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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers51%9890
9Thunder49%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.5
36.9
30.7
17
39%
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
7-16
7-13
44%
50%
1-6
17%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.3
36.7
25.5
10
50%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.6
32.0
32.4
18
58%
11
0
0
1
0
1
5
6
4-6
67%
7-13
6-11
54%
54%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.3
31.6
28.7
16
76%
10
2
1
0
5
0
3
7
6-8
75%
5-7
5-9
71%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.6
30.2
25.4
6
38%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.3
32.3
24.4
9
57%
7
5
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.0
17.8
21.1
5
83%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.2
16.4
25.1
9
65%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.9
6.0
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.3
5.5
0
1-2
49%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.8
4.5
0
1-1
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.6
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.9
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.4
41.8
37.4
21
46%
4
3
1
1
2
5
0
4
5-6
83%
8-17
7-14
47%
50%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
36.8
22.4
6
43%
13
1
1
0
2
2
3
10
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
55%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
33.9
29.1
22
59%
6
6
0
1
0
7
2
4
5-6
83%
7-15
6-13
47%
45%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
31.5
19.3
5
51%
6
2
1
0
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
25.3
21.6
10
83%
0
0
3
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
2-2
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.5
27.9
29.5
14
59%
3
3
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
46%
0-3
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
19.1
18.7
9
75%
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
3-6
50%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
14.1
17.9
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.3
9.6
9.2
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
21.1
0
4-7
49%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.7
8.2
0
1-1
47%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.0
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.