FinalWin Prob.pScore
298%87
97
192%105
117
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
104.39399.2
MIA logo MIA
123.29589.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0SACMISS D. Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)97
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0SACGreene 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Cousins 4 AST)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14SACMISS Jeter 17' Jump Shot95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SACCousins 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57SACJeter Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57SACKings Rebound92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57SACMISS Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42SACKings Rebound91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57SACMISS D. Jackson 3' Driving Layup91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12SACHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41SACD. Jackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57SACKings Rebound89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13SACHead 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)89
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30SACKings Rebound87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55SACGreene 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS)85
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29SACMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAHouse 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57SACBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22SACMISS Greene 17' Jump Shot85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIABosh 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52SACMISS Dalembert 17' Turnaround Jump Shot85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)85
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32SACJeter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53MIAAnthony 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)82
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06SACHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dalembert 2 AST)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19SACGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41SACJeter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAHouse 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00SACMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32SACDalembert 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jeter 4 AST)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:44MIAWade 2' Dunk (19 PTS)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48SACWade STEAL (2 STL)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:56MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:14SACJeter 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)74
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:32MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:51SACDalembert 12' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)72
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:54SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:55SACMISS Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:03SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:26SACThompson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0SACUdrih 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0SACDalembert 12' Hook Shot (14 PTS)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:05MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 1:19SACDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 1:19SACDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 1:19SACKings Rebound64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:28SACChalmers STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJames 4' Running Jump Shot (31 PTS)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 2:09SACTaylor 3' Tip Shot (13 PTS)64
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 2:11SACTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 2:12SACMISS Dalembert 10' Jump Shot62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 2:29MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)62
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHEAT Rebound62
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 3:16SACDalembert 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 3:24SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot60
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 3:45SACUdrih 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Cousins 3 AST)60
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:02SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:20SACWade STEAL (1 STL)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)58
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:32MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 4:47SACTaylor 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)58
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:00MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:02SACBosh STEAL (4 STL)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:21SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:38SACBosh STEAL (3 STL)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAJames Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T6)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:55SACMISS Casspi 16' Jump Shot56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 6:07MIAChalmers 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 6:27SACTaylor 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)56
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 6:33SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 6:48SACMISS Cousins 19' Jump Shot54
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 6:55SACKings Rebound54
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 6:55SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 254
