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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets53%103103
23Clippers47%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.8
36.4
31.2
12
56%
8
3
0
1
0
2
0
8
4-4
100%
4-9
7-14
44%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.9
34.9
35.3
24
57%
4
11
2
1
1
0
2
2
3-5
60%
6-11
3-7
55%
47%
3-8
38%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.1
30.8
34.7
12
37%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
47%
1-6
17%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.8
30.3
28.0
11
42%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.7
25.4
32.2
2
17%
12
3
0
1
0
2
5
7
0-2
0%
1-5
4-7
20%
54%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.4
35.4
22.0
18
60%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.9
18.4
14.4
11
75%
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
6
2-3
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
3-5
60%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
13.1
10.4
9
75%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
3-3
100%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
9.4
11.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
6.0
5.7
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
7.0
0
1-2
42%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.0
2.8
0
0-0
52%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
37.6
21.2
8
51%
16
2
1
0
3
1
5
11
0-2
0%
4-7
2-3
57%
65%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
34.8
10.4
24
56%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
7-8
88%
7-16
2-3
44%
52%
1-2
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.0
34.4
36.1
20
68%
14
5
1
1
0
2
1
13
6-6
100%
7-11
8-16
64%
53%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.2
31.4
30.3
17
49%
3
11
1
1
0
3
1
2
7-8
88%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
0-2
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.5
14.5
26.7
5
83%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.8
23.0
23.2
21
60%
9
1
0
0
1
1
2
7
1-1
100%
10-17
5-10
59%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.4
20.1
35.5
2
20%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
19.4
22.2
5
51%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.7
16.9
12.1
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.2
7.9
27.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.3
9.9
0
2-3
58%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
3.9
0
1-1
53%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.2
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.