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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 3, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic35%9599
1Heat65%10096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.2
44.6
38.5
14
55%
18
5
0
1
5
1
5
13
4-6
67%
5-10
8-14
50%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.1
39.7
32.6
24
86%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
6-8
75%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.1
35.0
31.8
16
48%
1
7
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
5-11
4-7
45%
47%
1-4
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.0
30.5
25.0
3
50%
4
5
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
22.4
21.9
8
58%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
23.0
22.0
15
69%
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.9
16.6
9.4
3
50%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.2
15.6
11.2
11
70%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
3-5
60%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
12.6
27.9
5
64%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.1
11.3
0
2-4
44%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.5
6.7
0
0-1
42%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.7
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
41.0
38.3
28
60%
4
5
4
2
1
2
2
2
8-12
67%
10-17
9-17
59%
52%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
39.9
37.4
29
76%
6
4
0
1
2
2
2
4
7-7
100%
11-14
8-15
79%
54%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
39.8
37.5
13
40%
5
1
2
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
5-14
7-13
36%
51%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
31.3
20.2
9
104%
3
0
2
0
2
3
2
1
3-3
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
24.3
28.7
6
26%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
1-6
17%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
24.0
22.1
5
83%
6
0
2
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
19.1
16.6
3
31%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
9.5
19.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
7.0
11.4
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
4.1
9.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
17.8
1
1-3
44%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.