FinalWin Prob.pScore
835%91
87
165%96
86
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
101.28676.2
MIA logo MIA
100.08698.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI87
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot87
95.2%
86
4.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
90.2%
86
9.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup87
95.2%
86
4.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
58.2%
86
41.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
53.2%
86
46.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHIBulls Rebound85
39.6%
86
60.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 285
17.4%
86
82.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (James 6 AST)84
19.8%
86
80.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
35.7%
84
64.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
41.5%
84
58.5%
Q4 - 1:05MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)84
53.8%
84
46.2%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
76.9%
81
23.1%
Q4 - 1:26CHIMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot84
80.0%
81
20.0%
Q4 - 1:47MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)84
82.6%
81
17.4%
Q4 - 1:58CHIBulls Turnover: Backcourt (T#16)84
88.4%
79
11.6%
Q4 - 2:11CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
93.5%
79
6.5%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot84
92.2%
79
7.8%
Q4 - 2:30CHIDeng 10' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
88.2%
79
11.8%
Q4 - 2:52CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
80.6%
79
19.4%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 282
79.5%
79
20.5%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
74.6%
79
25.4%
Q4 - 2:56CHIMiller STEAL (2 STL)82
79.0%
78
21.0%
Q4 - 3:17MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)82
87.4%
78
12.6%
Q4 - 3:30CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T16)80
81.3%
76
18.7%
Q4 - 4:16CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
74.7%
76
25.3%
Q4 - 4:16CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)79
73.6%
76
26.4%
Q4 - 4:29CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
67.5%
76
32.5%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot78
64.6%
76
35.4%
Q4 - 4:52CHIRose 3' Layup (23 PTS)78
57.7%
76
42.3%
Q4 - 5:04CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup76
44.2%
76
55.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
38.2%
76
61.8%
Q4 - 5:15CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
40.8%
76
59.2%
Q4 - 5:23CHIBulls Rebound76
47.1%
76
52.9%
Q4 - 5:24CHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)76
40.8%
76
59.2%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
47.1%
76
52.9%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
48.9%
75
51.1%
Q4 - 5:58CHIBoozer 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
55.1%
74
44.9%
Q4 - 5:59CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
47.1%
74
52.9%
Q4 - 6:01CHIMISS Noah 3' Layup74
40.1%
74
59.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
45.7%
74
54.3%
Q4 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound74
52.7%
72
47.3%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 274
59.7%
72
40.3%
Q4 - 6:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
54.5%
72
45.5%
Q4 - 6:35CHIBosh STEAL (1 STL)74
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q4 - 6:54CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
67.9%
71
32.1%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot74
65.7%
71
34.3%
Q4 - 7:12CHIAsik Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)74
57.8%
71
42.2%
Q4 - 7:12CHIMISS Asik Free Throw 1 of 273
55.5%
71
44.5%
Q4 - 7:21CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
58.4%
71
41.6%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot73
56.2%
71
43.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIAHEAT Rebound73
51.0%
71
49.0%
Q4 - 7:35CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
53.3%
71
46.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
56.3%
71
43.7%
Q4 - 8:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
62.7%
69
37.3%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup73
66.6%
69
33.4%
Q4 - 8:22CHIRose 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
62.7%
69
37.3%
Q4 - 8:49MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)71
56.5%
69
43.5%
Q4 - 9:08CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)71
60.9%
67
39.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)69
55.0%
67
45.0%
Q4 - 9:47CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
61.0%
65
39.0%
Q4 - 9:47CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
59.4%
65
40.6%
Q4 - 9:52MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)67
55.1%
65
44.9%
Q4 - 10:05CHIAsik 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)67
48.0%
65
52.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T14)67
53.8%
65
46.2%
Q4 - 10:36CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)67
48.1%
65
51.9%
Q4 - 10:49CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
42.5%
65
57.5%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Ilgauskas 3' Layup65
40.8%
65
59.2%
Q4 - 11:04CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
36.8%
65
63.2%
Q4 - 11:04CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
35.4%
65
64.6%
Q4 - 11:17CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
31.9%
65
68.1%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot63
30.5%
65
69.5%
Q4 - 11:37MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q4 - 11:38CHIMISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot63
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI63
31.9%
65
68.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound63
31.9%
65
68.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Rose 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 263
31.3%
65
68.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)63
28.4%
65
71.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
32.2%
64
67.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Boozer 3' Tip Shot63
33.5%
64
66.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0CHIMISS Boozer 4' Jump Shot63
33.5%
64
66.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot63
33.5%
64
66.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABibby Foul Turnover (P3.T13)63
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 1:00CHIRose 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)63
32.2%
64
67.8%
Q3 - 1:24MIAJames 11' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)61
27.6%
64
72.4%
Q3 - 1:48CHIBoozer 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)61
32.1%
62
67.9%
Q3 - 1:59CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot59
26.5%
62
73.5%
Q3 - 2:20CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
24.1%
62
75.9%
Q3 - 2:45CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot57
19.8%
62
80.2%
Q3 - 2:52MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
19.8%
62
80.2%
Q3 - 2:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q3 - 2:58CHIMISS Boozer 14' Fadeaway Jumper57
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q3 - 3:15CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Miller 3' Driving Layup57
20.2%
62
79.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
18.2%
62
81.8%
Q3 - 3:26CHIDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)57
19.0%
62
81.0%
Q3 - 3:49CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot57
20.2%
62
79.8%
Q3 - 4:12CHIBoozer 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)57
18.3%
62
81.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
16.2%
62
83.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 4:53CHIMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
19.2%
60
80.8%
Q3 - 5:06MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)55
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 5:33CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q3 - 5:33CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
23.5%
58
76.5%
Q3 - 5:41CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
21.6%
58
78.4%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot53