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 6:55SACCasspi Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)53
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 7:10MIADampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:30SACThompson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:36SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS James 11' Running Jump Shot53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 7:55SACMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 8:03MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 8:18SACTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:18SACTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:33MIABosh 4' Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)51
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 8:44SACThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 8:44SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 250
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 8:56MIAChalmers 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)50
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 8:59SACDampier STEAL (2 STL)50
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 9:34SACTaylor 10' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 9:47SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot48
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 10:02SACThompson 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)48
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 10:26MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)46
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 10:31MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 10:33SACMISS Cousins 3' Driving Layup46
0.8%
67
99.2%
Q3 - 10:48MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)46
0.9%
67
99.1%
Q3 - 11:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 11:04SACMISS Cousins 19' Jump Shot46
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 11:23MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 2 AST)46
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 11:42SACThompson 3' Tip Shot (10 PTS)46
1.4%
63
98.6%
Q3 - 11:43SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 11:44SACMISS Casspi 3' Hook Shot44
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound44
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 45' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0SACUdrih 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)42
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0SACUdrih 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)42
1.4%
60
98.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0SACThompson 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Casspi 2 AST)40
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q2 - 1:12MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T5)38
1.2%
58
98.8%
Q2 - 1:25SACDalembert 2' Layup (8 PTS)38
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 1:26SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 1:27SACMISS Dalembert 11' Jump Shot36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 1:30SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 1:31SACMISS Thompson 19' Jump Shot36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 1:39SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 1:49SACDampier STEAL (1 STL)36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q2 - 2:07MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)36
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 2:19SACHead 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)36
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 2:20SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup34
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 2:41SACHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 2:41SACHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 2:47SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 2:54SACMISS Casspi 6' Jump Shot32
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 3:05SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup32
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q2 - 3:28SACCasspi 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)32
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 3:34SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
0.6%
56
99.4%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS James 3' Driving Reverse Layup30
0.6%
56
99.4%
Q2 - 3:47SACThompson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
0.6%
56
99.4%
Q2 - 4:05MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)30
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q2 - 4:24SACDalembert 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
0.7%
54
99.3%
Q2 - 4:41MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)28
0.7%
54
99.3%
Q2 - 5:04SACBosh STEAL (2 STL)28
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 5:13SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot28
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 5:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 5:27SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 228
0.8%
52
99.2%
Q2 - 5:27SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 228
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 5:40MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)28
0.9%
52
99.1%
Q2 - 5:52MIAHEAT Rebound28
1.0%
50
99.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot28
1.1%
50
98.9%
Q2 - 6:11SACCousins 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
1.1%
50
98.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAAnthony 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
1.0%
50
99.0%
Q2 - 6:32MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
1.1%
48
98.9%
Q2 - 6:33SACMISS Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
1.1%
48
98.9%
Q2 - 6:50MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)26
