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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat46%90100
14Jazz54%9294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
45.7
35.7
31
61%
8
8
4
2
1
5
2
6
11-12
92%
10-19
7-15
53%
49%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.0
41.6
23.5
17
71%
9
0
2
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
5-8
63%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.9
33.8
25.1
12
39%
14
1
2
0
3
2
5
9
2-3
67%
5-14
6-11
36%
56%
0-0
-
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.4
24.8
12.8
10
50%
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.6
24.6
31.1
4
40%
9
2
1
1
0
0
5
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.5
25.6
18.5
11
61%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
24.3
28.5
9
57%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
12.4
17.7
4
42%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
7.3
7.6
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
7.7
0
1-1
42%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
6.9
0
1-1
44%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.6
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
44.1
39.8
25
76%
8
6
1
2
3
3
0
8
7-8
88%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
34.9
33.2
20
72%
14
2
0
1
2
2
2
12
9-11
82%
4-6
5-11
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.1
23.7
18.9
3
65%
1
3
2
0
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
23.0
25.6
5
25%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.2
13.2
17.5
2
25%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.6
26.4
17.5
6
27%
1
6
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
0-3
0%
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.9
26.0
20.1
14
64%
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
7-11
2-5
64%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.6
25.9
26.6
12
61%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 32.9
15.3
16.1
3
26%
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
7.5
15.1
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
3.4
0
1-1
44%
Robert Whaley
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 18.8
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.