FinalWin Prob.pScore
343%96
99
557%98
83
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
112.58880.9
SAS logo SAS
96.58694.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL99
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0LALBrown 21' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASNeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0LALMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14SASNovak 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Neal 4 AST)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23LALBrown Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30SASMISS Splitter 5' Jump Shot97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39SASNeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41LALMISS Walton 21' Jump Shot97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09LALBrown 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23SASMISS Blair 2' Layup95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)95
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14SASSPURS Rebound93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41LALOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55SASNeal Foul Turnover (P1.T10)93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)93
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25SASMISS Splitter 8' Jump Shot91
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36LALOdom 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)91
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:58SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:18LALOdom 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)89
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36SASMISS Blair 3' Putback Layup87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:38SASBlair REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39SASMISS Novak 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57SASSPURS Rebound87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57LALMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:00LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:02LALMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:13LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:14SASMISS Blair 3' Layup87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23SASBlair REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)87
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 6:25LALMISS Blake 20' Jump Shot87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:42SASNeal 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)87
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:57SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58LALMISS Barnes 4' Jump Shot87
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)87
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 7:10LALSplitter STEAL (1 STL)87
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33SASNovak 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)87
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 7:41SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 7:43LALMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot87
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 8:05SASBlair REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)87
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 8:05SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)87
99.9%
58
0.1%
Q4 - 8:07SASMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot87
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:29LALGasol 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)87
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 8:52SASSplitter 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)85
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 9:11SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:12LALMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:25SASBlair Inbound Turnover (P1.T9)85
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:26LALBarnes 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Odom 6 AST)85
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:41LALLakers Rebound83
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:42SASMISS Novak 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:46SASNeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:47SASMISS Neal 12' Jump Shot83
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:54SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 9:55LALMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 10:17SASHill 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 10:35SASNeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Novak 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 10:49SASSPURS Rebound83
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 10:50LALMISS Blake 16' Jump Shot83
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 11:03LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 11:04SASMISS Splitter 3' Jump Shot83
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 11:27LALOdom 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)83
99.8%
52
0.2%
Q4 - 11:43LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
99.8%
52
0.2%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.8%
52
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL81
99.8%
52
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound81
99.8%
52
0.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0LALHill BLOCK (1 BLK)81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASMISS Neal 8' Running Jump Shot81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALMISS Barnes 3' Layup81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASHill 10' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
