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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors48%102106
28Wizards52%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
44.9
30.0
14
42%
6
3
1
1
2
2
2
4
5-6
83%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
36.8
34.4
29
66%
9
5
1
2
0
3
2
7
8-9
89%
6-11
4-9
55%
51%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.8
32.2
32.5
9
42%
16
6
1
1
0
0
5
11
3-4
75%
3-9
7-13
33%
53%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.3
31.3
37.0
21
48%
3
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
9-18
7-15
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
30.3
17.5
6
41%
2
0
1
0
3
2
1
1
2-3
67%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.1
19.4
15.1
6
52%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
18.0
21.2
11
56%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
14.6
16.4
8
103%
6
1
0
1
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-3
67%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.9
12.6
16.5
2
50%
6
1
0
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.2
9.8
0
1-3
51%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
6.3
0
1-2
45%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.1
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.7
43.9
33.0
31
56%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
7-8
88%
6-17
6-11
35%
49%
4-7
57%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
38.9
35.8
14
57%
0
6
1
1
0
4
0
0
4-5
80%
5-9
6-13
56%
46%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
38.8
28.9
20
59%
9
6
1
1
1
2
4
5
4-7
57%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.8
18.7
24.7
13
56%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
17.8
26.1
5
56%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.3
21.0
17.0
4
22%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
18.7
16.6
7
81%
11
1
1
0
1
0
3
8
1-3
33%
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.4
12.0
13.8
4
29%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.2
10.7
14.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
8.2
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.3
6.1
7.8
2
36%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.6
5.3
18.7
2
35%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-2
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.