| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 NYK | 94.8 | 96 | 97.4 |
 MIA | 88.7 | 97 | 95.6 |
Scoring Opportunities
NYK
80
+11
-16
91
MIA
79
+9
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
NYK
1.00 50.0%
MIA
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | NYK | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 91 100% | 86 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 99.3% | 86 0.7% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | NYK | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 89 94.8% | 86 5.2% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | NYK | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 88 93.3% | 86 6.7% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | NYK | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 87 86.6% | 86 13.4% |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS James 3' Driving Layup | 87 80.0% | 86 20.0% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | NYK | Walker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T16) | 87 55.1% | 86 44.9% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 87 74.0% | 86 26.0% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 87 77.1% | 85 22.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | NYK | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 87 80.9% | 84 19.1% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | NYK | Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 86 78.1% | 84 21.9% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20) | 85 67.1% | 84 32.9% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | NYK | Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 85 47.7% | 84 52.3% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 82 22.6% | 84 77.4% |
| Q4 - 1:19 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Jump Shot | 82 19.5% | 84 80.5% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | NYK | Billups 9' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 82 15.0% | 84 85.0% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | NYK | Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 80 11.2% | 84 88.8% |
| Q4 - 2:02 | MIA | MISS Wade 8' Jump Shot | 80 9.3% | 84 90.7% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 80 6.0% | 84 94.0% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | NYK | MISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot | 80 7.3% | 84 92.7% |
| Q4 - 2:37 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19) | 80 11.6% | 84 88.4% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS) | 80 7.2% | 84 92.8% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS) | 79 6.8% | 84 93.2% |
| Q4 - 3:05 | MIA | James 3' Driving Layup (25 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 78 5.2% | 84 94.8% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | NYK | Stoudemire 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 4 AST) | 78 7.0% | 82 93.0% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | NYK | Knicks Rebound | 76 5.2% | 82 94.8% |
| Q4 - 3:31 | NYK | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 76 5.5% | 82 94.5% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 76 7.0% | 82 93.0% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | NYK | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 5.3% | 82 94.7% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | MIA | James 3' Layup (23 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 76 6.7% | 82 93.3% |
| Q4 - 4:04 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 76 9.3% | 80 90.7% |
| Q4 - 4:05 | MIA | MISS James 19' Jump Shot | 76 12.1% | 80 87.9% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 76 9.3% | 80 90.7% |
| Q4 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup | 76 12.0% | 80 88.0% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | MIA | Miller Free Throw Technical (10 PTS) | 76 9.2% | 80 90.8% |
| Q4 - 4:34 | NYK | Wade STEAL (3 STL) | 76 13.0% | 79 87.0% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 76 18.5% | 79 81.5% |
| Q4 - 4:40 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 76 16.7% | 79 83.3% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | NYK | Anthony 3' Tip Shot (27 PTS) | 76 14.7% | 79 85.3% |
| Q4 - 5:14 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 74 11.2% | 79 88.8% |
| Q4 - 5:15 | NYK | MISS Shaw. Williams 8' Running Hook Shot | 74 8.9% | 79 91.1% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | MIA | Bosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) | 74 11.1% | 79 88.9% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 74 14.6% | 77 85.4% |
| Q4 - 5:49 | NYK | MISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot | 74 16.1% | 77 83.9% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | NYK | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 74 20.2% | 77 79.8% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 18.7% | 77 81.3% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 74 15.4% | 77 84.6% |
| Q4 - 6:26 | NYK | MISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 16.8% | 77 83.2% |
| Q4 - 6:40 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 74 20.2% | 77 79.8% |
| Q4 - 6:40 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 74 21.2% | 76 78.8% |
| Q4 - 6:51 | NYK | Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 3 AST) | 74 19.9% | 76 80.1% |
| Q4 - 7:10 | MIA | James 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 71 12.8% | 76 87.2% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 71 15.9% | 74 84.1% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | NYK | MISS Billups 9' Jump Shot | 71 17.1% | 74 82.9% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | MIA | Miller Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T18) | 71 20.3% | 74 79.7% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 71 15.9% | 74 84.1% |
| Q4 - 7:42 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot | 71 18.9% | 74 81.1% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | NYK | Billups 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 71 16.8% | 74 83.2% |
