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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings31%95102
18Jazz69%101109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
47.1
28.2
22
48%
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
5-15
4-9
33%
46%
3-6
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.6
43.5
29.3
18
39%
18
7
2
1
3
2
6
12
6-11
55%
6-18
6-12
33%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
43.1
36.6
16
50%
1
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
8-14
4-9
57%
52%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.8
24.0
26.1
7
40%
8
0
0
0
4
3
4
4
3-4
75%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.0
22.0
14.3
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.6
27.5
26.8
7
38%
9
2
1
1
1
1
0
9
1-3
33%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.2
23.4
9.2
18
116%
3
0
2
0
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
4-5
80%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
18.8
20.5
8
59%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.3
11.6
8.5
2
25%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.3
4.0
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
30.9
1
2-5
47%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
5.4
0
0-1
46%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.5
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.2
43.6
36.1
27
52%
7
4
1
1
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
13-25
9-17
52%
52%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
40.2
28.8
16
83%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
36.4
30.9
14
48%
5
7
3
1
0
5
0
5
4-6
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
33.3
32.0
16
66%
5
2
0
1
2
0
2
3
4-5
80%
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.1
20.8
35.1
12
56%
7
1
2
1
4
1
3
4
4-6
67%
4-8
7-13
50%
55%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.0
23.6
5.5
4
100%
9
1
1
0
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
20.0
22.6
12
51%
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
50%
2-3
67%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.7
16.6
16.3
4
29%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.6
13.2
9.6
4
25%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
2-7
1-3
29%
53%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.9
12.8
16.6
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.2
4.5
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.8
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.