
MIA 49.4% +1.4%
UTA 48.0%
TO %
15.0%
16.6%
MIA 14.9%
UTA 13.8% +1.1%
ORB %
26.8%
32.4%
MIA 40.0% +18.0%
UTA 22.0%
FTrt
36.3
39.7
MIA 35.4
UTA 40.5 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
64.6%
MIA 57.1%
UTA 73.5% +16.4%
STL %
6.9%
7.2%
MIA 12.5% +3.6%
UTA 8.9%
BLK %
8.5%
10.3%
MIA 9.8%
UTA 13.1% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
50.0%
MIA 52.6%
UTA 52.8% +0.2%
Rim FG%
64.2%
56.5%
MIA 51.7%
UTA 59.3% +7.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
37.5%
MIA 37.5%
UTA 44.1% +6.6%
3P %
34.5%
33.6%
MIA 44.4% +21.3%
UTA 23.1%
FT %
70.0%
71.9%
MIA 78.6% +1.9%
UTA 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
38.3%
MIA 36.7% +0.2%
UTA 36.5%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
46.8%
MIA 40.5% +5.4%
UTA 45.9%
3P Att. %
22.7%
14.9%
MIA 22.8% +5.2%
UTA 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points10094
Rebounds5036
Assists2025
Steals118
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (1)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)27 (3)
Field Goals35-7934-74
At-the-Rim FG15-2916-27
Midrange FG12-3215-34
2-Point FG27-6131-61
3-Point FG8-183-13
Free Throws22-2823-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
45.7
31
60%
8
8
4
1
5
0
2
6
11-12
92%
10-19
53%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
41.6
17
71%
9
0
2
0
1
3
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
5-8
63%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
33.8
12
40%
14
1
2
3
2
4
5
9
2-3
67%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
24.8
10
50%
1
4
0
0
3
2
0
1
6-7
86%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
24.6
4
40%
9
2
1
0
0
3
5
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
25.6
11
61%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
24.3
9
56%
3
4
1
0
3
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
12.4
4
40%
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
1
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
7.3
2
50%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
50
20
11
6
16
0
18
32
22-28
79%
27-61
44%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.