1.2%
48
98.8%
Q2 - 7:07SACCousins 4' Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
1.4%
46
98.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)24
1.2%
46
98.8%
Q2 - 7:54SACCasspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jeter 3 AST)24
1.4%
44
98.6%
Q2 - 8:08SACKings Rebound21
1.2%
44
98.8%
Q2 - 8:09SACMISS Casspi 12' Running Jump Shot21
1.1%
44
98.9%
Q2 - 8:26SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
1.2%
44
98.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot21
1.1%
44
98.9%
Q2 - 8:49SACCasspi 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jeter 2 AST)21
1.1%
44
98.9%
Q2 - 9:13MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)19
1.0%
44
99.0%
Q2 - 9:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
1.1%
42
98.9%
Q2 - 9:31SACMISS Cousins 8' Hook Shot19
1.2%
42
98.8%
Q2 - 9:57MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
1.2%
42
98.8%
Q2 - 10:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 10:04SACMISS Jeter 21' Jump Shot19
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 10:10SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q2 - 10:11SACWade BLOCK (1 BLK)19
1.6%
39
98.4%
Q2 - 10:25MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)19
1.8%
39
98.2%
Q2 - 10:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
1.9%
37
98.1%
Q2 - 10:38SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 219
2.0%
37
98.0%
Q2 - 10:38SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
2.1%
37
97.9%
Q2 - 10:39SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
2.0%
37
98.0%
Q2 - 10:40SACMISS Cousins 4' Driving Hook Shot18
1.8%
37
98.2%
Q2 - 10:55SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
2.0%
37
98.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup18
1.9%
37
98.1%
Q2 - 11:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
1.8%
37
98.2%
Q2 - 11:04SACMISS Taylor 20' Jump Shot18
1.9%
37
98.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)18
2.0%
37
98.0%
Q2 - 11:39SACDalembert 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
2.2%
35
97.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC16
2.0%
35
98.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJames 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)16
2.0%
35
98.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
2.3%
33
97.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0SACMISS Greene 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
2.4%
33
97.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)16
2.5%
33
97.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
3.1%
30
96.9%
Q1 - 1:01SACMISS Greene 15' Jump Shot16
3.2%
30
96.8%
Q1 - 1:21SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
3.4%
30
96.6%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 116
3.4%
30
96.6%
Q1 - 1:27MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
3.8%
28
96.2%
Q1 - 1:28SACMISS Greene 3' Jump Shot16
3.9%
28
96.1%
Q1 - 1:34SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
4.1%
28
95.9%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS James 6' Hook Shot16
4.0%
28
96.0%
Q1 - 1:56SACDalembert 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jeter 1 AST)16
3.8%
28
96.2%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames 11' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)14
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q1 - 2:32SACGreene 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
3.9%
26
96.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
3.5%
26
96.5%
Q1 - 2:58MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
3.9%
24
96.1%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
4.1%
24
95.9%
Q1 - 3:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
3.8%
24
96.2%
Q1 - 3:16SACMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 212
3.9%
24
96.1%
Q1 - 3:16SACUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
4.1%
24
95.9%
Q1 - 3:32MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
3.8%
24
96.2%
Q1 - 3:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
4.2%
22
95.8%
Q1 - 3:42SACMISS Taylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
4.3%
22
95.7%
Q1 - 3:55MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
4.6%
22
95.4%
Q1 - 4:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
5.0%
20
95.0%
Q1 - 4:03SACMISS Taylor 2' Driving Layup11
5.0%
20
95.0%
Q1 - 4:08MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
5.3%
20
94.7%
Q1 - 4:30SACThompson 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)11
4.9%
20
95.1%
Q1 - 4:50MIAJames 3' Layup (6 PTS)9
4.5%
20
95.5%
Q1 - 4:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
4.9%
18
95.1%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup9
5.2%
18
94.8%
Q1 - 4:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
4.9%
18
95.1%
Q1 - 4:59SACMISS Udrih 11' Jump Shot9
5.0%
18
95.0%
Q1 - 5:05SACDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
5.5%
18
94.5%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot9
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
5.0%
18
95.0%
Q1 - 5:19SACMISS Dalembert 15' Jump Shot9
5.2%
18
94.8%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade 2' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)9
5.5%
18
94.5%
Q1 - 5:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
5.9%
16
94.1%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot9
6.3%
16
93.7%
Q1 - 5:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
5.9%
16
94.1%
Q1 - 5:50SACMISS Casspi 3PT Jump Shot9
6.1%
16
93.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
6.4%
16
93.6%
Q1 - 6:11MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
6.4%
15
93.6%
Q1 - 6:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
6.9%
14
93.1%
Q1 - 6:27SACMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot9
7.0%
14
93.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)9
7.5%
14
92.5%
Q1 - 6:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
8.0%
12
92.0%