99.7%
52
0.3%
Q3 - 1:11LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 1:11LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 1:11LALLakers Rebound79
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 1:11SASMISS Neal 20' Jump Shot79
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 1:20SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 1:21LALMISS Gasol 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 1:40LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 1:41SASMISS Novak 19' Jump Shot79
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 2:05SASNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
99.4%
50
0.6%
Q3 - 2:06LALMISS Bryant 20' Pullup Jump Shot79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 2:19LALLakers Rebound79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 2:20SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 2:40LALBryant 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)79
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 3:00SASNovak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)77
99.3%
50
0.7%
Q3 - 3:06LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)77
99.4%
47
0.6%
Q3 - 3:09SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)74
99.2%
47
0.8%
Q3 - 3:25SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
99.0%
47
1.0%
Q3 - 3:26LALMISS Bryant 14' Turnaround Jump Shot74
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 3:36LALFisher REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
99.2%
47
0.8%
Q3 - 3:37LALMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot74
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 4:00SASHill 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
99.2%
47
0.8%
Q3 - 4:08LALLakers Turnover: Backcourt (T#5)74
99.2%
45
0.8%
Q3 - 4:28SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)74
99.3%
45
0.7%
Q3 - 4:49LALBrown 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 5:04LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)72
99.3%
42
0.7%
Q3 - 5:06SASMISS Neal 11' Jump Bank Shot72
99.2%
42
0.8%
Q3 - 5:18LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)72
99.1%
42
0.9%
Q3 - 5:46LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
99.3%
42
0.7%
Q3 - 5:47SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot72
99.3%
42
0.7%
Q3 - 6:05SASSPURS Rebound72
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 6:06LALMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot72
99.0%
42
1.0%
Q3 - 6:27LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)72
99.1%
42
0.9%
Q3 - 6:28SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot72
99.1%
42
0.9%
Q3 - 6:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
99.0%
42
1.0%
Q3 - 6:41LALMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
99.0%
42
1.0%
Q3 - 6:57LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)72
99.1%
42
0.9%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Ginobili 9' Floating Jump Shot72
99.1%
42
0.9%
Q3 - 7:14SASSPURS Rebound72
98.7%
42
1.3%
Q3 - 7:14LALMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 7:32LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)72
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 7:33SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot72
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 7:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
98.7%
42
1.3%
Q3 - 7:42LALJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)72
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 8:02SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)72
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 8:18LALWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)72
98.6%
42
1.4%
Q3 - 8:39LALBynum REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)69
98.1%
42
1.9%
Q3 - 8:40LALMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
97.9%
42
2.1%
Q3 - 9:02SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
97.8%
42
2.2%
Q3 - 9:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
98.1%
40
1.9%
Q3 - 9:20SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 269
98.4%
40
1.6%
Q3 - 9:20SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
98.2%
40
1.8%
Q3 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
98.4%
39
1.6%
Q3 - 9:28SASMISS Parker 20' Pullup Jump Shot69
98.6%
39
1.4%
Q3 - 9:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)69
98.4%
39
1.6%
Q3 - 9:36LALMISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot69
98.5%
39
1.5%
Q3 - 10:04SASGinobili 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)69
98.4%
39
1.6%
Q3 - 10:10LALParker STEAL (2 STL)69
98.6%
37
1.4%
Q3 - 10:19LALBynum REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)69
98.8%
37
1.2%
Q3 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot69
98.7%
37
1.3%
Q3 - 10:46LALBryant 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)69
98.6%
37
1.4%
Q3 - 10:52LALBynum REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)67
98.4%
37
1.6%
Q3 - 10:54LALMISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot67
98.2%
37
1.8%
Q3 - 11:14LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
98.2%
37
1.8%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 267
98.1%
37
1.9%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 267
98.0%
37
2.0%
Q3 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
97.9%
37
2.1%
Q3 - 11:22LALMISS Fisher 6' Floating Jump Shot67
98.0%
37
2.0%
Q3 - 11:28LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
98.2%
37
1.8%
Q3 - 11:29SASMISS Ginobili 5' Jump Shot67
98.1%
37
1.9%
Q3 - 11:43LALBynum 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)67