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 6:02CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 6:13CHIBulls Rebound50
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 6:14CHIMISS Rose 15' Floating Jump Shot50
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 6:28MIAJames Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)50
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
12.6%
58
87.4%
Q3 - 6:31CHIMISS Deng 6' Running Jump Shot50
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 6:42MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T11)50
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHEAT Rebound50
12.5%
58
87.5%
Q3 - 6:54CHIMISS Deng 12' Floating Jump Shot50
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 7:02CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 7:03CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot50
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 7:21MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 7:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 7:52CHIJames STEAL (2 STL)50
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 7:55CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
19.3%
56
80.7%
Q3 - 7:56CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 8:23MIABosh 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)50
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 8:41CHIRose 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)50
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q3 - 8:46MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 9:02CHIBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)48
17.3%
54
82.7%
Q3 - 9:23MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 4 AST)45
13.5%
54
86.5%
Q3 - 9:40CHIRose 7' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)45
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q3 - 9:46CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
13.5%
52
86.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot43
13.0%
52
87.0%
Q3 - 10:02MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)43
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q3 - 10:20CHIDeng 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q3 - 10:34CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q3 - 10:35CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 241
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q3 - 10:35CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q3 - 10:35CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q3 - 10:36CHIMISS Rose 11' Jump Bank Shot40
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q3 - 10:56CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
10.8%
51
89.2%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot40
10.3%
51
89.7%
Q3 - 11:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q3 - 11:04CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot40
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q3 - 11:20MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T9)40
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q3 - 11:24CHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)40
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q3 - 11:36MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)40
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot40
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)40
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)37
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)37
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Rebound37
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Korver 8' Jump Bank Shot37
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)37
12.9%
47
87.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0CHIDeng Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T10)37
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q2 - 1:07CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
18.2%
44
81.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup37
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
16.9%
44
83.1%
Q2 - 1:19CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot37
17.3%
44
82.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
18.2%
44
81.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 1:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 1:47CHIBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)37
19.2%
43
80.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 237
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAHEAT Rebound37
20.6%
42
79.4%
Q2 - 2:07CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q2 - 2:49CHIRose 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 3:12MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)35
23.1%
40
76.9%
Q2 - 3:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper35
26.9%
38
73.1%
Q2 - 3:31CHIRose 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
24.9%
38
75.1%
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)33
23.1%
38
76.9%
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
23.5%
37
76.5%
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 3:53CHIDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)33
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 4:10MIABibby Foul Turnover (P2.T8)33
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 4:24CHIDeng 3' Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)33
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)31
22.9%
36
77.1%
Q2 - 4:47CHIBoozer 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 5:03MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)29
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 5:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)29
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 5:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
21.0%
34
79.0%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot29
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q2 - 5:17MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
21.0%
34
79.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot29
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q2 - 5:34CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)29
21.0%
34
79.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
19.1%
34
80.9%
Q2 - 6:08CHIBoozer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)27
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)25
16.2%
34
83.8%
Q2 - 6:24CHIIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)25
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIAIlgauskas 3' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
16.2%
34
83.8%
Q2 - 7:05CHIWatson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 7:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)23
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 7:22CHIMISS Boozer 3' Driving Dunk23
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q2 - 8:09CHIKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)23
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 8:18CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 8:19CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)20
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 8:58CHIBrewer 3' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)20
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 9:10MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 9:11CHIMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot18
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 9:28CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot18
15.0%
28
85.0%
Q2 - 9:47CHIKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)18
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 10:01MIABosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)18
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q2 - 10:15MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q2 - 10:16CHIMISS Watson 22' Jump Shot18
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q2 - 10:32MIABosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)18
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 10:51CHIMiller STEAL (1 STL)18
