Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, March 7, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Bobcats | 48% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Magic | 65% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Knicks | 59% | 103 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 28% | 87 | 77 | |
 | 6 | Bulls | 72% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Thunder | 46% | 96 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 66% | 105 | 108 |
 | 26 | Timberwolves | 34% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, March 6, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 35% | 91 | 87 |
 | 1 | Heat | 65% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 43% | 96 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 40% | 98 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Pistons | 66% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 72% | 99 | 96 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Thunder | 61% | 103 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 32% | 93 | 104 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 68% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Celtics | 67% | 93 | 89 |
 | 21 | Bucks | 33% | 87 | 83 |
Saturday, March 5, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 42% | 99 | 136 |
| 23 | Nets | 58% | 101 | 137 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 44% | 100 | 96 |
| 29 | Wizards | 56% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | Rockets | 72% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 31% | 95 | 102 |
| 18 | Jazz | 69% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 15% | 85 | 69 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 85% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Clippers | 45% | 101 | 100 |
Friday, March 4, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 40% | 98 | 103 |
| 22 | Nets | 60% | 101 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 41% | 94 | 89 |
| 3 | Magic | 59% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 27% | 97 | 100 |
| 13 | 76ers | 73% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 51% | 96 | 111 |
| 17 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 22% | 93 | 103 |
| 5 | Celtics | 78% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 17% | 96 | 119 |
| 15 | Knicks | 83% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 42% | 91 | 98 | |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 58% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 25% | 94 | 108 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 75% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 54% | 98 | 102 |
| 23 | Bucks | 46% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 44% | 95 | 95 |
| 4 | Spurs | 56% | 97 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 16% | 87 | 84 |
| 2 | Lakers | 84% | 100 | 92 |
Thursday, March 3, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 35% | 95 | 99 |
| 1 | Heat | 65% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 47% | 100 | 103 |
| 17 | Jazz | 53% | 101 | 101 |
Wednesday, March 2, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 59% | 95 | 80 |
| 18 | Hawks | 41% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 73% | 103 | 109 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 27% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 48% | 102 | 106 |
| 28 | Wizards | 52% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 33% | 95 | 103 |
| 4 | Celtics | 67% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 41% | 101 | 116 |
| 26 | Pistons | 59% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 45% | 97 | 88 | |
| 16 | Knicks | 55% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 28% | 95 | 89 |
| 9 | Thunder | 72% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 26% | 94 | 80 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 74% | 102 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 100 | 107 |
| 29 | Kings | 32% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 53% | 103 | 103 |
| 23 | Clippers | 47% | 102 | 106 |
Tuesday, March 1, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 40% | 100 | 100 |
| 19 | Pacers | 60% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 30% | 100 | 110 |
| 4 | Magic | 70% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 54% | 98 | 101 |
| 15 | 76ers | 46% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 64% | 99 | 90 | |
| 26 | Raptors | 36% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 57% | 97 | 93 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 43% | 94 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 33% | 89 | 90 |
| 20 | Bucks | 67% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 73% | 106 | 90 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 27% | 98 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 31% | 97 | 103 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 104 | 87 |
Monday, February 28, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 54% | 103 | 104 |
| 22 | Nets | 46% | 101 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 73% | 99 | 105 |
| 28 | Wizards | 27% | 91 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 32% | 96 | 90 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 68% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 63% | 95 | 107 |
| 19 | Jazz | 37% | 91 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 52% | 98 | 99 |
| 29 | Kings | 48% | 97 | 105 |
Sunday, February 27, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 49% | 102 | 110 |
| 18 | Pacers | 51% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 51% | 98 | 90 |
| 9 | Thunder | 49% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 71% | 103 | 95 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 29% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 51% | 106 | 123 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 49% | 105 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bobcats | 17% | 88 | 86 |
| 3 | Magic | 83% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 68% | 104 | 114 |
| 25 | Raptors | 32% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 36% | 96 | 91 |
| 15 | Hornets | 64% | 100 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 22% | 91 | 88 |
| 2 | Spurs | 78% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 25% | 97 | 91 |
| 1 | Heat | 75% | 106 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 29% | 90 | 90 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 98 | 83 |
Saturday, February 26, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 74% | 102 | 105 |
| 24 | Wizards | 26% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 52% | 96 | 116 |
| 25 | Pistons | 48% | 95 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 20% | 90 | 92 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 80% | 101 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 25% | 97 | 108 | |
| 14 | Rockets | 75% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 56% | 91 | 83 |
| 17 | Bucks | 44% | 90 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 76% | 97 | 99 |
| 28 | Clippers | 24% | 88 | 92 |
Friday, February 25, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 37% | 92 | 98 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 63% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 40% | 96 | 95 |
| 19 | Pacers | 60% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 33% | 92 | 94 |
| 15 | 76ers | 67% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 64% | 107 | 110 |
| 26 | Raptors | 36% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 74% | 110 | 109 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 26% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 12% | 88 | 113 |
| 1 | Heat | 88% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 36% | 97 | 88 |
| 4 | Magic | 64% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 59% | 99 | 95 | |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 41% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 15% | 90 | 96 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 85% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 51% | 100 | 95 |
| 20 | Warriors | 49% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 16% | 90 | 95 |
| 3 | Lakers | 84% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 27% | 99 | 106 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 107 | 107 |
Thursday, February 24, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 56% | 94 | 89 |
| 9 | Bulls | 44% | 92 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 57% | 99 | 75 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 43% | 97 | 89 |
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 65% | 106 | 124 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 35% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 31% | 94 | 101 |
| 16 | Pacers | 69% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 11% | 90 | 111 |
| 5 | Magic | 89% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 23% | 91 | 94 |
| 15 | 76ers | 77% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 75% | 102 | 113 |
| 28 | Raptors | 25% | 93 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 34% | 95 | 108 |
| 10 | Knicks | 66% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 54% | 101 | 104 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 46% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 22% | 88 | 87 |
| 13 | Hornets | 78% | 98 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 26% | 94 | 105 |
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 22% | 91 | 99 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 78% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 30% | 96 | 97 |
| 8 | Suns | 70% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 43% | 94 | 106 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 97 | 101 |
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 39% | 96 | 101 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 61% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 59% | 99 | 113 |
| 27 | Wizards | 41% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 58% | 102 | 108 |
| 24 | Pistons | 42% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 8% | 87 | 97 |
| 1 | Heat | 92% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 29% | 93 | 88 |
| 19 | Bucks | 71% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 32% | 96 | 88 |
| 12 | Thunder | 68% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 33% | 98 | 107 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 67% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 65% | 100 | 115 |
| 20 | Warriors | 35% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 32% | 94 | 80 |
| 2 | Lakers | 68% | 100 | 104 |