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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Kings8%8797
1Heat92%105117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.6
31.8
15.9
13
74%
7
0
0
0
0
3
1
6
1-4
25%
6-7
2-5
86%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
30.4
33.0
9
57%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.5
28.4
32.4
8
25%
7
4
1
1
0
2
2
5
2-4
50%
3-14
7-15
21%
44%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
25.5
26.4
10
46%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
1-3
33%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
23.4
18.3
13
55%
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.8
31.4
24.0
18
70%
13
2
0
0
0
0
4
9
2-2
100%
8-12
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.0
25.4
21.2
6
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.2
20.9
20.1
9
77%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
18.4
4.0
9
65%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.3
4.5
4.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.4
24.2
1
4-8
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
21.0
1
2-4
47%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.4
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.1
35.5
38.7
23
57%
8
7
2
2
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
10-17
9-16
59%
54%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
35.1
36.7
22
66%
9
1
4
1
1
1
0
9
6-6
100%
8-13
7-13
62%
53%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
30.4
37.3
31
57%
8
3
0
2
0
3
2
6
0-3
0%
11-20
9-15
55%
56%
3-6
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
28.3
24.5
14
89%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-6
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
24.0
19.2
0
0%
5
2
2
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
27.7
21.3
10
45%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
46%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.4
26.0
8.3
9
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
3-5
60%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
20.0
14.2
6
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
4.5
7.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
4.5
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
4.0
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
14.1
0
2-4
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.0
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.