| Q4 - 8:16 | NYK | Knicks Rebound | 69 13.4% | 74 86.6% |
| Q4 - 8:17 | MIA | MISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 12.5% | 74 87.5% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | NYK | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 69 10.7% | 74 89.3% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | NYK | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 69 13.3% | 74 86.7% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 69 12.5% | 74 87.5% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | NYK | Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13) | 69 10.6% | 74 89.4% |
| Q4 - 9:09 | MIA | Wade 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 69 14.1% | 74 85.9% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 17.3% | 72 82.7% |
| Q4 - 9:17 | NYK | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 18.4% | 72 81.6% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17) | 69 21.0% | 72 79.0% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 17.3% | 72 82.7% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | NYK | MISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 18.4% | 72 81.6% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | MIA | Bosh 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 9 AST) | 69 20.9% | 72 79.1% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | NYK | Stoudemire 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Carter 2 AST) | 69 25.1% | 70 74.9% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | MIA | Bosh 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 67 21.1% | 70 78.9% |
| Q4 - 10:52 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 67 25.1% | 68 74.9% |
| Q4 - 10:53 | NYK | MISS Carter 21' Jump Shot | 67 26.5% | 68 73.5% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST) | 67 29.3% | 68 70.7% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | NYK | Carter 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 67 34.0% | 66 66.0% |
| Q4 - 11:35 | NYK | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 65 29.3% | 66 70.7% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 28.0% | 66 72.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 65 25.1% | 66 74.9% | |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 65 25.2% | 66 74.8% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | NYK | MISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot | 65 26.3% | 66 73.7% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | MIA | Jones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16) | 65 28.9% | 66 71.1% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 65 25.2% | 66 74.8% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | NYK | MISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 26.3% | 66 73.7% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 65 28.9% | 66 71.1% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIA | MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot | 65 27.7% | 66 72.3% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | NYK | Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST) | 65 25.2% | 66 74.8% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | MIA | James Traveling Turnover (P4.T15) | 62 18.0% | 66 82.0% |
| Q3 - 1:13 | NYK | Anthony 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS) | 62 15.5% | 66 84.5% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 60 12.9% | 66 87.1% |
| Q3 - 1:23 | MIA | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 12.3% | 66 87.7% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 60 11.0% | 66 89.0% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | NYK | MISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 11.6% | 66 88.4% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | NYK | Knicks Rebound | 60 12.9% | 66 87.1% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | NYK | MISS Douglas 2' Finger Roll Layup | 60 11.5% | 66 88.5% |
| Q3 - 1:51 | NYK | Douglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 60 12.9% | 66 87.1% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | NYK | MISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 11.5% | 66 88.5% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | NYK | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 60 13.1% | 66 86.9% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | MIA | MISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 12.5% | 66 87.5% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 60 11.1% | 66 88.9% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | MIA | MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot | 60 12.5% | 66 87.5% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 60 11.1% | 66 88.9% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | NYK | MISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 11.7% | 66 88.3% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 60 13.3% | 66 86.7% |
| Q3 - 3:04 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 60 12.7% | 66 87.3% |
| Q3 - 3:13 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 60 11.3% | 66 88.7% |
| Q3 - 3:14 | NYK | MISS Stoudemire 4' Jump Shot | 60 11.9% | 66 88.1% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | MIA | Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 60 13.3% | 66 86.7% |
| Q3 - 3:55 | NYK | Anthony 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS) | 60 17.9% | 63 82.1% |
| Q3 - 4:02 | NYK | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 58 15.8% | 63 84.2% |
| Q3 - 4:03 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 58 15.0% | 63 85.0% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 58 13.2% | 63 86.8% |
| Q3 - 4:15 | NYK | MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 14.0% | 63 86.0% |
| Q3 - 4:31 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P5.T14) | 58 15.8% | 63 84.2% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | NYK | Stoudemire 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 58 13.2% | 63 86.8% |
