| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 102.2 | 93 | 92.5 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
79
+8
-14
87
SAS
86
+7
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.08 54.0%
SAS
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | SAS |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 95 0% | 125 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 95 0% | 125 100% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 95 0% | 125 100% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | SAS | Neal 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 95 0% | 125 100% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 95 0% | 123 100% |
| Q4 - 0:45.0 | MIA | MISS House 17' Jump Shot | 95 0% | 123 100% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | SAS | Novak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 4 AST) | 95 0% | 123 100% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | MIA | Jones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 95 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | SAS | Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neal 3 AST) | 93 0.1% | 120 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 93 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:47 | SAS | MISS Jeffers 14' Jump Shot | 93 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:06 | MIA | Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST) | 93 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | SAS | Splitter 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Neal 2 AST) | 91 0.1% | 117 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | MIA | Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST) | 91 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 89 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | SAS | MISS Novak 16' Jump Shot | 89 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:13 | MIA | Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST) | 89 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | SAS | Jeffers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 87 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:47 | SAS | Jeffers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 87 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | MIA | MISS Miller 13' Jump Shot | 87 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:57 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 87 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | SAS | MISS Splitter 6' Jump Shot | 87 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | MIA | Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (House 2 AST) | 87 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:34 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:36 | SAS | MISS Novak 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:48 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:50 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | MIA | MISS House 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:02 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | SAS | MISS Jeffers 2' Driving Layup | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:16 | SAS | Jeffers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | MIA | MISS Howard 9' Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:43 | SAS | Neal 7' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:54 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 84 0.1% | 113 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:56 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 113 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | SAS | Jeffers 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 113 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | MIA | Howard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 82 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | SAS | MISS Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 82 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | SAS | MISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 82 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | MIA | House Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14) | 82 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | SAS | Hill 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jeffers 1 AST) | 82 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 82 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | SAS | Bonner 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hill 4 AST) | 79 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:29 | MIA | Jefferson STEAL (1 STL) | 79 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:47 | SAS | Hill 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST) | 79 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 9:02 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 79 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 9:02 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 78 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 77 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | SAS | MISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 | 77 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 77 0.2% | 102 99.8% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 77 0.3% | 101 99.7% |
| Q4 - 10:00 | SAS | Ginobili 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS) | 74 0.2% | 101 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | MIA | James 2' Running Dunk (23 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 74 0.3% | 99 99.7% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | SAS | Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Neal 1 AST) | 72 0.2% | 99 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:53 | MIA | Bonner STEAL (1 STL) | 72 0.3% | 96 99.7% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13) | 72 0.6% | 96 99.4% |
| Q4 - 11:09 | SAS | MISS Neal 16' Jump Shot | 72 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | SAS | Splitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 72 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | MIA | MISS House 19' Jump Shot | 72 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
| Q4 - 11:31 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 72 0.6% | 96 99.4% |
| Q4 - 11:31 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 5' Driving Bank Shot | 72 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
| Q4 - 11:47 | SAS | Splitter 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST) | 72 0.6% | 96 99.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 72 0.7% | 94 99.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 72 0.7% | 94 99.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 16' Jump Bank Shot | 72 0.8% | 94 99.2% |
