| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 ORL | 113.8 | 87 | 83.7 |
 MIA | 107.9 | 89 | 92.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
74
+8
-13
82
MIA
77
+14
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.21 60.4%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | ORL | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 99 100% | 96 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 99 99.2% | 96 0.8% |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 99 98.5% | 96 1.5% |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 99 98.0% | 96 2.0% |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | ORL | Redick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 99 93.3% | 96 6.7% |
| Q4 - 0:08.0 | ORL | Redick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 98 92.5% | 96 7.5% |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS) | 97 85.8% | 96 14.2% |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS) | 97 88.4% | 95 11.6% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 97 91.9% | 94 8.1% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | ORL | MISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 90.6% | 94 9.4% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13) | 96 91.0% | 94 9.0% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | ORL | James BLOCK (2 BLK) | 96 81.8% | 94 18.2% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13) | 96 89.4% | 94 10.6% |
| Q4 - 0:31.0 | ORL | MISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 79.8% | 94 20.2% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Dampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 96 84.3% | 94 15.7% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 96 87.5% | 93 12.5% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 96 91.3% | 92 8.7% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 4' Jump Shot | 96 94.5% | 92 5.5% |
| Q4 - 1:04 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 96 88.2% | 92 11.8% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 96 90.1% | 92 9.9% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | MIA | Dampier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 96 91.2% | 92 8.8% |
| Q4 - 1:31 | ORL | Dampier STEAL (2 STL) | 96 84.5% | 92 15.5% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 96 88.7% | 92 11.3% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 96 95.3% | 89 4.7% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | ORL | MISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot | 96 96.1% | 89 3.9% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13) | 96 97.6% | 89 2.4% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup | 96 97.1% | 89 2.9% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | ORL | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bass 1 AST) | 96 95.4% | 89 4.6% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 93 86.9% | 89 13.1% |
| Q4 - 3:03 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 93 93.8% | 86 6.2% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 95.7% | 86 4.3% |
| Q4 - 3:28 | MIA | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Nelson: Tip to James | 93 94.0% | 86 6.0% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12) | 93 93.1% | 86 6.9% |
| Q4 - 3:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 92.3% | 86 7.7% |
| Q4 - 4:00 | ORL | Nelson 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 93 90.3% | 86 9.7% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | MIA | Dampier 3' Dunk (4 PTS) | 91 87.0% | 86 13.0% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 91 90.5% | 84 9.5% |
| Q4 - 4:19 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3' Layup | 91 92.7% | 84 7.3% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 91 90.6% | 84 9.4% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 90 89.4% | 84 10.6% |
| Q4 - 4:41 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 89 87.2% | 84 12.8% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 85.7% | 84 14.3% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 89 81.7% | 84 18.3% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | ORL | MISS Arenas 17' Jump Shot | 89 83.6% | 84 16.4% |
| Q4 - 5:12 | MIA | Bosh 4' Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 89 82.9% | 84 17.1% |
| Q4 - 5:26 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 89 87.0% | 82 13.0% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot | 89 89.6% | 82 10.4% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 89 87.1% | 82 12.9% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | ORL | MISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot | 89 88.3% | 82 11.7% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | MIA | Dampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11) | 89 90.7% | 82 9.3% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 89 87.2% | 82 12.8% |
| Q4 - 6:00 | ORL | MISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 88.4% | 82 11.6% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 89 87.5% | 82 12.5% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | ORL | MISS Richardson 5' Hook Shot | 89 84.9% | 82 15.1% |
| Q4 - 6:15 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10) | 89 87.6% | 82 12.4% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | ORL | Nelson 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 89 83.8% | 82 16.2% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | MIA | Chalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 87 79.7% | 82 20.3% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | ORL | Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 5 AST) | 87 70.6% | 82 29.4% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 84 58.6% | 82 41.4% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 56.4% | 82 43.6% |
| Q4 - 7:38 | ORL | Anderson 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST) | 84 51.2% | 82 48.8% |
| Q4 - 7:52 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 82 44.8% | 82 55.2% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot | 82 42.5% | 82 57.5% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | ORL | Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 82 37.7% | 82 62.3% |