| Q3 - 5:07 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13) | 56 11.8% | 63 88.2% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | NYK | Billups Foul Turnover (P4.T12) | 56 10.0% | 63 90.0% |
| Q3 - 5:50 | MIA | James 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 56 11.8% | 63 88.2% |
| Q3 - 6:02 | NYK | Stoudemire 3' Layup (10 PTS) | 56 13.6% | 61 86.4% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 54 11.9% | 61 88.1% |
| Q3 - 6:04 | NYK | MISS Anthony 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 54 10.7% | 61 89.3% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 54 11.9% | 61 88.1% |
| Q3 - 6:14 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Layup | 54 11.4% | 61 88.6% |
| Q3 - 6:19 | NYK | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 54 10.2% | 61 89.8% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 54 11.9% | 61 88.1% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 54 10.2% | 61 89.8% |
| Q3 - 6:32 | NYK | MISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot | 54 10.7% | 61 89.3% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P3.T11) | 54 11.9% | 61 88.1% |
| Q3 - 7:04 | NYK | Billups Traveling Turnover (P2.T10) | 54 10.4% | 61 89.6% |
| Q3 - 7:20 | MIA | Dampier 3' Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 54 12.0% | 61 88.0% |
| Q3 - 7:32 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 54 13.7% | 59 86.3% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | NYK | MISS Fields 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 14.3% | 59 85.7% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | NYK | Fields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 54 15.7% | 59 84.3% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 54 15.1% | 59 84.9% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | NYK | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 54 13.7% | 59 86.3% |
| Q3 - 8:00 | NYK | Fields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 54 15.7% | 59 84.3% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | MISS James 19' Jump Shot | 54 15.1% | 59 84.9% |
| Q3 - 8:14 | NYK | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 54 13.8% | 59 86.2% |
| Q3 - 8:33 | NYK | Turiaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 54 15.8% | 59 84.2% |
| Q3 - 8:34 | MIA | MISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 2 | 54 15.5% | 59 84.5% |
| Q3 - 8:34 | MIA | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 54 14.5% | 59 85.5% |
| Q3 - 8:50 | NYK | Anthony 3' Layup (18 PTS) (Billups 2 AST) | 54 15.6% | 58 84.4% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 52 13.9% | 58 86.1% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 52 17.7% | 55 82.3% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | NYK | MISS Fields 7' Jump Shot | 52 18.4% | 55 81.6% |
| Q3 - 9:22 | NYK | Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 52 20.0% | 55 80.0% |
| Q3 - 9:23 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3' Layup | 52 19.3% | 55 80.7% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | NYK | Stoudemire Foul Turnover (P2.T7) | 52 17.7% | 55 82.3% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | MIA | James 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 52 20.0% | 55 80.0% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 52 22.4% | 53 77.6% |
| Q3 - 9:56 | NYK | MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 52 23.2% | 53 76.8% |
| Q3 - 10:14 | NYK | Fields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 52 24.7% | 53 75.3% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 52 23.9% | 53 76.1% |
| Q3 - 10:34 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 52 22.1% | 53 77.9% |
| Q3 - 10:35 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3' Layup | 52 23.9% | 53 76.1% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | NYK | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 52 22.1% | 53 77.9% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | MIA | Bosh 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 52 24.7% | 53 75.3% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 52 26.9% | 51 73.1% |
| Q3 - 11:11 | NYK | MISS Stoudemire 15' Jump Shot | 52 27.8% | 51 72.2% |
| Q3 - 11:27 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 52 29.9% | 51 70.1% |
| Q3 - 11:28 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3' Reverse Layup | 52 29.0% | 51 71.0% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 52 26.9% | 51 73.1% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | NYK | MISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot | 52 27.8% | 51 72.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 52 29.9% | 51 70.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | NYK | Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST) | 52 26.9% | 51 73.1% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 49 21.7% | 51 78.3% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 21.1% | 51 78.9% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 49 20.0% | 51 80.0% |
| Q2 - 0:36.0 | NYK | MISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 20.5% | 51 79.5% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10) | 49 21.7% | 51 78.3% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 49 19.9% | 51 80.1% |
| Q2 - 0:57.0 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 48 19.6% | 51 80.4% |
| Q2 - 1:05 | NYK | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 47 17.4% | 51 82.6% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot | 47 17.0% | 51 83.0% |
| Q2 - 1:23 | NYK | Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 47 16.1% | 51 83.9% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | MIA | James Traveling Turnover (P1.T9) | 44 12.5% | 51 87.5% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | NYK | Anthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 44 11.5% | 51 88.5% |
