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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 4, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors40%98103
22Nets60%101116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
38.7
27.8
23
57%
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
3-5
60%
7-15
6-11
47%
50%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
34.0
33.6
6
25%
5
12
2
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
0-3
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
33.9
32.7
30
69%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
12-19
7-14
63%
50%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
29.8
31.2
8
68%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
59%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
20.3
24.2
2
12%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-1
0%
1-6
3-5
17%
49%
0-2
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
21.7
17.5
7
51%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
21.6
25.7
12
100%
8
0
3
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-6
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.3
20.1
20.4
8
40%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
14.0
13.7
3
85%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.8
5.9
7.5
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.2
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
3.1
0
0-1
52%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.2
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.0
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
37.1
36.7
25
68%
2
1
0
1
3
3
0
2
3-3
100%
11-17
9-17
65%
52%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
36.3
28.9
18
59%
17
1
0
1
4
2
4
13
2-3
67%
8-13
5-9
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
35.0
35.0
16
53%
3
11
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
52%
2-6
33%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
27.0
20.4
15
91%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
5-5
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
12.1
33.8
6
60%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
29.9
25.9
12
56%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
27.4
19.5
8
46%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
4-6
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
14.0
10.5
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.1
10.4
7.8
3
45%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-3
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
7.7
3.6
7
102%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-3
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
3.2
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
5.5
0
1-2
46%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.