| Q3 - 0:08.0 | MIA | Splitter STEAL (1 STL) | 72 0.9% | 94 99.1% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | SAS | Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST) | 72 1.0% | 94 99.0% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 72 1.6% | 91 98.4% |
| Q3 - 0:45.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 1.6% | 91 98.4% |
| Q3 - 0:45.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 72 1.9% | 91 98.1% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | SAS | Neal 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 72 1.9% | 91 98.1% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | SAS | Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 72 2.7% | 89 97.3% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS James 2' Finger Roll Layup | 72 2.9% | 89 97.1% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12) | 72 3.2% | 89 96.8% |
| Q3 - 1:14 | SAS | MISS Blair 7' Jump Shot | 72 3.1% | 89 96.9% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 72 2.7% | 89 97.3% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 71 2.6% | 89 97.4% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 70 2.2% | 89 97.8% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 70 1.9% | 89 98.1% |
| Q3 - 1:38 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 70 2.2% | 89 97.8% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | SAS | MISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot | 70 2.1% | 89 97.9% |
| Q3 - 1:53 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 70 1.8% | 89 98.2% |
| Q3 - 1:53 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 69 1.8% | 89 98.2% |
| Q3 - 2:03 | SAS | Duncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7) | 69 2.2% | 89 97.8% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | SAS | Parker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 69 1.8% | 89 98.2% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | SAS | Parker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 69 1.9% | 88 98.1% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 69 2.6% | 87 97.4% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | MIA | MISS Wade 10' Jump Shot | 69 2.7% | 87 97.3% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 69 3.1% | 87 96.9% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | MIA | Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 69 4.4% | 84 95.6% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 67 4.2% | 84 95.8% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 67 4.4% | 83 95.6% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | MIA | Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 67 4.9% | 82 95.1% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 65 4.2% | 82 95.8% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | SAS | MISS Hill 9' Jump Shot | 65 4.0% | 82 96.0% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 65 3.5% | 82 96.5% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 64 3.4% | 82 96.6% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 64 3.5% | 82 96.5% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | SAS | Parker Foul Turnover (P4.T6) | 63 2.9% | 82 97.1% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 63 2.7% | 82 97.3% |
| Q3 - 4:27 | SAS | Duncan Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 60 1.9% | 82 98.1% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | MIA | James 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST) | 60 1.6% | 82 98.4% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | SAS | Parker 1' Layup (8 PTS) | 58 1.4% | 82 98.6% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | MIA | Parker STEAL (1 STL) | 58 1.6% | 80 98.4% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | SAS | Jefferson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST) | 58 2.2% | 80 97.8% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 58 2.5% | 78 97.5% |
| Q3 - 5:49 | SAS | Parker 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 58 3.0% | 78 97.0% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 3.5% | 76 96.5% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | MIA | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 58 4.2% | 76 95.8% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11) | 58 4.7% | 76 95.3% |
| Q3 - 6:10 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 4.5% | 76 95.5% |
| Q3 - 6:18 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12) | 58 4.0% | 76 96.0% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | MIA | MISS Wade 10' Jump Shot | 58 4.2% | 76 95.8% |
| Q3 - 6:32 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 58 4.7% | 76 95.3% |
| Q3 - 6:32 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 58 4.8% | 75 95.2% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 58 5.4% | 74 94.6% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 5.7% | 74 94.3% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | SAS | Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4) | 58 6.4% | 74 93.6% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 58 6.0% | 74 94.0% |
| Q3 - 7:07 | MIA | MISS Wade 4' Jump Bank Shot | 58 6.3% | 74 93.7% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | SAS | Ginobili 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Blair 3 AST) | 58 6.9% | 74 93.1% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | MIA | James 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 58 7.9% | 72 92.1% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 56 6.9% | 72 93.1% |
| Q3 - 7:53 | SAS | MISS Parker 11' Jump Shot | 56 6.6% | 72 93.4% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | MIA | Wade 3' Layup (15 PTS) | 56 6.3% | 72 93.7% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 54 5.5% | 72 94.5% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 1' Layup | 54 5.2% | 72 94.8% |
| Q3 - 8:36 | MIA | Ginobili STEAL (2 STL) | 54 4.7% | 72 95.3% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | SAS | Jefferson 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST) | 54 5.5% | 72 94.5% |
| Q3 - 9:12 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 54 6.6% | 70 93.4% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | SAS | Blair Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 52 5.8% | 70 94.2% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | SAS | Blair Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 52 6.0% | 69 94.0% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 52 6.6% | 68 93.4% |