| Q2 - 2:06 | NYK | Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 10.2% | 51 89.8% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 9.8% | 51 90.2% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 42 9.1% | 51 90.9% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | NYK | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 42 9.4% | 51 90.6% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8) | 42 10.2% | 51 89.8% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | NYK | Fields 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 1 AST) | 42 9.1% | 51 90.9% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 39 7.4% | 51 92.6% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIA | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 39 7.1% | 51 92.9% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | NYK | Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 39 6.4% | 51 93.6% |
| Q2 - 3:51 | NYK | Billups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 5.2% | 51 94.8% |
| Q2 - 3:52 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 5.0% | 51 95.0% |
| Q2 - 3:58 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 36 4.5% | 51 95.5% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | NYK | MISS Fields 4' Jump Shot | 36 4.7% | 51 95.3% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | MIA | Bosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 36 5.3% | 51 94.7% |
| Q2 - 4:38 | NYK | Billups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 36 5.8% | 49 94.2% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | NYK | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 36 6.6% | 49 93.4% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | MIA | MISS Bosh 8' Fadeaway Jumper | 36 6.4% | 49 93.6% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 5.8% | 49 94.2% |
| Q2 - 4:57 | NYK | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 6.1% | 49 93.9% |
| Q2 - 5:01 | NYK | Knicks Rebound | 36 6.8% | 49 93.2% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | NYK | MISS Anthony 3' Driving Layup | 36 6.3% | 49 93.7% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 36 6.8% | 49 93.2% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 36 6.9% | 48 93.1% |
| Q2 - 5:26 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 36 7.6% | 47 92.4% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 8.1% | 47 91.9% |
| Q2 - 5:59 | NYK | Walker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST) | 36 7.5% | 47 92.5% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | NYK | Fields REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 34 7.1% | 47 92.9% |
| Q2 - 6:10 | NYK | MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 6.5% | 47 93.5% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | NYK | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 7.1% | 47 92.9% |
| Q2 - 6:22 | MIA | MISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 6.9% | 47 93.1% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | NYK | James STEAL (3 STL) | 34 6.3% | 47 93.7% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | MIA | House 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 34 7.1% | 47 92.9% |
| Q2 - 6:42 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 7.8% | 45 92.2% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | NYK | MISS Fields 3PT Jump Shot | 34 8.1% | 45 91.9% |
| Q2 - 7:05 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 34 8.8% | 45 91.2% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 1 | 34 8.7% | 45 91.3% |
| Q2 - 7:09 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 34 9.7% | 43 90.3% |
| Q2 - 7:10 | NYK | MISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 10.0% | 43 90.0% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | MIA | Anthony 3' Putback Layup (3 PTS) | 34 10.8% | 43 89.2% |
| Q2 - 7:37 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 11.8% | 41 88.2% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 34 12.7% | 41 87.3% |
| Q2 - 7:59 | NYK | Douglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 34 11.8% | 41 88.2% |
| Q2 - 7:59 | NYK | Douglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 33 11.6% | 41 88.4% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | NYK | Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 11.0% | 41 89.0% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | MIA | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 10.6% | 41 89.4% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 32 9.9% | 41 90.1% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | NYK | MISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 10.2% | 41 89.8% |
| Q2 - 8:32 | NYK | Fields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 10.9% | 41 89.1% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | MIA | MISS Wade 3' Dunk | 32 10.6% | 41 89.4% |
| Q2 - 8:57 | NYK | Stoudemire 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 32 9.9% | 41 90.1% |
| Q2 - 9:11 | MIA | Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 30 9.2% | 41 90.8% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 30 10.0% | 39 90.0% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | NYK | MISS Fields 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 10.3% | 39 89.7% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | MIA | Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 30 11.1% | 39 88.9% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 30 13.2% | 36 86.8% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | NYK | MISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot | 30 13.6% | 36 86.4% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P2.T7) | 30 14.7% | 36 85.3% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | NYK | Douglas Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 30 13.4% | 36 86.6% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 30 14.7% | 36 85.3% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | NYK | Douglas 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST) | 30 13.3% | 36 86.7% |
| Q2 - 10:53 | NYK | Fields REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 11.2% | 36 88.8% |
| Q2 - 10:54 | MIA | MISS House 22' Jump Shot | 27 10.9% | 36 89.1% |
| Q2 - 11:11 | NYK | Shaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudemire 3 AST) | 27 10.4% | 36 89.6% |