97.9%
37
2.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL65
97.6%
37
2.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound65
97.6%
37
2.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0LALMISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
96.9%
37
3.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0LALLakers Rebound65
97.2%
37
2.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 265
97.1%
37
2.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
96.8%
37
3.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0LALFisher 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)65
97.3%
36
2.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
96.4%
36
3.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
96.2%
36
3.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
96.0%
36
4.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0LALMISS Bryant 4' Running Bank Shot62
96.1%
36
3.9%
Q2 - 1:12SASDuncan 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)62
96.1%
36
3.9%
Q2 - 1:25LALOdom 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)62
96.6%
34
3.4%
Q2 - 1:31LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
96.1%
34
3.9%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Parker 2' Reverse Layup60
96.0%
34
4.0%
Q2 - 1:38SASNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
95.7%
34
4.3%
Q2 - 1:40LALMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
95.8%
34
4.2%
Q2 - 1:45SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)60
96.1%
34
3.9%
Q2 - 1:58SASSPURS Rebound60
95.7%
34
4.3%
Q2 - 1:59LALMISS Odom 20' Jump Shot60
95.8%
34
4.2%
Q2 - 2:14LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
95.8%
34
4.2%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot60
95.6%
34
4.4%
Q2 - 2:28SASSPURS Rebound60
95.2%
34
4.8%
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Bonner 6' Running Jump Shot60
95.6%
34
4.4%
Q2 - 2:45LALBryant 15' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Odom 5 AST)60
95.2%
34
4.8%
Q2 - 2:54SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical58
94.7%
34
5.3%
Q2 - 3:06SASParker 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
94.3%
34
5.7%
Q2 - 3:17LALBryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
94.8%
32
5.2%
Q2 - 3:30LALBryant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
93.6%
32
6.4%
Q2 - 3:32LALMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot55
93.0%
32
7.0%
Q2 - 3:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)55
93.6%
32
6.4%
Q2 - 3:49SASSPURS Rebound55
94.8%
29
5.2%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
95.3%
29
4.7%
Q2 - 4:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
94.4%
29
5.6%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot55
94.8%
29
5.2%
Q2 - 4:23LALBryant 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (12 PTS)55
94.4%
29
5.6%
Q2 - 4:32LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
93.8%
29
6.2%
Q2 - 4:33SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot53
93.5%
29
6.5%
Q2 - 4:46SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
93.0%
29
7.0%
Q2 - 4:48LALMISS Bryant 13' Jump Shot53
93.2%
29
6.8%
Q2 - 4:50LALBryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
93.8%
29
6.2%
Q2 - 4:52LALMISS Fisher 16' Jump Shot53
93.2%
29
6.8%
Q2 - 5:09SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)53
93.3%
29
6.7%
Q2 - 5:22LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)53
92.6%
29
7.4%
Q2 - 5:37SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)51
91.7%
29
8.3%
Q2 - 5:39SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
93.3%
26
6.7%
Q2 - 5:41SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)51
93.3%
26
6.7%
Q2 - 5:41SASMISS Blair 3' Tip Shot51
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Hill 9' Running Bank Shot51
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q2 - 5:49SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
93.3%
26
6.7%
Q2 - 5:51SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q2 - 5:56SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)51
93.3%
26
6.7%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot51
93.8%
26
6.2%
Q2 - 6:11LALGasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)51
92.5%
26
7.5%
Q2 - 6:24SASMcDyess 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)51
93.4%
26
6.6%
Q2 - 6:37LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)51
94.0%
24
6.0%
Q2 - 6:46LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
92.7%
24
7.3%
Q2 - 6:47LALMISS Odom Free Throw 1 of 148
91.9%
24
8.1%
Q2 - 6:52LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
91.0%
24
9.0%
Q2 - 6:53SASMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot46
90.7%
24
9.3%
Q2 - 7:01SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
89.3%
24
10.7%
Q2 - 7:02LALMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot46
89.6%
24
10.4%
Q2 - 7:21SASHill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)46
90.4%
24
9.6%
Q2 - 7:36LALBrown 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
91.3%
22
8.7%
Q2 - 8:02SASGinobili 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
89.6%
22
10.4%
Q2 - 8:20LALBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)44
90.5%
20
9.5%
Q2 - 8:37SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)41
88.6%
20
11.4%
Q2 - 8:46LALGasol 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)41
87.4%
20
12.6%
Q2 - 8:58LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
86.2%
20
13.8%
Q2 - 9:00SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
85.8%
20
14.2%
Q2 - 9:08SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
84.0%
20
16.0%
Q2 - 9:10LALMISS Odom 18' Jump Shot39
84.4%
20
15.6%
