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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bobcats17%8886
3Magic83%101100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
38.9
33.0
35
66%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
6-10
60%
10-17
5-11
59%
44%
3-5
60%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.3
35.1
30.2
11
51%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
1-5
20%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
32.4
28.8
4
15%
4
2
4
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-11
4-9
18%
45%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
29.0
30.2
11
50%
9
3
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.0
24.1
34.0
7
51%
6
0
1
1
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.5
17.9
16.3
8
45%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
16.7
12.6
2
20%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
16.1
17.3
2
33%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.4
14.2
20.0
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
9.9
2.7
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
5.8
15.1
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
13.3
1
2-5
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.1
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.5
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.9
37.5
34.8
9
70%
3
6
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
35.5
31.9
11
46%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
1-6
17%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
33.0
18.1
17
74%
4
1
0
0
3
2
0
4
7-8
88%
5-8
3-6
63%
53%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
33.0
40.0
20
56%
10
2
2
1
2
1
0
10
6-13
46%
7-12
9-15
58%
61%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.0
31.5
29.2
13
57%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
1-4
25%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
27.0
15.0
6
33%
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
2-8
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
18.0
30.2
6
80%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
2-5
-
50%
1-2
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.1
16.5
18.6
16
96%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
4-6
67%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
8.0
14.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.9
3.4
0
0-0
45%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.7
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.5
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.