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 11:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q2 - 11:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q2 - 11:22MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q2 - 11:23CHIMISS Deng 9' Jump Shot18
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q2 - 11:41CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
25.0%
22
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)18
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)15
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Rebound15
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup15
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 1 of 214
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 1:12CHIMISS Noah 4' Jump Bank Shot14
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 1:17CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 1:18CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot14
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 1:38MIAChalmers 3' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 1:42CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)14
29.7%
15
70.3%
Q1 - 1:56CHIBulls Rebound14
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot14
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 2:15CHIGibson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)14
29.7%
15
70.3%
Q1 - 2:37CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot12
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 3:05CHIMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot12
26.3%
15
73.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIABosh 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)12
27.7%
15
72.3%
Q1 - 3:51CHIRose 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 4:10MIAJames 20' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)10
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 4:36CHIBogans Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)10
29.1%
11
70.9%
Q1 - 4:55MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 5:14CHIGibson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)10
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 5:25CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.1%
9
68.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup8
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 5:39CHIRose 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 5:57MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
27.5%
9
72.5%
Q1 - 6:10MIAHEAT Rebound6
28.9%
7
71.1%
Q1 - 6:10CHIMISS Deng 5' Running Hook Shot6
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 6:23CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper6
30.2%
7
69.8%
Q1 - 6:43MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 6:44CHIMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot6
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 7:02CHIBoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T4)6
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 7:06CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
30.6%
7
69.4%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot6
30.1%
7
69.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAHEAT Rebound4
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 7:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
27.3%
7
72.7%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 24
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 8:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 8:03CHIMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 8:26MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 8:27CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot4
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 8:43CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper4
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 8:53CHIBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 9:06MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:14CHIBoozer 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)4
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:47CHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)4
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 10:05CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot4
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 10:30CHINoah 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)4
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:36CHIBulls Rebound2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:37CHIMISS Noah 2' Layup2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 10:58CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:59CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 11:42CHINoah 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
33.1%
0
66.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Noah: Tip to Deng0
31.6%
0
68.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
14
24
58%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
CHI
17
36
47%
MIA
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHI
16
20
80%
MIA
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Rose2756%13.5 / 24
L. Deng1853%9.0 / 17
C. Boozer1240%6.0 / 15
J. Noah1161%5.5 / 9
T. Gibson880%4.0 / 5
K. Bogans338%1.5 / 4
K. Korver330%1.5 / 5
R. Brewer2100%1.0 / 1
C. Watson250%1.0 / 2
O. Asik150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2662%13.0 / 21
C. Bosh2368%11.5 / 17
D. Wade2045%10.0 / 22
M. Chalmers1192%5.5 / 6
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas220%1.0 / 5
M. Miller18%0.5 / 6
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 0
M. Bibby0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
71
+15
-15
86
MIA
70
+11
-16
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.01 50.6%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.3
111.4
CHI 101.2 +1.2
MIA 100.0
Pace
90.5
91.3
CHI 76.2
MIA 98.8 +22.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.2
CHI 18.9
MIA 14.6 +4.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.4%
CHI 48.0%
MIA 50.7% +2.7%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
CHI 16.2% +0.8%
MIA 17.0%
ORB %
29.4%
25.2%
CHI 31.3% +7.8%
MIA 23.5%
FTrt
30.5
36.3
CHI 27.0
MIA 33.8 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
54.1%
CHI 47.1%
MIA 54.5% +7.4%
STL %
8.0%
7.3%
CHI 8.1%
MIA 9.3% +1.2%
BLK %
9.0%
8.5%
CHI 8.5% +1.8%
MIA 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
55.7%
CHI 50.6%
MIA 53.1% +2.5%
Rim FG%
58.2%
64.7%
CHI 58.3%
MIA 63.6% +5.3%
Mid FG%
39.9%
42.2%
CHI 47.2% +4.0%
MIA 43.2%
3P %
36.1%
37.0%
CHI 21.4%
MIA 33.3% +11.9%
FT %
74.4%
76.9%
CHI 80.0% +6.1%
MIA 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
31.6%
CHI 32.4% +0.1%
MIA 32.4%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
44.9%
CHI 48.6% +5.8%
MIA 54.4%
3P Att. %
21.5%
23.5%
CHI 18.9% +5.7%
MIA 13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes27.120.9
Points8786
Rebounds3630
Assists1618
Steals78
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)22 (6)
Field Goals34-7433-68
At-the-Rim FG14-2414-22
Midrange FG17-3616-37
2-Point FG31-6030-59
3-Point FG3-143-9
Free Throws16-2017-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 26
42.6
18
53%
2
3
1
2
3
3
0
2
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 190 · 22
38.4
27
56%
1
5
1
0
3
2
0
1
3-3
100%
12-20
60%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 230 · 26
35.5
11
61%
8
1
0
2
1
2
3
5
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 258 · 29
33.0
12
40%
10
2
0
0
3
2
4
6
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 31
19.8
3
38%
6
0
2
0
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 212 · 30
18.3
3
30%
2
0
2
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
16.8
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 26
15.7
2
100%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
10.4
1
50%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
9.7
2
50%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 38
F · 6'9" 235 · 33
#45 · F · 6'7" 215 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
51%
36
16
7
5
15
0
10
26
16-20
80%
31-60
52%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.