| Q3 - 9:35 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 6.9% | 68 93.1% |
| Q3 - 9:58 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 52 7.6% | 68 92.4% |
| Q3 - 9:58 | SAS | Duncan 2' Putback Layup (11 PTS) | 52 7.6% | 68 92.4% |
| Q3 - 10:00 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 9.5% | 66 90.5% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 52 9.2% | 66 90.8% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | SAS | MISS Duncan 1' Dunk | 52 10.1% | 66 89.9% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 52 9.2% | 66 90.8% |
| Q3 - 10:32 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 50 8.1% | 66 91.9% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | SAS | MISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 1 | 50 7.9% | 66 92.1% |
| Q3 - 10:39 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 50 9.2% | 64 90.8% |
| Q3 - 10:40 | MIA | MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 9.5% | 64 90.5% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 10.5% | 64 89.5% |
| Q3 - 10:48 | SAS | MISS Duncan 2' Running Layup | 50 10.1% | 64 89.9% |
| Q3 - 11:03 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 50 9.7% | 64 90.3% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 50 10.1% | 64 89.9% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | SAS | Ginobili 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Blair 2 AST) | 50 11.1% | 64 88.9% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | Bosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7) | 50 12.4% | 62 87.6% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 50 14.1% | 62 85.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 50 14.1% | 62 85.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 10' Running Bank Shot | 50 13.5% | 62 86.5% |
| Q2 - 0:09.0 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 50 13.4% | 62 86.6% |
| Q2 - 0:10.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 50 13.6% | 62 86.4% |
| Q2 - 0:10.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 50 14.7% | 62 85.3% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | SAS | Neal 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 49 13.0% | 62 87.0% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 14.9% | 60 85.1% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 15.4% | 60 84.6% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 49 16.3% | 60 83.7% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 15.9% | 60 84.1% |
| Q2 - 1:07 | MIA | James 2' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) | 49 15.4% | 60 84.6% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 47 13.4% | 60 86.6% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 47 12.6% | 60 87.4% |
| Q2 - 1:32 | SAS | Hill 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST) | 47 13.4% | 60 86.6% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | MIA | James 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 47 15.4% | 58 84.6% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 45 14.0% | 58 86.0% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | SAS | MISS Hill 3' Jump Shot | 45 13.6% | 58 86.4% |
| Q2 - 2:28 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 45 12.5% | 58 87.5% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 43 11.2% | 58 88.8% |
| Q2 - 2:37 | SAS | MISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 10.8% | 58 89.2% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS) | 43 10.0% | 58 90.0% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | SAS | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 40 7.9% | 58 92.1% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 40 7.4% | 58 92.6% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MIA | James 3' Layup (9 PTS) | 40 7.4% | 58 92.6% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 38 6.1% | 58 93.9% |
| Q2 - 3:30 | SAS | Parker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 38 6.7% | 58 93.3% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 7.3% | 56 92.7% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 7.6% | 56 92.4% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | SAS | Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST) | 38 8.7% | 56 91.3% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (7 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 38 10.7% | 53 89.3% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | SAS | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 36 9.7% | 53 90.3% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 36 8.6% | 53 91.4% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | MIA | James 2' Layup (7 PTS) | 36 8.6% | 53 91.4% |
| Q2 - 4:57 | MIA | MISS James 6' Jump Shot | 34 7.1% | 53 92.9% |
| Q2 - 5:14 | SAS | Duncan 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST) | 34 8.2% | 53 91.8% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | MIA | Bibby 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 34 9.1% | 51 90.9% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | SAS | Duncan 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST) | 32 8.2% | 51 91.8% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 32 9.1% | 49 90.9% |
| Q2 - 5:56 | MIA | MISS James 2' Layup | 32 9.4% | 49 90.6% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | SAS | Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST) | 32 10.8% | 49 89.2% |
| Q2 - 6:18 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 32 13.0% | 46 87.0% |
| Q2 - 6:19 | MIA | MISS Miller 21' Jump Shot | 32 13.4% | 46 86.6% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | SAS | Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 32 14.5% | 46 85.5% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 32 13.0% | 46 87.0% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 31 12.7% | 46 87.3% |
| Q2 - 7:01 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 13.6% | 46 86.4% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 | 31 13.4% | 46 86.6% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 31 12.5% | 46 87.5% |
| Q2 - 7:21 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST) | 31 13.5% | 45 86.5% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 28 11.1% | 45 88.9% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | SAS | MISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot | 28 10.8% | 45 89.2% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 28 10.0% | 45 90.0% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 25 8.8% | 45 91.2% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 8.2% | 45 91.8% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | SAS | Blair 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 25 8.8% | 45 91.2% |