| Q4 - 8:40 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 79 26.4% | 82 73.6% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 24.9% | 82 75.1% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | ORL | Richardson 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST) | 79 22.7% | 82 77.3% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 76 15.3% | 82 84.7% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | MIA | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 14.4% | 82 85.6% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | ORL | Wade STEAL (4 STL) | 76 12.5% | 82 87.5% |
| Q4 - 9:29 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 76 15.3% | 82 84.7% |
| Q4 - 9:30 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 76 14.3% | 82 85.7% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | ORL | Richardson 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Redick 3 AST) | 76 12.4% | 82 87.6% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | ORL | Redick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 73 8.8% | 82 91.2% |
| Q4 - 10:07 | MIA | MISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 73 8.3% | 82 91.7% |
| Q4 - 10:23 | ORL | Magic Turnover: Backcourt (T#13) | 73 7.1% | 82 92.9% |
| Q4 - 10:37 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 73 8.8% | 82 91.2% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 8.5% | 82 91.5% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 7.4% | 82 92.6% |
| Q4 - 10:42 | ORL | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 73 7.1% | 82 92.9% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 73 8.8% | 82 91.2% |
| Q4 - 10:52 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 73 8.2% | 82 91.8% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 73 7.8% | 82 92.2% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 72 7.3% | 82 92.7% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST) | 71 6.4% | 82 93.6% |
| Q4 - 11:48 | ORL | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 71 7.7% | 80 92.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 71 9.4% | 80 90.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 71 7.7% | 80 92.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 8.9% | 80 91.1% |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 71 8.5% | 80 91.5% |
| Q3 - 0:06.0 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 70 8.3% | 80 91.7% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | ORL | Magic Rebound | 69 6.9% | 80 93.1% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 6.5% | 80 93.5% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | ORL | Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Redick 2 AST) | 69 5.8% | 80 94.2% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 66 4.2% | 80 95.8% |
| Q3 - 1:03 | MIA | MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 | 66 4.1% | 80 95.9% |
| Q3 - 1:03 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 66 3.6% | 80 96.4% |
| Q3 - 1:03 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 66 4.3% | 79 95.7% |
| Q3 - 1:03 | ORL | MISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 4.5% | 79 95.5% |
| Q3 - 1:25 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 66 5.1% | 79 94.9% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 66 4.3% | 79 95.7% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 2 | 66 4.9% | 79 95.1% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MIA | MISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 2 | 66 4.4% | 79 95.6% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 66 4.3% | 79 95.7% |
| Q3 - 1:36 | ORL | MISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot | 66 4.5% | 79 95.5% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 66 5.6% | 79 94.4% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | ORL | Howard 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST) | 66 6.6% | 77 93.4% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | MIA | Miller Foul Turnover (P1.T8) | 64 5.5% | 77 94.5% |
| Q3 - 3:02 | ORL | Nelson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 1 AST) | 64 5.1% | 77 94.9% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | MIA | Dampier 2' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 61 3.6% | 77 96.4% |
| Q3 - 3:21 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 61 4.2% | 75 95.8% |
| Q3 - 3:22 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 4' Driving Layup | 61 4.8% | 75 95.2% |
| Q3 - 3:43 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 61 4.2% | 75 95.8% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | MIA | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 61 4.8% | 75 95.2% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | ORL | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 4 AST) | 61 4.5% | 75 95.5% |
| Q3 - 4:31 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 58 3.3% | 75 96.7% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | ORL | Bass 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST) | 58 2.7% | 75 97.3% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | MIA | James 22' Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 56 2.6% | 75 97.4% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 56 3.0% | 73 97.0% |
| Q3 - 5:30 | MIA | MISS James 8' Jump Shot | 56 3.4% | 73 96.6% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | ORL | Richardson 3' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST) | 56 3.0% | 73 97.0% |
| Q3 - 5:46 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 54 2.6% | 73 97.4% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 54 2.4% | 73 97.6% |
| Q3 - 5:57 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 54 2.1% | 73 97.9% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | ORL | MISS Richardson 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 54 2.2% | 73 97.8% |
| Q3 - 6:11 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 54 2.9% | 73 97.1% |
| Q3 - 6:33 | ORL | Bass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 54 2.4% | 73 97.6% |
| Q3 - 6:33 | ORL | Bass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 53 2.3% | 73 97.7% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 52 2.1% | 73 97.9% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot | 52 2.0% | 73 98.0% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 52 1.7% | 73 98.3% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | ORL | MISS Bass 19' Jump Shot | 52 1.8% | 73 98.2% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | ORL | Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 52 2.3% | 73 97.7% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 52 2.2% | 73 97.8% |