Q2 - 9:41SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)39
85.4%
20
14.6%
Q2 - 9:51SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
87.8%
17
12.2%
Q2 - 9:53LALMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
88.1%
17
11.9%
Q2 - 9:55LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
88.9%
17
11.1%
Q2 - 9:57LALMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot39
88.1%
17
11.9%
Q2 - 10:14LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
88.4%
17
11.6%
Q2 - 10:15SASMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot39
88.0%
17
12.0%
Q2 - 10:29LALOdom 4' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)39
87.2%
17
12.8%
Q2 - 10:49SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)37
86.2%
17
13.8%
Q2 - 11:04LALGasol 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)37
86.7%
15
13.3%
Q2 - 11:30SASNeal 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
84.3%
15
15.7%
Q2 - 11:44SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
85.5%
13
14.5%
Q2 - 11:45LALMISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot34
85.9%
13
14.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL34
86.8%
13
13.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
86.8%
13
13.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALMISS Odom 15' Step Back Jump Shot34
85.9%
13
14.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)34
85.8%
13
14.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
84.8%
13
15.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASMISS McDyess 1' Layup34
85.5%
13
14.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
84.8%
13
15.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0LALMISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
85.1%
13
14.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
85.8%
13
14.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot34
85.5%
13
14.5%
Q1 - 1:13LALGasol 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)34
84.0%
13
16.0%
Q1 - 1:32LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
82.4%
13
17.6%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot32
82.1%
13
17.9%
Q1 - 1:53LALBrown 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)32
81.4%
13
18.6%
Q1 - 1:59LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
79.5%
13
20.5%
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup30
79.1%
13
20.9%
Q1 - 2:18LALBrown 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)30
77.7%
13
22.3%
Q1 - 2:35LALBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
75.9%
13
24.1%
Q1 - 2:36SASMISS Parker 1' Layup28
75.4%
13
24.6%
Q1 - 2:52LALBryant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)28
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 3:05LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)26
72.0%
13
28.0%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Bonner 8' Running Jump Shot26
71.4%
13
28.6%
Q1 - 3:32LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
70.1%
13
29.9%
Q1 - 3:32LALBryant 3' Layup (6 PTS)26
70.1%
13
29.9%
Q1 - 3:35LALMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
66.8%
13
33.2%
Q1 - 3:37LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)24
68.2%
13
31.8%
Q1 - 3:38LALMISS Bryant 21' Jump Shot24
66.8%
13
33.2%
Q1 - 3:47LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
68.2%
13
31.8%
Q1 - 3:48SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
67.6%
13
32.4%
Q1 - 4:10LALFisher 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
65.2%
13
34.8%
Q1 - 4:24SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)22
63.4%
13
36.6%
Q1 - 4:41LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)22
67.3%
10
32.7%
Q1 - 4:52LALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
63.4%
10
36.6%
Q1 - 4:54SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot19
62.7%
10
37.3%
Q1 - 5:11LALOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
60.2%
10
39.8%
Q1 - 5:21SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)16
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 5:21SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 5:21SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot16
55.6%
10
44.4%
Q1 - 5:48LALBryant 10' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)16
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 5:59LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 6:01SASMISS Ginobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper14
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 6:17LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)14
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 6:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 6:30SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 6:31SASMISS Blair 3' Layup12
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 6:53LALGasol 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)12
49.4%
8
50.6%
Q1 - 7:04LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 7:06SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
46.5%
8
53.5%
Q1 - 7:09SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 7:11SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Layup10
46.5%
8
53.5%
Q1 - 7:24LALWorld Peace 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 7:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)8
43.2%
8
56.8%
Q1 - 7:43SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot8
42.5%
8
57.5%
Q1 - 7:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 7:51LALMISS Bryant 10' Fadeaway Jumper8
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 7:58LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
43.2%
8
56.8%
Q1 - 8:00LALMISS World Peace 20' Jump Shot8
