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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nets15%9096
2Spurs85%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
41.4
37.5
14
45%
4
12
1
1
1
3
0
4
4-6
67%
5-10
4-10
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
37.3
33.6
13
44%
8
2
1
1
0
0
5
3
3-4
75%
5-13
7-16
38%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
26.2
26.1
8
42%
2
1
4
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
1-5
20%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
23.3
22.4
12
46%
6
0
2
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
6-13
3-6
46%
47%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
20.2
19.5
7
47%
4
2
0
1
0
4
3
1
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
29.6
29.2
25
84%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
8-9
89%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
23.8
19.9
8
31%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
0-6
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
18.4
18.3
5
63%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.1
10.7
11.1
2
100%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
8.3
17.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
0.9
4.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.8
35.8
33.6
13
42%
7
10
1
1
0
3
0
7
4-6
67%
3-11
7-13
27%
54%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.6
33.2
30.7
26
64%
6
5
3
1
1
4
0
6
9-10
90%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.8
32.0
30.3
17
72%
6
1
1
1
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
8-11
6-12
73%
52%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.8
26.8
18.2
17
74%
6
1
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
8-11
3-6
73%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.7
25.7
28.5
2
13%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-5
2-3
0%
53%
0-2
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.8
31.3
26.4
19
74%
7
3
0
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
3-4
75%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
22.9
23.1
6
100%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
2-3
67%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.9
18.1
3.3
6
55%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.5
11.4
15.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
1.8
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
0.9
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
24.8
0
2-5
51%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.