| Q3 - 7:26 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 52 2.0% | 73 98.0% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | ORL | MISS Nelson 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 52 2.1% | 73 97.9% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 2.3% | 73 97.7% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot | 52 2.2% | 73 97.8% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 52 2.0% | 73 98.0% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 2.1% | 73 97.9% |
| Q3 - 8:09 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 52 2.5% | 73 97.5% |
| Q3 - 8:10 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 52 2.4% | 73 97.6% |
| Q3 - 8:10 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 2.2% | 73 97.8% |
| Q3 - 8:20 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 52 2.1% | 73 97.9% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot | 52 2.4% | 73 97.6% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | ORL | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST) | 52 2.1% | 73 97.9% |
| Q3 - 8:57 | MIA | James 3' Driving Dunk (25 PTS) | 49 1.6% | 73 98.4% |
| Q3 - 9:06 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 49 2.0% | 71 98.0% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 | 49 2.0% | 71 98.0% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 49 2.2% | 71 97.8% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | Chalmers 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 49 2.3% | 71 97.7% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | ORL | Turkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10) | 49 2.6% | 69 97.4% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 49 3.0% | 69 97.0% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 49 3.1% | 68 96.9% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 3.8% | 67 96.2% |
| Q3 - 10:05 | ORL | MISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot | 49 3.9% | 67 96.1% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 49 4.3% | 67 95.7% |
| Q3 - 10:21 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 49 4.4% | 66 95.6% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | ORL | Bass 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 49 4.9% | 65 95.1% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | MIA | Bosh 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 47 4.3% | 65 95.7% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | ORL | Nelson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 47 5.2% | 63 94.8% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | MIA | Bosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 45 4.6% | 63 95.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 45 4.0% | 63 96.0% | |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 45 4.5% | 63 95.5% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | ORL | MISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot | 45 4.6% | 63 95.4% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 45 4.9% | 63 95.1% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | ORL | Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST) | 45 5.7% | 61 94.3% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 42 4.3% | 61 95.7% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot | 42 4.2% | 61 95.8% |
| Q2 - 1:21 | ORL | Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST) | 42 4.1% | 61 95.9% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 39 3.1% | 61 96.9% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 39 3.2% | 60 96.8% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | ORL | Wade STEAL (3 STL) | 39 3.6% | 59 96.4% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 39 4.0% | 59 96.0% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 39 4.1% | 58 95.9% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 39 4.7% | 57 95.3% |
| Q2 - 1:48 | ORL | MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 4.8% | 57 95.2% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | MIA | Dampier Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 39 5.4% | 57 94.6% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | ORL | Magic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8) | 39 4.8% | 57 95.2% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | MIA | Miller 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 39 5.4% | 57 94.6% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 6.3% | 55 93.7% |
| Q2 - 3:18 | ORL | Dampier BLOCK (2 BLK) | 39 6.6% | 55 93.4% |
| Q2 - 3:39 | MIA | James 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 39 7.2% | 55 92.8% |
| Q2 - 3:52 | ORL | Howard Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 39 7.9% | 53 92.1% |
| Q2 - 4:02 | MIA | James 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 39 9.2% | 53 90.8% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | MIA | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 10.2% | 51 89.8% |
| Q2 - 4:17 | ORL | MISS Howard 4' Reverse Layup | 39 10.5% | 51 89.5% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | MIA | Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 39 11.4% | 51 88.6% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | ORL | Howard 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 39 14.0% | 48 86.0% |
| Q2 - 5:05 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 37 13.0% | 48 87.0% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | ORL | MISS Howard 14' Jump Shot | 37 12.1% | 48 87.9% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | MIA | James 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 34 12.3% | 46 87.7% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | ORL | Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST) | 34 13.3% | 44 86.7% |
| Q2 - 6:39 | MIA | Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) | 31 11.0% | 44 89.0% |
| Q2 - 7:01 | ORL | Anderson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST) | 31 12.4% | 42 87.6% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | MIA | Bibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 29 11.2% | 42 88.8% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 29 10.1% | 42 89.9% |
| Q2 - 7:41 | ORL | MISS Arenas 12' Jump Shot | 29 10.5% | 42 89.5% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 29 11.2% | 42 88.8% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | MIA | MISS Anthony 4' Hook Shot | 29 10.9% | 42 89.1% |
