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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 5, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bobcats15%8569
6Trail Blazers85%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.3
37.0
30.3
14
53%
3
3
0
1
0
6
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
46%
1-6
17%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
33.6
27.6
16
62%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
8-12
4-9
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
26.2
20.4
4
40%
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.0
22.4
23.3
2
13%
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-4
50%
0-6
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
22.1
27.4
2
13%
5
5
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
0-2
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
25.9
16.5
12
67%
9
0
1
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
21.8
7.4
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.4
17.2
16.0
5
64%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.5
13.5
22.0
5
47%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-3
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
11.9
16.4
5
56%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
8.4
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
27.0
1
4-9
45%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.1
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
40.4
40.0
26
66%
7
0
0
1
2
1
3
4
4-4
100%
11-18
9-17
61%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
29.6
33.8
8
68%
1
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
5-11
60%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.2
26.0
37.4
7
44%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
56%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
22.6
18.8
9
71%
10
0
1
1
1
2
3
7
1-3
33%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
21.9
38.4
5
36%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
26.9
31.0
7
36%
6
0
3
1
1
0
0
6
5-6
83%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.9
26.3
14.5
9
58%
0
5
4
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.6
20.7
15.3
10
46%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
18.3
10.8
12
67%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
4-7
57%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.3
5.8
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.0
1.4
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.7
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.