| Q2 - 8:44 | MIA | James 7' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST) | 25 9.6% | 43 90.4% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | SAS | Blair Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST) | 23 8.7% | 43 91.3% |
| Q2 - 9:06 | SAS | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 10.1% | 41 89.9% |
| Q2 - 9:07 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot | 23 10.8% | 41 89.2% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 23 10.1% | 41 89.9% |
| Q2 - 9:28 | MIA | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 20 8.4% | 41 91.6% |
| Q2 - 9:29 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 8.1% | 41 91.9% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIA | Bosh 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 20 7.6% | 41 92.4% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | SAS | Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 18 7.2% | 41 92.8% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | Bibby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 18 8.6% | 38 91.4% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | SAS | Neal 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 3 AST) | 16 7.9% | 38 92.1% |
| Q2 - 11:04 | MIA | Miller 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST) | 16 8.9% | 36 91.1% |
| Q2 - 11:11 | MIA | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 8.2% | 36 91.8% |
| Q2 - 11:12 | SAS | MISS Blair 1' Driving Dunk | 14 7.9% | 36 92.1% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | MIA | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 14 7.4% | 36 92.6% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 12 6.7% | 36 93.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 12 6.1% | 36 93.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 6.5% | 36 93.5% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 12 6.6% | 36 93.4% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | MIA | MISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot | 12 6.7% | 36 93.3% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 7.1% | 36 92.9% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | SAS | MISS Parker 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 12 6.9% | 36 93.1% |
| Q1 - 0:47.0 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 6.5% | 36 93.5% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | MIA | MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot | 12 6.7% | 36 93.3% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | SAS | Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 2 AST) | 12 7.5% | 36 92.5% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 9.1% | 33 90.9% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Pullup Jump Shot | 12 9.3% | 33 90.7% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 9.7% | 33 90.3% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | SAS | MISS Blair 14' Jump Shot | 12 9.5% | 33 90.5% |
| Q1 - 1:48 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 9.1% | 33 90.9% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot | 12 9.3% | 33 90.7% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 12 10.2% | 33 89.8% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 12 10.4% | 32 89.6% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MIA | Blair STEAL (1 STL) | 12 11.2% | 31 88.8% |
| Q1 - 2:24 | SAS | Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST) | 12 12.0% | 31 88.0% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 12 14.2% | 28 85.8% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | MIA | Blair BLOCK (1 BLK) | 12 14.5% | 28 85.5% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | MIA | Miller Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 12 15.3% | 28 84.7% |
| Q1 - 2:55 | SAS | Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 11 14.1% | 28 85.9% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P3.T5) | 11 16.9% | 25 83.1% |
| Q1 - 3:22 | SAS | Bonner 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 11 18.2% | 25 81.8% |
| Q1 - 3:34 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P2.T4) | 11 21.0% | 22 79.0% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 22.7% | 22 77.3% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot | 11 22.2% | 22 77.8% |
| Q1 - 3:49 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 11 21.0% | 22 79.0% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | MIA | MISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot | 11 21.5% | 22 78.5% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 11 22.9% | 22 77.1% |
| Q1 - 4:04 | SAS | MISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot | 11 22.4% | 22 77.6% |
| Q1 - 4:19 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P2.T3) | 11 21.3% | 22 78.7% |
| Q1 - 4:29 | SAS | Duncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) | 11 22.9% | 22 77.1% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 11 24.4% | 20 75.6% |
| Q1 - 4:46 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 11 24.9% | 20 75.1% |
| Q1 - 5:00 | SAS | Bonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST) | 11 26.2% | 20 73.8% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 11 29.9% | 17 70.1% |
| Q1 - 5:30 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 11 32.0% | 17 68.0% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 31.3% | 17 68.7% |
| Q1 - 5:36 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 11 29.9% | 17 70.1% |
| Q1 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 30.5% | 17 69.5% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 32.0% | 17 68.0% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | SAS | MISS Blair 7' Jump Shot | 11 31.3% | 17 68.7% |
| Q1 - 6:03 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 11 30.2% | 17 69.8% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | SAS | Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 8 26.8% | 17 73.2% |
| Q1 - 6:28 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 8 30.2% | 14 69.8% |
| Q1 - 6:30 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Layup | 8 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 8 32.0% | 14 68.0% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | SAS | Duncan 2' Layup (3 PTS) | 8 32.0% | 14 68.0% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | SAS | MISS Parker 2' Layup | 8 35.2% | 12 64.8% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 8 33.9% | 12 66.1% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 7 33.5% | 12 66.5% |