| Q2 - 7:59 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 10.1% | 42 89.9% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | ORL | MISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 10.4% | 42 89.6% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 11.6% | 42 88.4% |
| Q2 - 8:11 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 29 11.3% | 42 88.7% |
| Q2 - 8:29 | ORL | Anderson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 29 10.5% | 42 89.5% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | MIA | Wade 2' Putback Layup (18 PTS) | 26 8.7% | 42 91.3% |
| Q2 - 8:41 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 26 9.6% | 40 90.4% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | MIA | MISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot | 26 10.2% | 40 89.8% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | ORL | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 26 9.9% | 40 90.1% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | ORL | Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 9.7% | 40 90.3% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS) | 24 9.0% | 40 91.0% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | MIA | Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 10.8% | 37 89.2% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | ORL | MISS Anderson 3' Tip Shot | 24 11.1% | 37 88.9% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | ORL | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 24 11.9% | 37 88.1% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot | 24 11.1% | 37 88.9% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 24 11.9% | 37 88.1% |
| Q2 - 9:59 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 24 14.2% | 34 85.8% |
| Q2 - 10:00 | ORL | MISS Redick 22' Jump Shot | 24 14.6% | 34 85.4% |
| Q2 - 10:20 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 24 15.9% | 34 84.1% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 24 17.1% | 32 82.9% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | ORL | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 17.6% | 32 82.4% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | MIA | Wade 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 24 18.8% | 32 81.2% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | ORL | Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 24 20.4% | 30 79.6% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | ORL | Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 23 20.2% | 30 79.8% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 18.9% | 30 81.1% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 18.5% | 30 81.5% |
| Q2 - 11:22 | ORL | Miller STEAL (2 STL) | 22 17.4% | 30 82.6% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | MIA | Anthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2) | 22 18.9% | 30 81.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 22 17.3% | 30 82.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 17.3% | 30 82.7% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 18.1% | 30 81.9% |
| Q1 - 0:08.0 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 22 18.9% | 30 81.1% |
| Q1 - 0:29.0 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 20.7% | 28 79.3% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | ORL | MISS Howard 6' Hook Shot | 22 21.1% | 28 78.9% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 22.1% | 28 77.9% |
| Q1 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot | 22 21.7% | 28 78.3% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | ORL | Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 2 AST) | 22 20.7% | 28 79.3% |
| Q1 - 0:58.0 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 19 17.5% | 28 82.5% |
| Q1 - 0:59.0 | ORL | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 16.7% | 28 83.3% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 19 17.7% | 28 82.3% |
| Q1 - 1:20 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 17.4% | 28 82.6% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 19 16.7% | 28 83.3% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | ORL | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 19 17.0% | 28 83.0% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | MIA | James 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 19 17.7% | 28 82.3% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 19 19.5% | 26 80.5% |
| Q1 - 1:52 | ORL | MISS Howard 11' Jump Bank Shot | 19 19.8% | 26 80.2% |
| Q1 - 2:13 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 19 21.0% | 26 79.0% |
| Q1 - 2:13 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 19 21.4% | 25 78.6% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 22.8% | 24 77.2% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | ORL | MISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 23.2% | 24 76.8% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 19 24.3% | 24 75.7% |
| Q1 - 2:51 | ORL | Miller STEAL (1 STL) | 19 28.0% | 21 72.0% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 19 29.8% | 21 70.2% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 19 30.2% | 20 69.8% |
| Q1 - 3:24 | ORL | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 19 31.7% | 19 68.3% |
| Q1 - 3:45 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 19 33.8% | 19 66.2% |
| Q1 - 3:58 | ORL | Howard 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST) | 19 35.8% | 17 64.2% |
| Q1 - 4:19 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 17 33.3% | 17 66.7% |
| Q1 - 4:21 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 17 37.2% | 14 62.8% |
| Q1 - 4:22 | ORL | MISS Richardson 3' Layup | 17 37.9% | 14 62.1% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 17 39.5% | 14 60.5% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | ORL | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 17 37.9% | 14 62.1% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | MIA | James Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 17 39.6% | 14 60.4% |
| Q1 - 5:20 | ORL | Howard 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 17 36.9% | 14 63.1% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 35.2% | 14 64.8% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | ORL | MISS Bass 18' Jump Shot | 15 33.7% | 14 66.3% |
| Q1 - 5:41 | MIA | Wade 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 15 35.2% | 14 64.8% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 15 36.9% | 12 63.1% |