Q1 - 6:53SACMISS Udrih 18' Jump Shot9
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 7:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
8.5%
12
91.5%
Q1 - 7:16SACThompson 3' Layup (4 PTS)9
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 7:38MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)7
7.3%
12
92.7%
Q1 - 7:54SACTaylor 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)7
7.9%
10
92.1%
Q1 - 8:12MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
6.6%
10
93.4%
Q1 - 8:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.2%
8
92.8%
Q1 - 8:24SACMISS Cousins 16' Jump Shot4
7.3%
8
92.7%
Q1 - 8:34MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
7.7%
8
92.3%
Q1 - 9:01SACThompson 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
7.2%
8
92.8%
Q1 - 9:18MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
6.7%
8
93.3%
Q1 - 9:22SACBosh STEAL (1 STL)2
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 9:31MIADampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
7.7%
6
92.3%
Q1 - 9:32MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7.2%
6
92.8%
Q1 - 9:33SACMISS Taylor 2' Tip Shot2
7.3%
6
92.7%
Q1 - 9:34SACTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
7.7%
6
92.3%
Q1 - 9:35SACMISS Cousins 3' Reverse Layup2
7.3%
6
92.7%
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
7.7%
6
92.3%
Q1 - 9:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.3%
4
91.7%
Q1 - 9:47SACDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)2
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 9:49SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
8.8%
4
91.2%
Q1 - 9:50SACChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)2
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 10:06MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
8.9%
4
91.1%
Q1 - 10:23SACCasspi 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)2
9.4%
2
90.6%
Q1 - 10:38SACCousins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.9%
2
91.1%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 20
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 20
8.4%
2
91.6%
Q1 - 10:44MIAHEAT Rebound0
8.2%
2
91.8%
Q1 - 10:45SACMISS Cousins 17' Jump Shot0
8.4%
2
91.6%
Q1 - 11:02MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
8.6%
2
91.4%
Q1 - 11:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.2%
0
90.8%
Q1 - 11:17SACMISS Cousins 20' Jump Shot0
9.3%
0
90.7%
Q1 - 11:34SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.7%
0
90.3%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot0
9.5%
0
90.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Cousins: Tip to Chalmers0
9.2%
0
90.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
19
31
61%
MIA
20
27
74%
Midrange
SAC
17
39
44%
MIA
24
45
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
SAC
13
20
65%
MIA
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Dalembert1869%9.0 / 13
J. Thompson1372%6.5 / 9
J. Taylor1354%6.5 / 12
O. Casspi1045%5.0 / 11
B. Udrih956%4.5 / 8
P. Jeter990%4.5 / 5
L. Head964%4.5 / 7
D. Cousins825%4.0 / 16
D. Greene633%3.0 / 9
D. Jackson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3157%15.5 / 27
D. Wade2357%11.5 / 20
C. Bosh2265%11.0 / 17
M. Chalmers1488%7.0 / 8
E. House1045%5.0 / 11
J. Jones975%4.5 / 6
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
C. Arroyo2100%1.0 / 1
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 0
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
81
+12
-12
93
MIA
86
+12
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.03 51.6%
MIA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
111.4
SAC 104.3
MIA 123.2 +18.9
Pace
94.6
91.3
SAC 99.2 +9.8
MIA 89.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
SAC 14.5 +1.6
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
52.4%
SAC 50.0%
MIA 60.6% +10.6%
TO %
16.4%
14.4%
SAC 11.5%
MIA 8.7% +2.8%
ORB %
29.9%
25.2%
SAC 20.5%
MIA 24.2% +3.7%
FTrt
28.4
36.3
SAC 23.8 +11.6
MIA 12.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.4%
54.1%
SAC 45.0% +5.8%
MIA 39.2%
STL %
7.7%
7.3%
SAC 3.2%
MIA 9.5% +6.3%
BLK %
7.1%
8.5%
SAC 1.4%
MIA 5.7% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
55.7%
SAC 51.6%
MIA 59.7% +8.1%
Rim FG%
58.2%
64.7%
SAC 61.3%
MIA 74.1% +12.8%
Mid FG%
38.1%
42.2%
SAC 43.6%
MIA 53.3% +9.7%
3P %
33.5%
37.0%
SAC 28.6%
MIA 38.9% +10.3%
FT %
73.4%
76.9%
SAC 65.0%
MIA 72.7% +7.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.0%
31.6%
SAC 36.9% +6.9%
MIA 30.0%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
44.9%
SAC 46.4% +3.6%
MIA 50.0%
3P Att. %
18.3%
23.5%
SAC 16.7%
MIA 20.0% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points97117
Rebounds3443
Assists1820
Steals39
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (4)35 (1)
Field Goals40-8451-90
At-the-Rim FG19-3120-27
Midrange FG17-3924-45
2-Point FG36-7044-72
3-Point FG4-147-18
Free Throws13-208-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 250 · 25
31.8
13
72%
7
0
0
0
3
4
1
6
1-4
25%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
30.4
9
56%
2
4
1
0
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 270 · 21
28.4
8
25%
7
4
1
0
2
3
2
5
2-4
50%
3-14
21%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
25.5
10
45%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
23.4
13
54%
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
31.4
18
69%
13
2
0
0
0
1
4
9
2-2
100%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 226 · 23
25.4
6
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
G · 5'11" 175 · 27
20.9
9
90%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
18.4
9
64%
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 253 · 25
4.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 248 · 27
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29
#13 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 7'0" 265 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
52%
34
18
3
1
12
0
9
25
13-20
65%
36-70
51%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.