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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Knicks25%9791
1Heat75%10686
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
40.1
36.3
16
57%
10
3
0
1
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
8-14
10-19
57%
51%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
36.6
33.4
29
56%
9
2
1
1
1
3
3
6
8-9
89%
9-18
7-15
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.4
34.5
26.2
16
63%
4
2
2
1
0
5
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
3-7
43%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.0
27.5
21.2
6
52%
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
27.3
33.6
5
28%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
54%
1-4
25%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
25.1
13.5
10
63%
7
1
1
0
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
2-6
33%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.7
18.9
2.8
4
33%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.0
14.7
27.1
5
32%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.1
11.9
22.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.6
3.3
4.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.5
2.6
0
0-0
41%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.0
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.2
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
40.5
37.3
20
60%
12
3
2
1
1
3
2
10
4-4
100%
8-15
7-14
53%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
40.3
38.3
12
37%
7
9
3
2
0
5
1
6
2-3
67%
5-12
10-18
42%
54%
0-3
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
39.1
37.8
27
57%
7
5
3
2
1
5
0
7
6-8
75%
9-15
9-16
60%
55%
1-5
20%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
24.9
31.9
7
44%
2
0
1
2
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
2-4
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
17.4
22.8
5
64%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
60%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
30.4
12.5
3
80%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
26.9
20.0
10
78%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
3-5
60%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
14.0
20.6
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
6.5
14.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
13.6
0
2-4
49%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.