| Q1 - 5:43 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Layup | 15 38.5% | 12 61.5% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 36.9% | 12 63.1% |
| Q1 - 5:49 | ORL | Dampier BLOCK (1 BLK) | 15 37.6% | 12 62.4% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | ORL | Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 38.6% | 12 61.4% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 38.0% | 12 62.0% |
| Q1 - 6:27 | ORL | Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 15 36.6% | 12 63.4% |
| Q1 - 6:47 | MIA | James 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 12 32.9% | 12 67.1% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | ORL | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 12 34.7% | 10 65.3% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | ORL | Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 36.3% | 10 63.7% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot | 12 35.7% | 10 64.3% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 12 34.3% | 10 65.7% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | ORL | Nelson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 12 36.2% | 9 63.8% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 34.5% | 9 65.5% |
| Q1 - 7:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 10 33.9% | 9 66.1% |
| Q1 - 7:54 | ORL | Richardson 4' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST) | 10 32.5% | 9 67.5% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 8 30.7% | 9 69.3% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 34.2% | 6 65.8% |
| Q1 - 8:26 | ORL | MISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 34.7% | 6 65.3% |
| Q1 - 8:44 | MIA | Wade 15' Fadeaway Bank Shot (6 PTS) | 8 36.0% | 6 64.0% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | ORL | Nelson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 8 37.6% | 4 62.4% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 6 35.8% | 4 64.2% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | ORL | Howard 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 6 37.7% | 2 62.3% |
| Q1 - 9:48 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 35.8% | 2 64.2% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 4 35.3% | 2 64.7% |
| Q1 - 10:11 | ORL | Nelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 33.7% | 2 66.3% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 35.6% | 2 64.4% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 35.0% | 2 65.0% |
| Q1 - 10:34 | ORL | Magic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 4 33.7% | 2 66.3% |
| Q1 - 10:59 | MIA | Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 35.6% | 2 64.4% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | ORL | Bass 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST) | 4 36.4% | 0 63.6% |
| Q1 - 11:28 | ORL | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 34.8% | 0 65.2% |
| Q1 - 11:29 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 2 34.4% | 0 65.6% |
| Q1 - 11:46 | ORL | Richardson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST) | 2 33.4% | 0 66.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Howard: Tip to | 0 31.9% | 0 68.1% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.21 60.4%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
11
20
55%
MIA
11
18
61%
Midrange
ORL
7
22
32%
MIA
21
40
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
16
24.0
29
55%
83%
MIA
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
Free Throws
ORL
15
18
83%
MIA
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Magic| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Richardson | 24 | 86% | 12.0 / 14 | |
| J. Nelson | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| R. Anderson | 15 | 68% | 7.5 / 11 | |
| D. Howard | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
| G. Arenas | 11 | 79% | 5.5 / 7 | |
| B. Bass | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| J. Redick | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| Q. Richardson | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 29 | 76% | 14.5 / 19 | |
| D. Wade | 28 | 61% | 14.0 / 23 | |
| C. Bosh | 13 | 41% | 6.5 / 16 | |
| E. Dampier | 9 | 113% | 4.5 / 4 | |
| M. Chalmers | 6 | 27% | 3.0 / 11 | |
| M. Miller | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| M. Bibby | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| J. Anthony | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| J. Jones | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
ORL
74
+8
-13
82
MIA
77
+14
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
ORL
1.21 60.4%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 108.1 111.4 | ORL 113.8 +5.9 MIA 107.9 |
| Pace | 91.2 91.3 | ORL 83.7 MIA 92.7 +9.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.6 16.2 | ORL 17.2 MIA 15.5 +1.7 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 52.1% 52.4% | ORL 59.2% +10.5% MIA 48.7% |
| TO % | 15.7% 14.4% | ORL 16.9% MIA 12.0% +4.9% |
| ORB % | 26.1% 25.2% | ORL 22.9% +1.3% MIA 21.6% |
| FTrt | 32.8 36.3 | ORL 25.4 MIA 40.0 +14.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.3% 54.1% | ORL 73.5% +36.4% MIA 37.1% |
| STL % | 7.3% 7.3% | ORL 3.4% MIA 11.2% +7.8% |
| BLK % | 7.5% 8.5% | ORL 13.8% +1.9% MIA 11.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.8% 55.7% | ORL 60.4% +7.7% MIA 52.7% |
| Rim FG% | 61.7% 64.7% | ORL 55.0% MIA 61.1% +6.1% |
| Mid FG% | 40.4% 42.2% | ORL 31.8% MIA 52.5% +20.7% |
| 3P % | 36.6% 37.0% | ORL 55.2% +37.6% MIA 17.6% |
| FT % | 69.2% 76.9% | ORL 83.3% +6.6% MIA 76.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 32.6% 31.6% | ORL 28.2% +4.2% MIA 24.0% |
| Mid Att. % | 34.5% 44.9% | ORL 31.0% +22.3% MIA 53.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 32.8% 23.5% | ORL 40.8% +18.2% MIA 22.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
| Game Totals | ORL | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 87 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.9 | 23.1 |
| Points | 99 | 96 |
| Rebounds | 37 | 35 |
| Assists | 25 | 13 |
| Steals | 3 | 10 |
| Blocks | 8 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 13 (3) | 12 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (0) | 8 (6) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (2) | 27 (3) |
| Field Goals | 34-71 | 35-75 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 11-20 | 11-18 |
| Midrange FG | 7-22 | 21-40 |
| 2-Point FG | 18-42 | 32-58 |
| 3-Point FG | 16-29 | 3-17 |
| Free Throws | 15-18 | 23-30 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.