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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 28, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Suns54%103104
22Nets46%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.1
39.8
34.4
10
34%
6
15
0
1
0
3
0
6
4-4
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
54%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.1
29.5
22.1
5
25%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-6
17%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
29.0
33.3
7
44%
8
0
0
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.4
28.9
31.3
4
33%
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.9
23.1
14.0
14
75%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
6-8
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
29.5
31.8
17
72%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
8-11
5-9
73%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
26.2
24.9
10
73%
4
5
3
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.6
24.0
13.3
16
62%
7
2
1
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
7-12
2-4
58%
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
21.5
15.0
13
65%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
3-5
60%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.1
13.6
15.4
8
50%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
2-3
67%
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.5
7.4
0
1-2
46%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.7
4.5
0
1-1
57%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.3
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
46.3
34.1
28
56%
10
3
0
1
0
1
4
6
4-5
80%
12-23
8-16
52%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
46.2
28.9
22
60%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
5-10
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
40.9
23.5
16
52%
15
1
1
1
1
3
3
12
0-1
0%
8-15
4-7
53%
50%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
38.4
36.7
13
44%
5
18
1
1
0
6
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
51%
1-5
20%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
25.6
19.1
6
75%
8
0
3
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
26.2
28.6
5
42%
6
5
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
20.3
20.9
10
59%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
5-5
2-4
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
14.6
11.9
3
52%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.1
6.6
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
13.2
1
2-3
48%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
3.5
0
1-1
54%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.