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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 6, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Grizzlies32%93104
6Mavericks68%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
42.5
34.2
27
78%
9
1
4
1
1
3
4
5
7-10
70%
10-13
7-15
77%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
35.4
28.4
17
54%
3
10
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-13
4-7
46%
47%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.1
29.0
27.3
16
69%
10
0
1
1
0
3
4
6
4-6
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.1
19.6
26.0
4
25%
2
2
1
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
12.8
25.6
5
73%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.5
36.7
23.2
11
51%
11
1
0
1
0
0
6
5
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-5
20%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
28.4
22.2
11
46%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
22.9
21.8
13
57%
6
1
0
1
1
0
0
6
1-1
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.3
9.0
13.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
3.6
6.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.8
6.7
0
1-2
48%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.1
5.7
0
1-2
48%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.1
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.3
38.8
21.6
5
64%
8
1
0
0
6
0
3
5
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.7
33.9
33.4
23
64%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
52%
3-6
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.0
33.6
31.1
4
41%
3
6
2
2
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.0
14.6
14.7
15
74%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
3-5
60%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
2-3
67%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.7
13.1
20.8
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
33.4
29.4
26
78%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
4-7
57%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
33.0
26.4
10
51%
12
3
1
1
0
3
2
10
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.7
16.0
19.0
10
78%
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.0
10.0
7.3
6
56%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.3
9.2
15.7
2
53%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.9
4.4
7.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.8
3.5
0
0-0
40%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.0
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.4
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.