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 8:07SASJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 8:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 8:13LALMISS Bryant 10' Jump Shot8
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 8:19LALLakers Rebound8
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 8:20LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot8
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 8:35SASParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)8
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 8:48SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 8:49LALMISS Gasol 4' Jump Shot8
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 9:04SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS)8
47.0%
6
53.0%
Q1 - 9:10LALParker STEAL (1 STL)8
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 9:26LALLakers Rebound8
50.8%
4
49.2%
Q1 - 9:29SASMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot8
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 9:54LALFisher 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)8
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 10:21SASParker 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 10:36LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 10:46LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:47LALLakers Rebound2
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:47LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 22
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:47LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 22
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:53LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:55SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Hook Shot2
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 11:20LALBynum Dunk (2 PTS)2
41.2%
2
58.8%
Q1 - 11:23LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:25LALMISS Fisher 18' Jump Shot0
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 11:43SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bynum: Tip to Parker0
41.2%
0
58.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
10
16
63%
SAS
9
24
38%
Midrange
LAL
24
51
47%
SAS
15
41
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
SAS
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
LAL
7
10
70%
SAS
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2652%13.0 / 25
P. Gasol2175%10.5 / 14
L. Odom1558%7.5 / 13
S. Brown1260%6.0 / 10
D. Fisher857%4.0 / 7
M. World Peace844%4.0 / 9
M. Barnes542%2.5 / 6
A. Bynum4100%2.0 / 2
S. Blake0-0.0 / 5
L. Walton0-0.0 / 1
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Neal1563%7.5 / 12
T. Parker1447%7.0 / 15
G. Hill1454%7.0 / 13
S. Novak964%4.5 / 7
M. Ginobili630%3.0 / 10
D. Blair633%3.0 / 9
J. Anderson5125%2.5 / 2
T. Splitter440%2.0 / 5
A. McDyess450%2.0 / 4
M. Bonner330%1.5 / 5
T. Duncan214%1.0 / 7
R. Jefferson113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
82
+18
-6
100
SAS
76
+18
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
111.5
LAL 112.5
SAS 96.5 +16.0
Pace
90.7
92.7
LAL 80.9
SAS 94.2 +13.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
LAL 17.8
SAS 15.3 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
52.7%
LAL 51.1% +11.0%
SAS 40.1%
TO %
13.8%
13.8%
LAL 7.8% +2.6%
SAS 10.4%
ORB %
29.2%
25.0%
LAL 34.1% +2.7%
SAS 31.4%
FTrt
29.3
29.9
LAL 11.1
SAS 22.1 +11.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.3%
LAL 61.9% +16.7%
SAS 45.2%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
LAL 6.8% +3.3%
SAS 3.5%
BLK %
8.1%
6.7%
LAL 7.7% +4.7%
SAS 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
55.3%
LAL 50.0% +5.9%
SAS 44.1%
Rim FG%
60.7%
60.3%
LAL 62.5% +25.0%
SAS 37.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
41.6%
LAL 47.1% +10.5%
SAS 36.6%
3P %
35.2%
39.7%
LAL 34.8% +1.5%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
77.9%
76.7%
LAL 70.0%
SAS 73.7% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
34.3%
LAL 17.8%
SAS 27.9% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
39.7%
LAL 56.7%
SAS 47.7% +9.0%
3P Att. %
22.0%
26.1%
LAL 25.6% +1.1%
SAS 24.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsLALSAS
Possessions8886
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points9983
Rebounds4943
Assists2614
Steals63
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (5)27 (6)
Field Goals42-9031-86
At-the-Rim FG10-169-24
Midrange FG24-5115-41
2-Point FG34-6724-65
3-Point FG8-237-21
Free Throws7-1014-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 250 · 31
35.8
21
75%
6
5
1
1
2
3
1
5
6-6
100%
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 212 · 33
31.3
26
52%
7
5
1
0
1
2
3
4
1-1
100%
11-22
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 210 · 37
26.9
8
57%
3
3
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 285 · 23
26.6
4
100%
17
0
0
3
0
5
6
11
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 31
21.1
8
44%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 230 · 31
29.2
15
58%
4
6
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-1
0%
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 215 · 25
26.9
12
60%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 172 · 31
21.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 226 · 31
14.0
5
42%
6
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
3.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 275 · 23
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 36
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#50 · C · 6'10" 235 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'9" 215 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
50%
49
26
6
5
6
0
14
35
7-10
70%
34-67
51%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.