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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 23, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons31%94101
16Pacers69%101102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
40.2
27.4
21
71%
3
2
1
1
0
6
1
2
2-2
100%
5-10
4-10
50%
43%
3-4
75%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.8
38.1
22.9
16
45%
5
12
0
1
1
3
0
5
4-6
67%
6-13
3-7
46%
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
34.1
21.8
6
75%
10
1
2
1
1
1
5
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
32.1
28.1
27
67%
12
1
1
1
0
1
6
6
5-7
71%
11-17
4-7
65%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.0
9.3
29.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-3
5-11
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
28.7
26.2
12
60%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
2-3
67%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
16.8
18.1
6
50%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.1
15.2
21.2
9
58%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
3-7
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
14.1
24.6
4
50%
3
1
0
1
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
6.9
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.5
4.5
15.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
0.0
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.0
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.0
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
33.7
9.1
9
56%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
32.3
26.3
11
45%
1
6
3
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.2
30.1
30.0
7
67%
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
3-5
60%
2-3
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.8
27.5
31.6
18
66%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.0
16.4
26.8
10
85%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.3
31.6
21.7
21
53%
12
0
2
1
1
2
8
4
5-6
83%
8-17
4-8
47%
47%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.8
21.9
23.5
10
45%
5
1
2
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
56%
0-2
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.1
17.7
13.8
4
40%
7
1
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.4
15.7
20.4
4
20%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
0-4
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
13.2
12.1
8
57%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.1
6.4
0
0-0
48%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.5
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.9
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.