| Q1 - 7:20 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 6 32.3% | 12 67.7% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | SAS | MISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 6 32.0% | 12 68.0% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | SAS | Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 30.9% | 12 69.1% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | James 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST) | 6 32.1% | 11 67.9% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 30.5% | 11 69.5% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | SAS | MISS Blair 6' Floating Jump Shot | 4 29.9% | 11 70.1% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 4 29.0% | 11 71.0% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 29.5% | 11 70.5% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 4 30.6% | 11 69.4% |
| Q1 - 8:29 | SAS | MISS Parker Layup | 4 30.1% | 11 69.9% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MIA | Ginobili STEAL (1 STL) | 4 29.0% | 11 71.0% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 4 30.6% | 11 69.4% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 30.1% | 11 69.9% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 29.0% | 11 71.0% |
| Q1 - 8:55 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 4 29.5% | 11 70.5% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | SAS | Blair Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST) | 4 31.3% | 11 68.7% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 4 32.9% | 9 67.1% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | SAS | Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blair 1 AST) | 2 31.2% | 9 68.8% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 2 34.8% | 6 65.2% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 33.5% | 6 66.5% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 0 33.2% | 6 66.8% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 32.3% | 6 67.7% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 33.2% | 5 66.8% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot | 0 33.8% | 5 66.2% |
| Q1 - 10:55 | SAS | Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 0 35.1% | 5 64.9% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 38.5% | 2 61.5% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 0 39.0% | 2 61.0% |
| Q1 - 11:15 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 40.0% | 2 60.0% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | SAS | MISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot | 0 39.5% | 2 60.5% |
| Q1 - 11:34 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 38.5% | 2 61.5% |
| Q1 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 0 39.0% | 2 61.0% |
| Q1 - 11:52 | SAS | Ginobili Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) | 0 40.0% | 2 60.0% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | SAS | Jump Ball Duncan vs. Dampier: Tip to Ginobili | 0 41.7% | 0 58.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.08 54.0%
SAS
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
18
67%
SAS
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIA
18
40
45%
SAS
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
SAS
17
25.5
28
61%
91%
Free Throws
MIA
14
20
70%
SAS
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 26 | 59% | 13.0 / 22 | |
| D. Wade | 19 | 50% | 9.5 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 17 | 65% | 8.5 / 13 | |
| M. Miller | 12 | 75% | 6.0 / 8 | |
| M. Chalmers | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| M. Bibby | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| J. Howard | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| J. Jones | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| E. Dampier | 0 | - | 0.0 / 0 | |
| E. House | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ginobili | 20 | 59% | 10.0 / 17 | |
| M. Bonner | 18 | 129% | 9.0 / 7 | |
| G. Neal | 16 | 89% | 8.0 / 9 | |
| T. Parker | 15 | 75% | 7.5 / 10 | |
| R. Jefferson | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| T. Duncan | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| G. Hill | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| D. Blair | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| S. Novak | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| T. Splitter | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| O. Jeffers | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
79
+8
-14
87
SAS
86
+7
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.08 54.0%
SAS
1.34 67.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 111.4 111.5 | MIA 102.2 SAS 133.0 +30.8 |
| Pace | 91.3 92.7 | MIA 92.5 SAS 94.5 +1.9 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.2 15.7 | MIA 15.6 SAS 15.2 +0.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 52.4% 52.7% | MIA 51.9% SAS 66.5% +14.6% |
| TO % | 14.4% 13.8% | MIA 13.9% SAS 8.0% +5.9% |
| ORB % | 25.2% 25.0% | MIA 14.6% +1.8% SAS 12.8% |
| FTrt | 36.3 29.9 | MIA 25.6 SAS 28.0 +2.4 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 54.1% 58.3% | MIA 62.2% SAS 63.0% +0.8% |
| STL % | 7.3% 7.9% | MIA 3.2% SAS 7.4% +4.2% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 6.7% | MIA 3.7% +2.0% SAS 1.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 55.7% 55.3% | MIA 54.0% SAS 67.2% +13.2% |
| Rim FG% | 64.7% 60.3% | MIA 66.7% SAS 69.2% +2.5% |
| Mid FG% | 42.2% 41.6% | MIA 45.0% +5.7% SAS 39.3% |
| 3P % | 37.0% 39.7% | MIA 35.0% SAS 60.7% +25.7% |
| FT % | 76.9% 76.7% | MIA 70.0% +0.4% SAS 69.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 31.6% 34.3% | MIA 23.1% SAS 31.7% +8.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.9% 39.7% | MIA 51.3% SAS 34.1% +17.1% |
| 3P Att. % | 23.5% 26.1% | MIA 25.6% SAS 34.1% +8.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
| Game Totals | MIA | SAS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 94 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.1 | 23.9 |
| Points | 95 | 125 |
| Rebounds | 40 | 40 |
| Assists | 23 | 29 |
| Steals | 3 | 7 |
| Blocks | 2 | 1 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (0) | 8 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 6 (2) | 5 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 34 (1) | 35 (0) |
| Field Goals | 37-78 | 46-82 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 12-18 | 18-26 |
| Midrange FG | 18-40 | 11-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-58 | 29-54 |
| 3-Point FG | 7-20 | 17-28 |
| Free Throws | 14-20 | 16-23 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.