| Q2 - 11:32 | MIA | Wade 3' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) | 25 9.5% | 36 90.5% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | NYK | Fields Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 25 10.4% | 34 89.6% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | NYK | Fields Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 24 10.2% | 34 89.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 23 9.5% | 34 90.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 8.6% | 34 91.4% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | NYK | MISS Douglas 11' Jump Shot | 23 9.1% | 34 90.9% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 23 9.5% | 34 90.5% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 9.8% | 33 90.2% |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 23 9.7% | 33 90.3% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | NYK | MISS Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 9.9% | 33 90.1% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | NYK | Balkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 10.4% | 33 89.6% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | NYK | Jones BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 9.9% | 33 90.1% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | James 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 23 10.4% | 33 89.6% |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 11.5% | 31 88.5% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | NYK | MISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 11.8% | 31 88.2% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw Technical (12 PTS) | 23 12.4% | 31 87.6% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 22 11.5% | 31 88.5% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 11.7% | 30 88.3% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 22 11.8% | 30 88.2% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 21 11.6% | 30 88.4% |
| Q1 - 1:39 | MIA | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 20 10.6% | 30 89.4% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 9.9% | 30 90.1% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | NYK | MISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 | 20 10.0% | 30 90.0% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | NYK | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 20 10.6% | 30 89.4% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 19 9.7% | 30 90.3% |
| Q1 - 2:01 | NYK | MISS Anthony 3' Driving Layup | 19 9.5% | 30 90.5% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | MIA | Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 19 10.0% | 30 90.0% |
| Q1 - 2:29 | NYK | Anthony 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST) | 19 11.9% | 27 88.1% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 17 10.8% | 27 89.2% |
| Q1 - 2:51 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 12.9% | 24 87.1% |
| Q1 - 2:52 | NYK | MISS Carter 16' Jump Shot | 17 13.2% | 24 86.8% |
| Q1 - 3:02 | NYK | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 13.9% | 24 86.1% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | NYK | MISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot | 17 13.1% | 24 86.9% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 17 13.9% | 24 86.1% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 4' Driving Layup | 17 13.5% | 24 86.5% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | NYK | Anthony 3' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST) | 17 12.8% | 24 87.2% |
| Q1 - 3:45 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 15 11.8% | 24 88.2% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | NYK | Carter 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 15 13.7% | 21 86.3% |
| Q1 - 4:13 | MIA | Wade 4' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 13 12.7% | 21 87.3% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 13 13.7% | 19 86.3% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS Wade 3' Jump Shot | 13 14.5% | 19 85.5% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 13 13.7% | 19 86.3% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | MIA | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 13 14.5% | 19 85.5% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 13.7% | 19 86.3% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | NYK | MISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot | 13 14.0% | 19 86.0% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MIA | Bosh Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 13 14.9% | 19 85.1% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | NYK | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 13 13.9% | 19 86.1% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | NYK | MISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 | 12 13.8% | 19 86.2% |
| Q1 - 5:18 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 12 14.0% | 19 86.0% |
| Q1 - 5:37 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 14.9% | 17 85.1% |
| Q1 - 5:38 | NYK | MISS Billups 19' Jump Shot | 12 15.3% | 17 84.7% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 12 16.2% | 17 83.8% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 12 16.4% | 16 83.6% |
| Q1 - 6:04 | NYK | Stoudemire 3' Dunk (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST) | 12 17.1% | 15 82.9% |
| Q1 - 6:08 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 10 16.0% | 15 84.0% |
| Q1 - 6:25 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 14.9% | 15 85.1% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | NYK | MISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot | 10 15.2% | 15 84.8% |
| Q1 - 6:34 | MIA | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST) | 10 16.1% | 15 83.9% |
| Q1 - 6:59 | NYK | Anthony 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST) | 10 17.2% | 13 82.8% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 8 16.0% | 13 84.0% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 8 16.2% | 12 83.8% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | NYK | Anthony 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 2 AST) | 8 17.0% | 11 83.0% |
