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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 6, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Celtics67%9389
21Bucks33%8783
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.6
38.9
36.0
13
52%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.0
38.3
38.7
6
43%
4
8
2
2
0
8
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
37.1
34.7
23
74%
5
4
1
1
1
4
0
5
6-6
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
51%
1-2
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
33.2
32.6
14
54%
11
3
3
1
1
2
0
11
2-2
100%
6-12
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
29.3
23.5
17
87%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
3-4
75%
7-8
3-6
88%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
27.1
22.3
11
69%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
14.8
11.5
2
35%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.3
11.7
3.3
3
50%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
9.7
7.1
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.2
18.4
1
3-6
46%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.6
6.3
0
1-1
48%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
2.5
0
0-0
44%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 39.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.4
40.6
32.2
23
54%
6
5
3
1
1
4
2
4
4-5
80%
5-12
4-9
42%
40%
3-7
43%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.2
34.6
34.9
11
38%
2
6
4
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
3-9
4-9
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
33.8
23.0
4
50%
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
29.7
30.3
6
43%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
2-6
33%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
24.8
23.7
8
40%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
37.1
9.8
19
63%
7
1
2
0
0
3
4
3
3-5
60%
8-13
1-2
62%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
13.9
5.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.8
13.8
21.8
7
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
11.7
22.7
5
50%
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
19.6
0
3-6
51%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
15.2
0
2-5
44%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
13.3
0
2-4
37%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.