| Q1 - 7:59 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST) | 6 16.0% | 11 84.0% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | NYK | Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 6 18.1% | 8 81.9% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | NYK | Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 5 18.0% | 8 82.0% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 4 16.9% | 8 83.1% |
| Q1 - 8:26 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 4 16.8% | 8 83.2% |
| Q1 - 8:26 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 4 16.0% | 8 84.0% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 16.9% | 7 83.1% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | NYK | MISS Fields 3' Driving Layup | 4 17.3% | 7 82.7% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | MIA | James 2' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 4 18.1% | 7 81.9% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | NYK | James STEAL (2 STL) | 4 19.3% | 5 80.7% |
| Q1 - 9:22 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 20.5% | 5 79.5% |
| Q1 - 9:47 | NYK | Stoudemire 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST) | 4 19.3% | 5 80.7% |
| Q1 - 10:04 | MIA | Dampier 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 2 18.3% | 5 81.7% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | NYK | James STEAL (1 STL) | 2 19.2% | 3 80.8% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 20.5% | 3 79.5% |
| Q1 - 10:10 | MIA | MISS Dampier 3' Layup | 2 20.1% | 3 79.9% |
| Q1 - 10:28 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 19.2% | 3 80.8% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | NYK | MISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 19.6% | 3 80.4% |
| Q1 - 10:35 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 2 20.5% | 3 79.5% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 22.8% | 0 77.2% |
| Q1 - 10:44 | NYK | MISS Fields 7' Jump Shot | 2 23.2% | 0 76.8% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | NYK | Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 24.3% | 0 75.7% |
| Q1 - 10:59 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 23.8% | 0 76.2% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | NYK | Stoudemire 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 22.4% | 0 77.6% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 0 21.2% | 0 78.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Chalmers | 0 20.2% | 0 79.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
NYK
1.00 50.0%
MIA
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
12
22
55%
MIA
15
25
60%
Midrange
NYK
11
28
39%
MIA
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
MIA
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
NYK
21
23
91%
MIA
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Knicks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Anthony | 29 | 56% | 14.5 / 26 | |
| A. Stoudemire | 16 | 57% | 8.0 / 14 | |
| C. Billups | 16 | 62% | 8.0 / 13 | |
| H. Walker | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| S. Williams | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| L. Fields | 5 | 28% | 2.5 / 9 | |
| T. Douglas | 5 | 31% | 2.5 / 8 | |
| A. Carter | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| R. Balkman | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 27 | 59% | 13.5 / 23 | |
| C. Bosh | 20 | 59% | 10.0 / 17 | |
| D. Wade | 12 | 38% | 6.0 / 16 | |
| M. Miller | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| M. Chalmers | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| E. Dampier | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| J. Anthony | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| E. House | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| J. Jones | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
NYK
80
+11
-16
91
MIA
79
+9
-18
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
NYK
1.00 50.0%
MIA
0.97 48.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 111.0 111.4 | NYK 94.8 +6.1 MIA 88.7 |
| Pace | 95.6 91.3 | NYK 97.4 +1.8 MIA 95.6 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.6 16.2 | NYK 14.8 +0.3 MIA 15.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 51.3% 52.4% | NYK 43.8% MIA 47.3% +3.5% |
| TO % | 13.9% 14.4% | NYK 15.1% +4.2% MIA 19.3% |
| ORB % | 24.3% 25.2% | NYK 18.2% +3.6% MIA 14.6% |
| FTrt | 30.4 36.3 | NYK 28.8 MIA 29.7 +0.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 56.0% 54.1% | NYK 54.8% MIA 62.5% +7.7% |
| STL % | 7.9% 7.3% | NYK 6.3% MIA 9.3% +3.0% |
| BLK % | 8.8% 8.5% | NYK 9.6% +3.6% MIA 6.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 55.0% 55.7% | NYK 50.0% +1.7% MIA 48.3% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 64.7% | NYK 54.5% MIA 60.0% +5.5% |
| Mid FG% | 39.8% 42.2% | NYK 39.3% MIA 40.7% +1.4% |
| 3P % | 36.8% 37.0% | NYK 26.7% MIA 27.3% +0.6% |
| FT % | 80.9% 76.9% | NYK 91.3% +18.6% MIA 72.7% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.8% 31.6% | NYK 27.5% MIA 33.8% +6.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 34.9% 44.9% | NYK 35.0% +1.5% MIA 36.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 30.3% 23.5% | NYK 37.5% +7.8% MIA 29.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
| Game Totals | NYK | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 96 | 97 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.6 | 24.4 |
| Points | 91 | 86 |
| Rebounds | 43 | 42 |
| Assists | 17 | 20 |
| Steals | 6 | 9 |
| Blocks | 5 | 3 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (0) | 18 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (3) | 6 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (1) | 36 (3) |
| Field Goals | 31-80 | 32-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 12-22 | 15-25 |
| Midrange FG | 11-28 | 11-27 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-50 | 26-52 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-30 | 6-22 |
| Free Throws | 21-23 | 16-22 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.